TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Mallorca Championships: Murphy Cassone vs Ethan Quinn

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ethan Quinnof Murphy Cassone, Ethan Quinn
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$170,435
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$196,067

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $170,435 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6261…2e11backed Murphy Cassone35c13,443$4,698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,698.092035%7 W · 13 L-4.3wins-0.21per pick56cpaid-46%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x5c50…e0c9backed Murphy Cassone17c11,984$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00042131.6%133 W · 288 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Ethan Quinn70c11,060$7,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,351.7545957.5%264 W · 195 L+1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Murphy Cassone14c9,590$1,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,363.249,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Ethan Quinn71c4,219$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,218.8394968.1%646 W · 303 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Murphy Cassone10c4,071$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.0611,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf764…61e6backed Murphy Cassone15c3,235$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.2723723.6%56 W · 181 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e86…6dfbbacked Murphy Cassone8c2,831$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.9120444.6%91 W · 113 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30d5…36bfbacked Murphy Cassone12c2,810$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.215225%38 W · 114 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-29.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Ethan Quinn76c2,180$1,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.035,00941.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L-82.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ee4…ed67backed Murphy Cassone20c2,170$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.9428237.9%107 W · 175 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01fa…cea7backed Murphy Cassone33c1,500$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.7432935.6%117 W · 212 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7932…5b38backed Ethan Quinn80c1,428$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.9436157.1%206 W · 155 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Murphy Cassone21c1,417$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005,32528.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L-21.8wins0.00per pick29cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b2c…2151backed Murphy Cassone9c1,333$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12038911.6%45 W · 344 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64f4…b38ebacked Murphy Cassone16c1,250$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20028032.5%91 W · 189 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Murphy Cassone19c1,052$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.882,20436.9%813 W · 1,391 L+39.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Murphy Cassone17c1,000$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1709,37444.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L-244.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Murphy Cassone20c1,000$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.092,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9e38…1b52backed Murphy Cassone15c960$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14461924.4%151 W · 468 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf96d…20bebacked Murphy Cassone15c775.87$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.3848214.1%68 W · 414 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Murphy Cassone15c762.18$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.591,34949.8%672 W · 677 L-6.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked Ethan Quinn73c750.72$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.7259965.8%394 W · 205 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Murphy Cassone14c723$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.31,77252.1%923 W · 849 L-1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Murphy Cassone8c720.68$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.166,79236.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L-98.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6759…95a7backed Murphy Cassone36c698.55$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2489736.1%35 W · 62 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Murphy Cassone15c649.89$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.4880153.1%425 W · 376 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Murphy Cassone19c600$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1147,10739.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L-17.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Ethan Quinn77c593.01$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.41,82446.5%849 W · 975 L+20.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe857…7b3bbacked Murphy Cassone7c564.57$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8883823.2%194 W · 644 L-58.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-26.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6a17…5f06backed Murphy Cassone33c558.24$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18413137.4%49 W · 82 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1c…8401backed Ethan Quinn69c506.75$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.211163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec7a…a1f2backed Ethan Quinn62c482.43$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.4314766.7%98 W · 49 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Murphy Cassone21c480$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.41,58042.3%668 W · 912 L+18.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7803…132fbacked Murphy Cassone14c373.93$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.3513634.6%47 W · 89 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc905…850bbacked Ethan Quinn80c368.13$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.6335755.5%198 W · 159 L+0.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Murphy Cassone33c330.62$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.33,71145.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Murphy Cassone45c326.11$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.751,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c5c…91fcbacked Ethan Quinn79c322.33$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.6945451.3%233 W · 221 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Murphy Cassone13c318$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.11,73052.2%903 W · 827 L-8.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd9af…359cbacked Murphy Cassone44c317.29$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.6152457.3%300 W · 224 L+29.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb1a0…fb89backed Murphy Cassone29c316.37$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9118741.2%77 W · 110 L+0.9wins0.00per pick41cpaid+13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42d6…01ccbacked Ethan Quinn80c312.5$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.51,07762.8%676 W · 401 L-27.9wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34f9…12ebbacked Murphy Cassone30c306.83$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.0518430.4%56 W · 128 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Murphy Cassone5c305.51$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.76,57446.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L-45.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Murphy Cassone25c303.56$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.891,37138.3%525 W · 846 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4c9…8803backed Murphy Cassone34c290.92$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1813743.1%59 W · 78 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x287d…38febacked Murphy Cassone20c286.03$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.8337421.9%82 W · 292 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a14…9fe4backed Murphy Cassone12c284.83$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.1841535.4%147 W · 268 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Ethan Quinn79c277.82$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.343,31948.