MLB · resolved market

Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x188e4bc6ffc19b228df0b7930523a543037668f520da1aee6b43fbdc0bcec0e4

Rebuilt 50 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Baltimore Oriolesof Los Angeles Dodgers, Baltimore Orioles
Resolved: Jun 20, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $106,112
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $115,919

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,112 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1e77…8c33backed Baltimore Orioles	50c	24,000$12,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,000	283	50.9%144 W · 139 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers	50c	19,828$9,909 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,908.64	11,357	52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L	+209.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Los Angeles Dodgers	49c	18,111$8,876 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,875.5	1,851	53.1%982 W · 869 L	+18.1wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Baltimore Orioles	51c	15,000$7,611 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,388.88	479	53.2%255 W · 224 L	+18.0wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Los Angeles Dodgers	49c	11,478$5,624 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,624.41	1,385	49.5%685 W · 700 L	-4.9wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Baltimore Orioles	51c	10,000$5,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,900	613	51.5%316 W · 297 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Baltimore Orioles	50c	9,883$4,972 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,911.29	5,401	50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L	+17.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Baltimore Orioles	51c	7,049$3,595 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,454.17	4,478	48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L	-47.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Baltimore Orioles	51c	3,436$1,757 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,679.5	2,104	51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L	+11.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Los Angeles Dodgers	49c	2,721$1,327 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,326.65	3,453	51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L	+58.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Los Angeles Dodgers	50c	2,685$1,332 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,332.34	4,279	47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L	-83.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Los Angeles Dodgers	49c	2,674$1,321 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,321.25	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3ef0…fcf7backed Los Angeles Dodgers	27c	2,504$688 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$688.35	25	40%10 W · 15 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Baltimore Orioles	61c	1,817$1,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$717.06	2,012	51.2%1,031 W · 981 L	+43.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Los Angeles Dodgers	48c	1,450$702 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$702.04	2,369	47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Baltimore Orioles	68c	1,319$898 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$421.58	8,086	46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L	+29.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Los Angeles Dodgers	50c	1,231$615 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$614.72	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe478…28eabacked Los Angeles Dodgers	51c	1,183$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	68	58.8%40 W · 28 L	+3.9wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Baltimore Orioles	50c	1,000$499 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500.72	1,836	50.8%932 W · 904 L	-3.9wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Dodgers	59c	936.45$555 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$555.33	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Baltimore Orioles	46c	737$339 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$397.67	8,470	52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L	+510.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd56c…bdd5backed Los Angeles Dodgers	51c	584.99$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	55	45.5%25 W · 30 L	-4.5wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c8e…a316backed Baltimore Orioles	49c	499.99$245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$254.99	226	38.5%87 W · 139 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bd6…bf96backed Los Angeles Dodgers	50c	433.52$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.76	131	48.9%64 W · 67 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xad88…3c1ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	483	54.7%264 W · 219 L	+20.8wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x45ff…6412backed Los Angeles Dodgers	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Baltimore Orioles	50c	318$159 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$159	1,284	49.5%635 W · 649 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xab96…989fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers	48c	313.75$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.6	28	39.3%11 W · 17 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Los Angeles Dodgers	51c	300$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.82	586	52.7%309 W · 277 L	+14.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2af9…a6d5backed Los Angeles Dodgers	51c	294.12$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Los Angeles Dodgers	49c	244.89$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	945	49%463 W · 482 L	-38.2wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Los Angeles Dodgers	5c	222.79$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.1	2,147	50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L	+27.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe741…a9d1backed Los Angeles Dodgers	51c	213$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.63	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+1.1wins	+0.10per pick	54cpaid	+15%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Baltimore Orioles	50c	213$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.44	2,800	49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e60…536bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers	54c	200.91$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.39	145	35.9%52 W · 93 L	+5.1wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fd6…d7babacked Los Angeles Dodgers	51c	196.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	-4.6wins	-0.20per pick	50cpaid	-43.1%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Baltimore Orioles	49c	183.25$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.92	1,042	49.4%515 W · 527 L	+13.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Los Angeles Dodgers	16c	179$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.92	4,381	44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L	+77.