MLB · resolved market
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfada1a1ea8a231ee0e232b0fbb0b57b1230693f0981de1e72176fd5b4f4700b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Dodgersof Baltimore Orioles, Los Angeles Dodgers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,242,723
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,331,206
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,242,723 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 332 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x89dd…f662backed Baltimore Orioles | 35c | 313,096$109,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109,119.85 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4be1…aa70backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 21c | 250,000$52,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197,937.64 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b21…a230backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 65c | 147,000$95,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,450 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 65c | 69,576$45,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,274.52 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 64c | 64,488$41,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,069.28 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 72c | 55,555$40,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,555.39 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed Baltimore Orioles | 35c | 35,000$12,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,250 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Baltimore Orioles | 76c | 29,853$22,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,618.39 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Baltimore Orioles | 78c | 20,271$15,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,906.05 | 400 | 43%172 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a9…7c4ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 0c | 20,092$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 262 | 51.9%136 W · 126 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 34c | 15,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…c372backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 21c | 14,249$2,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,321.13 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 12,686$7,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,217.76 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 38c | 12,572$4,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,850.82 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Baltimore Orioles | 33c | 12,190$3,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,975 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 67c | 11,778$7,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,921.46 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Baltimore Orioles | 79c | 11,100$8,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,769 | 174 | 17.2%30 W · 144 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 10,869$6,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,459.83 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Baltimore Orioles | 78c | 10,620$8,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,294.9 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…0009backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 64c | 8,928$5,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,213.9 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 58c | 8,170$4,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,410.27 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 65c | 7,500$4,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,625 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Baltimore Orioles | 34c | 6,894$2,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,343.95 | 285 | 53.3%152 W · 133 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 65c | 6,244$4,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,185.27 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Baltimore Orioles | 34c | 5,783$1,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,963.52 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 4,897$2,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,237.18 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 34c | 4,785$1,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,627 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 67c | 4,500$3,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,485 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ede…2de3backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 70c | 4,302$3,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290.74 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Baltimore Orioles | 79c | 4,197$3,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,299.46 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 79c | 3,709$2,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,930.16 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 61c | 3,382$2,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,059.69 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5711…2f81backed Baltimore Orioles | 35c | 3,299$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 67c | 3,277$2,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.38 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00df…701bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 1c | 3,060$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 67c | 3,007$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.97 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Baltimore Orioles | 34c | 2,864$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.76 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcd…0320backed Baltimore Orioles | 8c | 2,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Baltimore Orioles | 20c | 2,492$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.3 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 65c | 2,309$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.15 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.03 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 1,884$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.87 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Baltimore Orioles | 34c | 1,765$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Baltimore Orioles | 17c | 1,751$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.61 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Baltimore Orioles | 79c | 1,688$1,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.85 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 35c | 1,666$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.36 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 79c | 1,658$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.52 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Baltimore Orioles | 34c | 1,597$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.39 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 1,588$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.43 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 75c | 1,516$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.98 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 79c | 1,391$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.9 | 445 | 56.9%253 W · 192 L | +27.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 34c | 1,275$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.45 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Baltimore Orioles | 77c | 1,255$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.14 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Baltimore Orioles | 79c | 1,254$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.28 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 60c | 1,236$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.03 | 124 | 50%62 W · 62 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6101…23bcbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 25c | 1,178$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.16 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 67c | 1,131$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.21 | 209 | 45%94 W · 115 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked Baltimore Orioles | 34c | 1,111$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.8 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…fad8backed Baltimore Orioles | 1c | 1,100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 79c | 1,100$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869 | 266 | 18.4%49 W · 217 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Baltimore Orioles | 35c | 1,066$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.39 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 1,014$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.49 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 58c | 1,013$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.36 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 66c | 851.42$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.64 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17bf…9f29backed Baltimore Orioles | 34c | 835.68$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.13 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Baltimore Orioles | 36c | 833.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 65c | 814.2$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.97 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Baltimore Orioles | 18c | 803.06$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.55 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 65c | 791.2$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.34 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 27c | 771.16$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.91 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 30c | 767.38$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.69 | 229 | 48.5%111 W · 118 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 66c | 766.61$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.07 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Baltimore Orioles | 79c | 758.72$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.39 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Baltimore Orioles | 34c | 757.97$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.82 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 80c | 747$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.74 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Baltimore Orioles | 35c | 717.35$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Baltimore Orioles | 34c | 711$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.74 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd82…9f66backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 40c | 687.65$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.02 | 159 | 37.7%60 W · 99 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Baltimore Orioles | 17c | 682.33$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.43 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 676$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.43 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 28c | 649$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.41 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83bf…0ef2backed Baltimore Orioles | 35c | 642.86$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 17c | 634.85$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.73 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 23c | 627.39$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.63 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 66c | 606.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.06 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc920…e442backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 66c | 606.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 66c | 591.97$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.72 | 469 | 46.3%217 W · 252 L | -25.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53a1…76b7backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +325.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 69c | 575.76$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.1 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Baltimore Orioles | 33c | 568.17$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +6.2wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 552.88$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.21 | 195 | 66.2%129 W · 66 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 64c | 540$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.8 | 411 | 52.3%215 W · 196 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc8…4c76backed Baltimore Orioles | 27c | 536$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 30c | 526.56$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.92 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Baltimore Orioles | 5c | 520$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…d4acbacked Baltimore Orioles | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed Baltimore Orioles | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Baltimore Orioles | 33c | 499.89$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.96 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgersthis page
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 10.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 11.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 12.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-3.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-4.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles DodgersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.