MLB · resolved market
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a73341dde87ce0e7fcd2381c0f6bff6ffc34ea300774f2a4ae177f4415c7ce0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $427,349
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $431,158
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $427,349 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb91a…3987backed Under | 50c | 200,000$99,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100,060.23 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6211…b89ebacked Over | 50c | 75,308$37,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,654.16 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.38per pick | 52cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09b5…7e72backed Over | 50c | 72,081$36,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,040.6 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 50c | 68,555$34,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,277.5 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked Over | 50c | 50,000$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 50c | 45,331$22,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,661.59 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 49c | 14,800$7,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,251.82 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Over | 50c | 7,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 51c | 5,742$2,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,841.05 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Over | 50c | 5,500$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed Over | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 51c | 4,124$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 23c | 4,109$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.97 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 49c | 3,906$1,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,925.16 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 49c | 3,835$1,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,956 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x205c…9192backed Over | 50c | 3,825$1,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,912.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 51c | 3,394$1,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,663.26 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked Under | 49c | 3,215$1,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640.8 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Over | 50c | 3,000$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Over | 50c | 2,741$1,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370.73 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Over | 50c | 2,567$1,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,283.5 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e20…27a7backed Under | 54c | 2,554$1,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Over | 51c | 2,512$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275.02 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Over | 49c | 2,404$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.08 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 49c | 2,107$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.26 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b3…49f8backed Over | 43c | 1,730$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 50c | 1,510$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.2 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29fe…2ebfbacked Over | 50c | 1,494$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.06 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 32c | 1,271$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.72 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e93…439cbacked Over | 50c | 1,242$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.97 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 51c | 1,199$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.56 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Over | 50c | 1,106$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.79 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 29c | 1,097$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.3 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 51c | 1,021$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.98 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 49c | 1,011$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.38 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…dbbbbacked Under | 53c | 1,000$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.21 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3499…60b5backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87fe…3cbebacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x242c…286dbacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x764a…83d3backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcab0…0d18backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1362…f403backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 49c | 932.64$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 50c | 887.78$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.89 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…0febbacked Over | 51c | 862.97$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.12 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 51c | 798.69$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.36 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 50c | 798.1$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.35 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…83dabacked Over | 51c | 784.61$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c0…e88fbacked Over | 50c | 688$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 49c | 669.58$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.97 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Over | 51c | 668.98$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.76 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 46c | 652.1$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.67 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Under | 49c | 650$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.5 | 252 | 49.2%124 W · 128 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Over | 50c | 635.88$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.3 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 50c | 633.01$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.5 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Over | 50c | 604.52$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.26 | 292 | 55.8%163 W · 129 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 43c | 597.35$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.39 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Under | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 30c | 521.31$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.89 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 50c | 480.4$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.2 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 50c | 470.96$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.48 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Over | 50c | 422.1$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.05 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Over | 50c | 422.02$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.01 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fae…0d19backed Under | 51c | 405.96$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.92 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Over | 50c | 350$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 63c | 343.1$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.94 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Under | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Over | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 30c | 287.3$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.96 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 50c | 265.44$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.03 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a24…a0fdbacked Under | 54c | 249.98$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.99 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 60c | 249$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.6 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 51c | 248.87$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.92 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 57c | 234.7$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.1 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Over | 49c | 227.88$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.66 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…3ca2backed Over | 50c | 206$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 50c | 204.83$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.72 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fd…3e24backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d14…ff3ebacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee6b…accbbacked Under | 51c | 197.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.58 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3f…1365backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 151 | 59.6%90 W · 61 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…4512backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12a1…d857backed Under | 51c | 186.27$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.27 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 49c | 173.49$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.01 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc37e…9e64backed Under | 51c | 167.26$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.96 | 295 | 53.2%157 W · 138 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd4d…aa9ebacked Over | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc923…d7ffbacked Under | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78c0…b32fbacked Under | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.06 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64c0…576dbacked Over | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5this page
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-3.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-4.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-3.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore OriolesToronto Blue Jays won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 11.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 3.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 4.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 5.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 6.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore OriolesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.