Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Quinn (-1.5) vs Cassone (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd99118ae6f0f9fabaa2802543ed6fdcadc669227e7222e8cac09200ec0eb52e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cassoneof Quinn, Cassone
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,638
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,287
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,638 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Quinn | 61c | 8,046$4,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,882.44 | 459 | 57.5%264 W · 195 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Cassone | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,099.99 | 4,082 | 39.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L | +93.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Cassone | 42c | 2,368$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,373.68 | 428 | 41.6%178 W · 250 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Cassone | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.99 | 1,102 | 52.2%575 W · 527 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58dc…59e4backed Quinn | 61c | 1,235$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -7.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Cassone | 39c | 1,026$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.64 | 439 | 43.7%192 W · 247 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Quinn | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Cassone | 39c | 875.66$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.49 | 2,204 | 36.9%813 W · 1,391 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Quinn | 62c | 803.15$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.67 | 359 | 55.7%200 W · 159 L | +20.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Cassone | 45c | 600$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Quinn | 55c | 591.71$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.68 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Cassone | 38c | 481.43$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.65 | 1,158 | 41.4%479 W · 679 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Cassone | 39c | 478.16$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.68 | 499 | 42.3%211 W · 288 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84bc…4aadbacked Quinn | 62c | 401.03$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.64 | 242 | 45%109 W · 133 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Quinn | 61c | 325.45$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 357 | 55.5%198 W · 159 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Quinn | 61c | 247.81$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.13 | 2,433 | 50.8%1,236 W · 1,197 L | +81.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Cassone | 36c | 185.75$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.88 | 737 | 48%354 W · 383 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52be…801ebacked Quinn | 61c | 131.15$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 307 | 49.8%153 W · 154 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabc3…10aebacked Quinn | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Quinn | 62c | 80$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 1,877 | 59.4%1,115 W · 762 L | +8.5wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Quinn | 60c | 75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Cassone | 38c | 71$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.02 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c8…b949backed Quinn | 63c | 69.73$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.93 | 225 | 59.1%133 W · 92 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Quinn | 64c | 65.63$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 826 | 57.1%472 W · 354 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd2…564ebacked Quinn | 61c | 63.49$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.73 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Cassone | 42c | 47.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.92 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1f…7661backed Quinn | 60c | 42.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 233 | 52.8%123 W · 110 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…3926backed Quinn | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 594 | 66.7%396 W · 198 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Cassone | 39c | 32.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 3,884 | 35%1,358 W · 2,526 L | +92.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Cassone | 39c | 27.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.99 | 472 | 51.3%242 W · 230 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2821…9534backed Quinn | 61c | 24.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Quinn (-1.5) vs Cassone (+1.5)this page
- Cassone vs. Quinn: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Cassone vs. Quinn: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Cassone vs. Quinn: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- Mallorca Championships: Murphy Cassone vs Ethan QuinnEthan Quinn won
- Murphy Cassone vs. Ethan Quinn: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.