Tennis · resolved market
Bad Homburg Open: Karolina Muchova vs Irina-Camelia Begu
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84f5e314999c18e97c3bfa4fae274d7efed7805a0a541c993e937d93edb46725
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Karolina Muchovaof Karolina Muchova, Irina-Camelia Begu
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $188,612
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $175,736
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $188,612 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Irina-Camelia Begu | 14c | 17,988$2,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,491.31 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c50…e0c9backed Irina-Camelia Begu | 18c | 16,970$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 421 | 31.6%133 W · 288 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Irina-Camelia Begu | 14c | 15,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Irina-Camelia Begu | 9c | 9,730$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.07 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Irina-Camelia Begu | 15c | 8,593$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271.32 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Irina-Camelia Begu | 9c | 3,861$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.96 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x749e…1090backed Irina-Camelia Begu | 15c | 2,895$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.25 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Irina-Camelia Begu | 13c | 2,583$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.84 | 566 | 51.8%293 W · 273 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb5…7ce9backed Irina-Camelia Begu | 13c | 2,400$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…6586backed Irina-Camelia Begu | 13c | 1,787$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.31 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.25per pick | 33cpaid | +206.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked Irina-Camelia Begu | 13c | 1,753$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed Irina-Camelia Begu | 10c | 1,209$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 389 | 11.6%45 W · 344 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed Irina-Camelia Begu | 13c | 1,200$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Irina-Camelia Begu | 9c | 1,115$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.57 | 937 | 40.6%380 W · 557 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Irina-Camelia Begu | 15c | 1,035$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.9 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Irina-Camelia Begu | 13c | 874.88$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.9 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Irina-Camelia Begu | 13c | 861.54$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked Irina-Camelia Begu | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 184 | 30.4%56 W · 128 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Irina-Camelia Begu | 13c | 640.52$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.27 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Irina-Camelia Begu | 15c | 637.51$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.63 | 922 | 37.4%345 W · 577 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Irina-Camelia Begu | 13c | 558.98$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.67 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa216…b201backed Irina-Camelia Begu | 13c | 461.54$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c64…cb99backed Irina-Camelia Begu | 14c | 454.21$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.59 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Irina-Camelia Begu | 13c | 423.92$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.11 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…28f7backed Irina-Camelia Begu | 14c | 399.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 939 | 45.5%427 W · 512 L | +20.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Irina-Camelia Begu | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…de56backed Irina-Camelia Begu | 14c | 270.45$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.86 | 125 | 36.8%46 W · 79 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Irina-Camelia Begu | 10c | 260.63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Irina-Camelia Begu | 15c | 250$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Irina-Camelia Begu | 14c | 230$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…82f2backed Irina-Camelia Begu | 5c | 214.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 123 | 26.8%33 W · 90 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Irina-Camelia Begu | 13c | 212$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Irina-Camelia Begu | 15c | 205.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 917 | 54%495 W · 422 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Irina-Camelia Begu | 8c | 204.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 1,678 | 50.8%852 W · 826 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Irina-Camelia Begu | 14c | 200$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Irina-Camelia Begu | 11c | 190$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2a…4fd0backed Irina-Camelia Begu | 13c | 156$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Irina-Camelia Begu | 14c | 143$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d2…4a24backed Irina-Camelia Begu | 14c | 139.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 529 | 10%53 W · 476 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Irina-Camelia Begu | 13c | 130.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 97 | 37.1%36 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a31…80d4backed Irina-Camelia Begu | 15c | 130$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +46%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0a…ea32backed Irina-Camelia Begu | 10c | 126.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 436 | 18.3%80 W · 356 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdff7…d9d4backed Irina-Camelia Begu | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 250 | 20.8%52 W · 198 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Irina-Camelia Begu | 13c | 107.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 599 | 54.9%329 W · 270 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Irina-Camelia Begu | 14c | 101.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Irina-Camelia Begu | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 225 | 47.1%106 W · 119 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93cb…3485backed Irina-Camelia Begu | 15c | 99.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 306 | 39.9%122 W · 184 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x626d…e570backed Irina-Camelia Begu | 14c | 90$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 520 | 35.2%183 W · 337 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Irina-Camelia Begu | 14c | 81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Irina-Camelia Begu | 14c | 80$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…f2ffbacked Irina-Camelia Begu | 16c | 75.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 292 | 37.3%109 W · 183 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Irina-Camelia Begu | 18c | 69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 631 | 44.1%278 W · 353 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bad Homburg Open: Karolina Muchova vs Irina-Camelia Beguthis page
- Set Handicap: Muchova (-1.5) vs Begu (+1.5)Muchova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.