MLB · resolved market
Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1cd9ef1839a80ef347028d0584e2fc248708c73229919bc6cca3f5a90e501738
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Diego Padresof Atlanta Braves, San Diego Padres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $918,435
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $938,231
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $918,435 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 445 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 203,306$103,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100,020.39 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 172,550$83,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88,873.99 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2643…39aebacked Atlanta Braves | 50c | 160,474$80,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80,237.09 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Atlanta Braves | 55c | 43,927$24,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,245.11 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…db28backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 43,746$23,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,999.84 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 33,295$15,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,441.71 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 29,678$14,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,542.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed San Diego Padres | 70c | 26,461$18,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,896.4 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Atlanta Braves | 49c | 26,442$13,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,033.28 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Atlanta Braves | 56c | 19,552$10,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,934.25 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb781…9ba9backed Atlanta Braves | 26c | 17,876$4,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,669.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 15,554$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,777 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 15,306$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 15,078$7,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,458.83 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 14,779$7,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,241.73 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +237.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 14,615$7,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,161.14 | 285 | 53.3%152 W · 133 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Atlanta Braves | 30c | 11,109$3,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,376.41 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Atlanta Braves | 69c | 10,198$7,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,004.69 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed San Diego Padres | 52c | 10,000$5,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,850 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 9,918$5,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,353.06 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 9,653$4,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,809.86 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Atlanta Braves | 49c | 9,503$4,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,691.53 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Atlanta Braves | 51c | 8,433$4,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,267.83 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Atlanta Braves | 59c | 8,251$4,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,855.76 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 7,777$3,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,810.73 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed San Diego Padres | 67c | 6,827$4,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,282.5 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 6,414$3,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,193.88 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4579…9352backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…3323backed San Diego Padres | 69c | 5,958$4,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,857.96 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -38%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 5,952$2,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,975.92 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 5,949$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,899.58 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Atlanta Braves | 51c | 5,815$2,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,939.09 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x595d…9ad0backed Atlanta Braves | 52c | 4,815$2,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,481.9 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 4,397$2,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,168.33 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 4,387$2,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,307.57 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Atlanta Braves | 57c | 3,942$2,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,262.84 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Atlanta Braves | 57c | 3,831$2,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,184.53 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…e9dcbacked Atlanta Braves | 54c | 2,957$1,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,597.28 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed Atlanta Braves | 62c | 2,761$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 2,740$1,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,336.7 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed San Diego Padres | 21c | 2,715$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,137.9 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b4…a4f5backed San Diego Padres | 37c | 2,642$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,655.25 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 52cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked San Diego Padres | 32c | 2,604$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770.66 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Atlanta Braves | 61c | 2,510$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,535.15 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 2,398$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.62 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed San Diego Padres | 65c | 2,252$1,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.95 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x729b…1b33backed Atlanta Braves | 39c | 2,149$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.01 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Atlanta Braves | 46c | 2,019$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.77 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc908…2f61backed Atlanta Braves | 59c | 1,885$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Atlanta Braves | 9c | 1,853$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.8 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed San Diego Padres | 56c | 1,653$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.97 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 1,639$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.05 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked San Diego Padres | 51c | 1,633$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.17 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Atlanta Braves | 49c | 1,603$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.32 | 168 | 45.8%77 W · 91 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 1,588$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.52 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed San Diego Padres | 68c | 1,569$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 1,558$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.16 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 1,551$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.29 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9905…add3backed Atlanta Braves | 52c | 1,538$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49d6…ea7bbacked San Diego Padres | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.15 | 109 | 13.8%15 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked San Diego Padres | 51c | 1,515$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.58 | 242 | 52.9%128 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd052…563dbacked San Diego Padres | 68c | 1,473$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Atlanta Braves | 71c | 1,461$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.72 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed San Diego Padres | 51c | 1,451$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.67 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Atlanta Braves | 67c | 1,330$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.19 | 346 | 50.9%176 W · 170 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Atlanta Braves | 74c | 1,303$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.06 | 218 | 41.3%90 W · 128 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed San Diego Padres | 54c | 1,243$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.33 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…22edbacked San Diego Padres | 59c | 1,212$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.34 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Atlanta Braves | 66c | 1,196$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.75 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 1,142$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.58 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Atlanta Braves | 78c | 1,129$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.24 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 1,107$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.43 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Atlanta Braves | 46c | 1,089$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Atlanta Braves | 35c | 1,083$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Atlanta Braves | 49c | 1,082$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.18 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked San Diego Padres | 58c | 1,073$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.3 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked San Diego Padres | 48c | 1,073$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.86 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9af…359cbacked San Diego Padres | 27c | 1,057$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.99 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 1,021$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.84 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…858cbacked Atlanta Braves | 50c | 1,020$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Atlanta Braves | 39c | 1,019$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.27 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Atlanta Braves | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Atlanta Braves | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef3a…1eb3backed Atlanta Braves | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed San Diego Padres | 71c | 970$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.86 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Atlanta Braves | 50c | 960$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4c…9671backed Atlanta Braves | 72c | 939.11$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.16 | 37 | 78.4%29 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed San Diego Padres | 33c | 909.09$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.09 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6592…2767backed San Diego Padres | 33c | 909.09$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Atlanta Braves | 50c | 881$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.5 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed San Diego Padres | 48c | 874.52$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.53 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padresthis page
- Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 10.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 11.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 5.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 6.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-3.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-4.5)San Diego Padres won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego PadresNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.