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9a0…c52bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers	57c	175.53$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	231	45.5%105 W · 126 L	-8.8wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Los Angeles Dodgers	51c	149$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.99	1,569	51.1%801 W · 768 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Los Angeles Dodgers	33c	147.97$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.36	1,927	17.2%331 W · 1,596 L	-320.3wins	-0.17per pick	34cpaid	-64.3%equal weight	32-0.16 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Baltimore Orioles	48c	137.74$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.63	2,296	49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L	+37.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Baltimore Orioles	35c	117.99$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.5	3,457	51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L	+108.1wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Baltimore Orioles	65c	116.8$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.88	997	44.1%440 W · 557 L	-38.0wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Baltimore Orioles	51c	115$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.65	2,947	51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L	-34.0wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec14…7fafbacked Los Angeles Dodgers	49c	102.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	478	49%234 W · 244 L	+14.0wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Baltimore Orioles	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	515	45.2%233 W · 282 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5777…f1a7backed Baltimore Orioles	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	73	43.8%32 W · 41 L	-4.3wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Los Angeles Dodgers	51c	98.29$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1,197	53.9%645 W · 552 L	+42.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0448…5a75backed Los Angeles Dodgers	51c	98.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	304	46.4%141 W · 163 L	-25.6wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Los Angeles Dodgers	52c	93.17$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.45	979	44.4%435 W · 544 L	-22.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-18%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers	28c	93.11$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.42	1,723	50.3%867 W · 856 L	+55.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Baltimore Orioles	22c	79.4$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.54	2,144	39.6%849 W · 1,295 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Los Angeles Dodgers	45c	60.53$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.23	1,147	31.6%362 W · 785 L	-97.5wins	-0.09per pick	40cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers	51c	50$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.5	1,279	51.2%655 W · 624 L	-19.1wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Baltimore Orioles	50c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.83	1,172	49.1%575 W · 597 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfae5…f940backed Los Angeles Dodgers	50c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	816	51.8%423 W · 393 L	-15.3wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27b1…3813backed Baltimore Orioles	49c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.5	179	53.1%95 W · 84 L	+4.5wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Baltimore Orioles	53c	44.28$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.69	2,223	55.4%1,231 W · 992 L	+73.9wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x40d6…9892backed Los Angeles Dodgers	50c	42.3$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.27	344	51.5%177 W · 167 L	-8.2wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cb1…6c8fbacked Baltimore Orioles	66c	40.03$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.6	276	52.9%146 W · 130 L	+9.1wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Los Angeles Dodgers	50c	39.44$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.72	738	49.3%364 W · 374 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0887…28f3backed Los Angeles Dodgers	51c	39.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	154	52.6%81 W · 73 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a0b…d29dbacked Baltimore Orioles	51c	37.1$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.18	181	51.9%94 W · 87 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x522f…1164backed Baltimore Orioles	52c	30$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.4	392	50.3%197 W · 195 L	+18.0wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Baltimore Orioles	49c	29.99$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.44	2,376	49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L	+17.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c5f…5449backed Los Angeles Dodgers	51c	29.8$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.2	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e9f…5b6fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers	49c	28.57$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	36	55.6%20 W · 16 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f9…5273backed Baltimore Orioles	46c	26.54$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.33	536	44.6%239 W · 297 L	-11.3wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8263…e0f1backed Baltimore Orioles	47c	24.99$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.29	347	54.8%190 W · 157 L	+12.5wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2638…8e2dbacked Baltimore Orioles	50c	23.31$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.66	132	52.3%69 W · 63 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa05a…4635backed Baltimore Orioles	45c	22.88$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.69	830	53%440 W · 390 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Baltimore Orioles	76c	21$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.04	1,708	49.9%852 W · 856 L	-17.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x250f…4fc6backed Baltimore Orioles	48c	21$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.92	130	25.4%33 W · 97 L	-17.3wins	-0.13per pick	39cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb224…dfa6backed Baltimore Orioles	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	47	57.4%27 W · 20 L	+2.9wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	619	48.6%301 W · 318 L	+5.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36f4…0eb2backed Baltimore Orioles	54c	19.39$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.92	859	49.1%422 W · 437 L	-3.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)this page
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles DodgersLos Angeles Dodgers won
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5Over won
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 10.5Over won
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 11.5Under won
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 12.5Under won
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 6.5Over won
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5Over won
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5Over won
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5Over won
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-3.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)Baltimore Orioles won
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-4.5)Baltimore Orioles won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles DodgersYes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event