Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Roman Safiullin vs James McCabe
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x683423d89692949b090699bf3eec6a22d862ae3db2909557e913f0a69080aea5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Roman Safiullinof Roman Safiullin, James McCabe
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,541
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,461
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,541 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Roman Safiullin | 71c | 5,638$3,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,654.73 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Roman Safiullin | 78c | 5,595$4,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.24 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed James McCabe | 32c | 4,568$1,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.37 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked James McCabe | 17c | 2,941$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.97 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Roman Safiullin | 79c | 2,134$1,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.62 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd179…74adbacked James McCabe | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 287 | 56.1%161 W · 126 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64f4…b38ebacked James McCabe | 21c | 1,429$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 277 | 32.5%90 W · 187 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2374…a426backed James McCabe | 18c | 1,170$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.26 | 873 | 37.1%324 W · 549 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed James McCabe | 30c | 1,059$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.69 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7002…395cbacked James McCabe | 31c | 1,019$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.03 | 222 | 52.7%117 W · 105 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Roman Safiullin | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Roman Safiullin | 68c | 871.45$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.45 | 798 | 55.9%446 W · 352 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c9…8803backed James McCabe | 27c | 840.63$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.97 | 137 | 43.1%59 W · 78 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed James McCabe | 32c | 600$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked James McCabe | 33c | 584.03$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.5 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed James McCabe | 16c | 470$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.9 | 489 | 41.1%201 W · 288 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed James McCabe | 15c | 466.84$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.41 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Roman Safiullin | 68c | 450.97$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.1 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed James McCabe | 13c | 396.58$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.72 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed James McCabe | 31c | 387.09$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…9cfbbacked James McCabe | 33c | 310$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.3 | 357 | 47.9%171 W · 186 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x292b…bf0ebacked Roman Safiullin | 67c | 309.97$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.29 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Roman Safiullin | 67c | 253.5$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.49 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed James McCabe | 20c | 244.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 302 | 26.8%81 W · 221 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd2…f868backed Roman Safiullin | 68c | 240$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.8 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Roman Safiullin | 79c | 211.69$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.98 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Roman Safiullin | 78c | 205$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.31 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Roman Safiullin | 68c | 166$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.43 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked James McCabe | 13c | 153$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd423…0dacbacked Roman Safiullin | 68c | 150$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Roman Safiullin | 72c | 146.56$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.04 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Roman Safiullin | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 580 | 45.9%266 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked James McCabe | 32c | 135.09$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.23 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Roman Safiullin | 69c | 133.66$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.13 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Roman Safiullin | 79c | 126.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.48 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Roman Safiullin | 68c | 109.76$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.12 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c64…cb99backed James McCabe | 17c | 105.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Roman Safiullin | 72c | 104$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 737 | 48%354 W · 383 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked James McCabe | 32c | 99.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed James McCabe | 32c | 90$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed James McCabe | 31c | 89.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.89 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked James McCabe | 14c | 89.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 992 | 44.7%443 W · 549 L | -29.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80e0…2b0dbacked James McCabe | 28c | 88.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb05e…599abacked Roman Safiullin | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Roman Safiullin | 70c | 71.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.65 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed James McCabe | 21c | 65.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed James McCabe | 33c | 61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa461…878abacked Roman Safiullin | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 219 | 64.8%142 W · 77 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked James McCabe | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 834 | 47.5%396 W · 438 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Roman Safiullin | 77c | 49.83$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked James McCabe | 32c | 49.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…b4f2backed James McCabe | 32c | 44.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 457 | 44.2%202 W · 255 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5e…f0c5backed Roman Safiullin | 72c | 41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 232 | 72.8%169 W · 63 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 75cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a01…1a3cbacked Roman Safiullin | 73c | 40.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.06 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed Roman Safiullin | 68c | 40.41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 335 | 58.5%196 W · 139 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Roman Safiullin | 66c | 37.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked Roman Safiullin | 68c | 25.41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 586 | 65.5%384 W · 202 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Roman Safiullin | 74c | 18.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x185d…7b68backed Roman Safiullin | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde67…a253backed Roman Safiullin | 69c | 14.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.61 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -5.1wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2a…7682backed Roman Safiullin | 76c | 14.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.