MLB · resolved market
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x511be2162f695fffc134c0d82b8fefacf283778e0a8ad47d5327796a846ede50
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toronto Blue Jaysof Toronto Blue Jays, Baltimore Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $733,884
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $787,712
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $733,884 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 508 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 100,095$50,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,237.77 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 79,999$42,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,399.47 | 133 | 40.6%54 W · 79 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…f804backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 55,822$24,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,561.55 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 49,496$26,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,058.27 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 42,155$19,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,341.95 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 36,165$18,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,219.09 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Baltimore Orioles | 69c | 27,366$18,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,918.39 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 23,910$11,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,788.5 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 21,000$10,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,920 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 20,667$11,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,446.8 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 18,459$9,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,039.03 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 13,799$5,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,443.47 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 11,780$5,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,662.9 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 10,907$4,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,798.93 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d6…be17backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 10,638$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,638.3 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 10,200$4,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,532.78 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Baltimore Orioles | 28c | 8,929$2,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,538.5 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 8,772$4,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,336.83 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 8,500$3,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,589.94 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 8,000$3,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,480 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 7,900$4,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,857.31 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 42c | 7,094$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,143.36 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…f361backed Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 6,397$2,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,518.75 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 5,866$3,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,510.23 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 5,660$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 5,487$2,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,963.07 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 5,441$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940.52 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Baltimore Orioles | 36c | 5,076$1,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,848.13 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 4,500$2,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,385 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 4,439$2,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,275.95 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…8688backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 4,029$1,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,135.37 | 449 | 53.7%241 W · 208 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 3,990$2,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,134.63 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 3,931$1,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,555.03 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 3,637$1,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,935.06 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 3,607$2,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,003.93 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 3,058$1,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,651.32 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1852…cb4ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 2,895$1,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,534.41 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 35cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac39…95c7backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 2,857$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 2,769$1,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.18 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Baltimore Orioles | 14c | 2,650$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.97 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…6e97backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 2,589$1,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.36 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa252…dbf4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 64c | 2,500$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 50 | 70%35 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ce…590abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 2,445$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,344.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 2,410$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.32 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…f43ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 2,075$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 2,072$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.4 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 2,035$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.05 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 2,022$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.44 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…d601backed Toronto Blue Jays | 50c | 2,009$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.96 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.99 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.98 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 1,931$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.24 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…65cebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 1,809$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.48 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dec…0d2bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 45c | 1,800$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.84 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 1,700$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.99 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 1,572$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.86 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef8…8712backed Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 1,456$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 1,403$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.43 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 1,295$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.43 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 1,288$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.28 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 1,277$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.6 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Baltimore Orioles | 9c | 1,261$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.36 | 319 | 58.6%187 W · 132 L | +27.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 1,229$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.59 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 1,200$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.66 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 1,169$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.92 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe3…1c0cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 1,100$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 31c | 1,081$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.56 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 1,054$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 1,020$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.94 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 1,016$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.61 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 1,008$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.21 | 340 | 45%153 W · 187 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Toronto Blue Jays | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 177 | 68.9%122 W · 55 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Baltimore Orioles | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.21 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 40c | 999.98$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.99 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 999.98$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b5…5c2bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 37c | 983.84$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 937.27$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.16 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3612…177ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3afb…0004backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 909.02$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.97 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 852$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.56 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3082…9b55backed Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 846.18$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.32 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 839$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.74 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Toronto Blue Jays | 43c | 815.72$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.45 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…e97cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 801.8$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.97 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Baltimore Orioles | 35c | 772.36$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.33 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b8…9cafbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 757.05$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.5 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 47c | 700$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e36…546cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 54c | 700$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Baltimore Orioles | 12c | 690.69$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.88 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x104f…04aabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 678.2$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.67 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 677.97$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.97 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 674.69$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.24 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07e2…4b9cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 29c | 661$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.83 | 274 | 50.7%139 W · 135 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Oriolesthis page
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-3.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-4.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-3.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 11.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 3.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 4.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 5.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 6.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore OriolesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.