Tennis · resolved market
ITF Cuiaba: Luiza Fullana vs Carolina Alves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x612b93cdcddc3dd2a0b84cb61502ccdbd8e246050b85ccd90ebc1ee6da740b6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Carolina Alvesof Luiza Fullana, Carolina Alves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,777
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,555
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,777 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Luiza Fullana | 19c | 2,619$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.92 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Luiza Fullana | 13c | 1,889$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.6 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x896d…cd2cbacked Carolina Alves | 70c | 1,362$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.61 | 173 | 57.8%100 W · 73 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…b715backed Luiza Fullana | 9c | 1,229$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 573 | 21.8%125 W · 448 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Carolina Alves | 80c | 759.45$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.65 | 609 | 43.3%264 W · 345 L | -24.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Luiza Fullana | 18c | 638$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.84 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Luiza Fullana | 22c | 595.64$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.28 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Luiza Fullana | 20c | 528$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.07 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Luiza Fullana | 16c | 480$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.98 | 433 | 34.9%151 W · 282 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Luiza Fullana | 34c | 441.91$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.88 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Luiza Fullana | 29c | 342$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.18 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Carolina Alves | 71c | 339.32$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.45 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Luiza Fullana | 17c | 300$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.81 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Carolina Alves | 66c | 210$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Carolina Alves | 66c | 209.99$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 521 | 52.2%272 W · 249 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec28…8d7abacked Luiza Fullana | 28c | 178.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadf5…20f8backed Luiza Fullana | 21c | 160$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Luiza Fullana | 18c | 145$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Luiza Fullana | 16c | 123.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 221 | 13.6%30 W · 191 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Luiza Fullana | 29c | 122.67$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.55 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Luiza Fullana | 14c | 117.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 320 | 31.3%100 W · 220 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Luiza Fullana | 28c | 114.61$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.09 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Carolina Alves | 71c | 108.45$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Carolina Alves | 75c | 107.82$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Carolina Alves | 79c | 74.09$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Luiza Fullana | 30c | 73.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 516 | 44.8%231 W · 285 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…400bbacked Luiza Fullana | 34c | 57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 346 | 27.7%96 W · 250 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…3b08backed Carolina Alves | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 509 | 58%295 W · 214 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Carolina Alves | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 678 | 52.1%353 W · 325 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed Carolina Alves | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 483 | 55.1%266 W · 217 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c64…cb99backed Luiza Fullana | 30c | 36.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…126cbacked Luiza Fullana | 33c | 30.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 110 | 50%55 W · 55 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1da…441ebacked Carolina Alves | 71c | 29.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb518…3403backed Carolina Alves | 72c | 19.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Carolina Alves | 74c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.24 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…cea6backed Carolina Alves | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 83 | 65.1%54 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Carolina Alves | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF Cuiaba: Luiza Fullana vs Carolina Alvesthis page
- Fullana vs. Alves: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.