Euroleague · resolved market
Barcelona vs. La Laguna Tenerife
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c5cdf1b43c47c3cffa5bdd308e0d31b7e5b61c27aad59afd9cbc446f4acb162
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Barcelonaof Barcelona, La Laguna Tenerife
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,694
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,032
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,694 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed La Laguna Tenerife | 17c | 5,448$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.14 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…b715backed La Laguna Tenerife | 19c | 1,600$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.93 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked La Laguna Tenerife | 6c | 1,518$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.11 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Barcelona | 78c | 1,477$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.85 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed La Laguna Tenerife | 6c | 1,125$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.27 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked La Laguna Tenerife | 20c | 1,010$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.98 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…70c5backed La Laguna Tenerife | 30c | 899.17$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.75 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x297e…612fbacked La Laguna Tenerife | 15c | 775.74$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed La Laguna Tenerife | 3c | 718.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Barcelona | 73c | 425.39$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.85 | 215 | 35.8%77 W · 138 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa3…e22bbacked La Laguna Tenerife | 18c | 353.11$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.56 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84b2…caaabacked La Laguna Tenerife | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63f5…09ddbacked La Laguna Tenerife | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed La Laguna Tenerife | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed La Laguna Tenerife | 11c | 125.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…fe16backed La Laguna Tenerife | 18c | 105.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…2b8abacked La Laguna Tenerife | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c64…cb99backed La Laguna Tenerife | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed La Laguna Tenerife | 16c | 91.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked La Laguna Tenerife | 12c | 90.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57f7…57f4backed La Laguna Tenerife | 18c | 61.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x831c…ce7dbacked Barcelona | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.