TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9c64…cb99

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
85
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: MLB, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 54 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT4723.4%11 W · 36 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-27.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Targu Mures: Andrej Nedic vs Sebastian Gimabacked Sebastian Gima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.32
Mallorca Championships: Abedallah Shelbayh vs Grigor Dimitrovbacked Abedallah Shelbayh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Bad Homburg Open: Karolina Muchova vs Irina-Camelia Begubacked Irina-Camelia Begu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.59
Bad Homburg Open: Iga Swiatek vs Emma Navarrobacked Emma Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$90.22
Mallorca Championships: Adam Walton vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Adam Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.96
Mallorca Championships: Murphy Cassone vs Ethan Quinnbacked Murphy Cassone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Toby Samuel vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Thiago Agustin Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Ugo Humbert vs Mattia Belluccibacked Mattia Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.06
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Arthur Ferybacked Roman Andres Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.92
Bad Homburg Open: Naomi Osaka vs Elise Mertensbacked Elise Mertens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.52
Mallorca Championships: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Nuno Borgesbacked Jan-Lennard Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Mallorca Championships: Marc Polmans vs Grigor Dimitrovbacked Marc Polmans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.12
Piracicaba: Hernan Casanova vs Eduardo Ribeirobacked Eduardo Ribeiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.63
Piracicaba: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Nicolas Villalonbacked Nicolas Villalon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Piracicaba: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogibacked Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+114.5%+$63.77
Bad Homburg Open: Alexandra Eala vs Elise Mertensbacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Zizou Bergs vs Jaume Munarbacked Jaume Munar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Jan Choinski vs Alexei Popyrinbacked Jan Choinski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+241.9%+$188.24
Mallorca Championships: Adam Walton vs Nick Kyrgiosbacked Nick Kyrgios · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Liam Broady vs August Holmgrenbacked August Holmgren · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$65
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Raphael Collignon vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+321.6%+$280.14
Mallorca Championships: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Martin Landalucebacked Jan-Lennard Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$106.25
Mallorca Championships: Fabian Marozsan vs Alex Molcanbacked Fabian Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+525%+$84
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Lautaro Midonbacked Lautaro Midon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.75
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Roman Safiullin vs James McCabebacked James McCabe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT2445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+31.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.06
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padresbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.74
Athletics vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$65
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+294.9%+$143.27
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$83.87
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+400%+$200
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$66.28
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.83
Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Texas Rangers vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Kansas City Royals vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$85.97
Texas Rangers vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.62
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+400%+$80
Los Angeles Angels vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+76.4%+$22.91
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cleveland Guardians vs. Houston Astros: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.57
Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankeesbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$30.94
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$12.03
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Metsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 24 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+74.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Barcelona vs. Valenciabacked Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Barcelona vs. La Laguna Tenerifebacked La Laguna Tenerife · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.