MLB · resolved market
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x999712f75732a392a6f2ba013db3775d8f7a1b4095004588abe02ffade52ce0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arizona Diamondbacksof Arizona Diamondbacks, St. Louis Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $216,049
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $207,949
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $216,049 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 242 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf152…64aabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 23,465$11,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,967.17 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 15,871$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,094.43 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 13,952$6,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,787.42 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 11,376$5,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,702.2 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 11,092$5,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,027.48 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 10,588$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,300 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…2a53backed St. Louis Cardinals | 0c | 10,550$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 56c | 10,399$5,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,619.28 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 9,167$5,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,355 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 7,902$4,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,299.34 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed St. Louis Cardinals | 14c | 6,877$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.57 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 34c | 6,452$2,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,225.68 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 4,879$2,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,488.22 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 58c | 4,699$2,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,982.98 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 0c | 4,450$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 3,525$1,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,621.49 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 3,392$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.59 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +237.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 3,033$1,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,556.65 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 2,855$1,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,427.58 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…e9dcbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 2,305$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.94 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 11c | 2,273$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.97 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed St. Louis Cardinals | 4c | 2,228$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.12 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 1,829$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.99 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7f…a160backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 1,816$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.33 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -33%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 56c | 1,781$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.26 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 15c | 1,622$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.06 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed St. Louis Cardinals | 11c | 1,547$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.2 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 1,337$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.74 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef0…fcf7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 6c | 1,096$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed St. Louis Cardinals | 13c | 1,029$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.89 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 1,010$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.9 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 53c | 994.8$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.56 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 946$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.46 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 66c | 917.24$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.25 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 899$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.45 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b9…5699backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 852.14$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 786.19$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.82 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafac…8730backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.23 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 756.6$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.87 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 698.55$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.2 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed St. Louis Cardinals | 25c | 677.16$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.04 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 48c | 665.7$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.16 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 54c | 641.79$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.07 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…b57abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 611.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.15 | 148 | 41.2%61 W · 87 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 604.53$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.68 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 565$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.5 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48a4…8c2ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.56 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 543.67$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.93 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…b6a4backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 57c | 526.72$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.72 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x990d…e207backed St. Louis Cardinals | 12c | 499.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.51 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +118.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 490.79$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.21 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 68c | 466.33$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.5 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 2c | 434.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 267 | 52.8%141 W · 126 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e66…bbd2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 34c | 415.98$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.57 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 410$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.1 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 408$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.08 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed St. Louis Cardinals | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5729…b054backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed St. Louis Cardinals | 13c | 372$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.09 | 400 | 43%172 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…4b13backed St. Louis Cardinals | 11c | 363.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 119 | 61.3%73 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…0690backed St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 317.03$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.62 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 303.06$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.56 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf887…db68backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 302.04$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.61 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed St. Louis Cardinals | 54c | 300$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.73 | 786 | 49.1%386 W · 400 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 119 | 61.3%73 W · 46 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 68c | 291.52$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.99 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a70…4865backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bae…0a3fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 4c | 270.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6986…3369backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 250.31$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.16 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 250$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.4 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…ceafbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 238.7$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.03 | 226 | 53.1%120 W · 106 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 234.29$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 358 | 49.4%177 W · 181 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 230$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 226.18$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.09 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 225$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 506 | 47%238 W · 268 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 56c | 223.8$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.14 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…e0c1backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +5.9wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed St. Louis Cardinals | 16c | 219.71$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.15 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 218$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.36 | 612 | 50.5%309 W · 303 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 52c | 205.13$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.06 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7772…0e56backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 204$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.04 | 208 | 48.6%101 W · 107 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 201.92$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 704 | 50.1%353 W · 351 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34f2…3bc2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 50c | 200$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0a…75acbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 196.15$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 465 | 46%214 W · 251 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb6…98fabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 190.82$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.5 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 188.02$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.43 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 49c | 185.05$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.51 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 296 | 56.1%166 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 172$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 391 | 51.9%203 W · 188 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 170.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.87 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinalsthis page
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 5.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 6.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-3.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-3.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.