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L-52.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Murphy Cassone23c276.44$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.731,22823.1%284 W · 944 L-164.0wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-47%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Murphy Cassone20c253.55$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.713,72642.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L-48.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98eb…60f0backed Ethan Quinn80c243.51$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.728147.3%133 W · 148 L-16.5wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c64…cb99backed Murphy Cassone22c232.36$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504723.4%11 W · 36 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-27.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Ethan Quinn75c220.62$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.454,34152.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L+63.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9678…cfe5backed Murphy Cassone33c218.97$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.262634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.6wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-37.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x52be…801ebacked Ethan Quinn65c213.52$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.8630749.8%153 W · 154 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Murphy Cassone37c200$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.371,90444.1%839 W · 1,065 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Murphy Cassone20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402,27542.7%972 W · 1,303 L+33.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Murphy Cassone21c181.82$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.181,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfe9…7af9backed Ethan Quinn80c175$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick59cpaid+6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bdb…a90dbacked Murphy Cassone18c170$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.626921.2%57 W · 212 L-10.2wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Murphy Cassone9c151.17$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.272,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Ethan Quinn78c142$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.0874547.4%353 W · 392 L-28.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa7c0…dadabacked Murphy Cassone35c140$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4954634.4%188 W · 358 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Murphy Cassone20c126.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2578536.1%283 W · 502 L+36.6wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x79d0…4dffbacked Ethan Quinn64c125.53$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.5331220.5%64 W · 248 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa15b…128abacked Ethan Quinn80c125.04$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.0414770.7%104 W · 43 L+8.9wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Ethan Quinn80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Murphy Cassone20c120$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed Murphy Cassone15c118.7$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3943750.3%220 W · 217 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x985d…33c9backed Murphy Cassone21c116.34$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251,30036.9%480 W · 820 L-34.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88f9…5c03backed Murphy Cassone24c114$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3639257.7%226 W · 166 L+17.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6d2…4a24backed Murphy Cassone19c110.74$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0452910%53 W · 476 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ea6…428abacked Ethan Quinn57c101.84$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.8429048.3%140 W · 150 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Murphy Cassone20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed Ethan Quinn80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2041272.8%300 W · 112 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2e0…5a1bbacked Murphy Cassone12c97.42$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1221533.5%72 W · 143 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Murphy Cassone21c96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.162,52836.2%914 W · 1,614 L-26.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82aa…fe2fbacked Murphy Cassone20c94$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.862727.3%171 W · 456 L-15.7wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Ethan Quinn75c88.22$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.921,45950.1%731 W · 728 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Murphy Cassone16c81$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9663144.1%278 W · 353 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Murphy Cassone21c80.73$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.951,15841.4%479 W · 679 L+24.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Murphy Cassone45c78.11$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.151,63955.1%903 W · 736 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e68…b271backed Ethan Quinn69c75.14$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.299447.9%45 W · 49 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Murphy Cassone22c72.72$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1650340%201 W · 302 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc93d…23d5backed Murphy Cassone15c72.12$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.824748.6%120 W · 127 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1646…2f81backed Ethan Quinn80c53.93$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7931849.7%158 W · 160 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+18%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Murphy Cassone20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1083747.6%398 W · 439 L-2.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Murphy Cassone20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1767848.4%328 W · 350 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe432…934abacked Ethan Quinn78c47$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.341662.5%10 W · 6 L-0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89e8…c85fbacked Ethan Quinn61c40.72$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.886448.4%31 W · 33 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x57d8…a490backed Murphy Cassone34c38.18$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.981457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5a2…ad5abacked Ethan Quinn69c38.17$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.672969%20 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8c8…b949backed Ethan Quinn80c29.3$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.8622559.1%133 W · 92 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3f9…45a7backed Ethan Quinn80c26.25$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2538066.3%252 W · 128 L-0.7wins0.00per pick67cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Ethan Quinn74c25.51$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.532,09944.5%935 W · 1,164 L-51.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Ethan Quinn66c20.15$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.951,88257.4%1,081 W · 801 L+104.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x326d…3584backed Ethan Quinn72c19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.3218433.2%61 W · 123 L-40.4wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-42.3%equal weight29-0.19 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Ethan Quinn76c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.661,62949%798 W · 831 L-51.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.