WNBA · resolved market
New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas Aces
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad970ab46d2351a5250bc777e2fe4a4b9ddfe96b3b36c33e106b4b00dc169485
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Libertyof New York Liberty, Las Vegas Aces
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $379,118
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $432,895
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $379,118 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 233 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Las Vegas Aces | 10c | 33,241$3,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,363.88 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…d9edbacked Las Vegas Aces | 2c | 20,500$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 93 | 18.3%17 W · 76 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed New York Liberty | 61c | 17,165$10,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,705.09 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Las Vegas Aces | 55c | 14,888$8,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,201.48 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed New York Liberty | 45c | 11,787$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,487.38 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed New York Liberty | 68c | 11,526$7,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,635.33 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed New York Liberty | 45c | 10,887$4,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,987.62 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad09…612cbacked New York Liberty | 45c | 10,793$4,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,936.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Las Vegas Aces | 55c | 10,210$5,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,617.68 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Las Vegas Aces | 48c | 8,215$3,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,910.99 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…e9dcbacked Las Vegas Aces | 18c | 8,083$1,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,493.4 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed Las Vegas Aces | 38c | 7,580$2,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,853 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Las Vegas Aces | 55c | 7,476$4,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,131.71 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Las Vegas Aces | 1c | 6,794$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.76 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Las Vegas Aces | 44c | 6,640$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,899.53 | 230 | 49.6%114 W · 116 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed New York Liberty | 67c | 6,352$4,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,126.29 | 121 | 65.3%79 W · 42 L | +15.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x389d…a58fbacked New York Liberty | 48c | 6,319$3,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,310.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce37…a2d6backed Las Vegas Aces | 10c | 6,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d53…eb1abacked New York Liberty | 43c | 5,850$2,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,334.49 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked New York Liberty | 44c | 5,661$2,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,159.61 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Las Vegas Aces | 40c | 5,573$2,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,230.34 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked New York Liberty | 55c | 5,490$3,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,447.18 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0de…8048backed Las Vegas Aces | 57c | 5,367$3,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,033.72 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Las Vegas Aces | 56c | 5,201$2,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,912.62 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked New York Liberty | 77c | 3,978$3,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.42 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Las Vegas Aces | 6c | 3,683$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.13 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5d…80a3backed Las Vegas Aces | 56c | 3,661$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Las Vegas Aces | 7c | 3,584$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.72 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed New York Liberty | 44c | 3,034$1,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,698.88 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Las Vegas Aces | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed New York Liberty | 74c | 2,681$1,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.95 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d0…5fc2backed New York Liberty | 45c | 2,356$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.27 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Las Vegas Aces | 29c | 2,275$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.07 | 314 | 48.4%152 W · 162 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Las Vegas Aces | 53c | 2,230$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.99 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed New York Liberty | 44c | 2,226$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.65 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Las Vegas Aces | 35c | 2,149$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.3 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Las Vegas Aces | 2c | 2,104$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8927…f5c6backed Las Vegas Aces | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 130 | 24.6%32 W · 98 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Las Vegas Aces | 28c | 1,931$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.01 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Las Vegas Aces | 56c | 1,889$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.29 | 320 | 49.4%158 W · 162 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa62a…f05bbacked Las Vegas Aces | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Las Vegas Aces | 52c | 1,854$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.34 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Las Vegas Aces | 28c | 1,854$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.75 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Las Vegas Aces | 30c | 1,830$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.69 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c4…989abacked Las Vegas Aces | 40c | 1,825$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.5 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed New York Liberty | 79c | 1,745$1,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.45 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Las Vegas Aces | 39c | 1,691$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.44 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91b6…4b40backed Las Vegas Aces | 36c | 1,682$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 122 | 34.4%42 W · 80 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55bb…bc01backed New York Liberty | 45c | 1,609$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.99 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed New York Liberty | 55c | 1,606$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.23 | 194 | 58.2%113 W · 81 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed New York Liberty | 44c | 1,511$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.94 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Las Vegas Aces | 13c | 1,446$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.07 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed New York Liberty | 54c | 1,442$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.2 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a9…e35abacked New York Liberty | 73c | 1,346$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.41 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6982…a165backed New York Liberty | 80c | 1,251$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.34 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed Las Vegas Aces | 46c | 1,137$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.02 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec7a…a1f2backed New York Liberty | 79c | 1,123$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.24 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…31f9backed Las Vegas Aces | 56c | 1,109$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.94 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4c…9f95backed Las Vegas Aces | 47c | 1,100$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Las Vegas Aces | 13c | 1,076$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.55 | 190 | 31.1%59 W · 131 L | -14.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbae4…50febacked Las Vegas Aces | 56c | 1,053$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.72 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.41per pick | 55cpaid | -82%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked New York Liberty | 44c | 1,024$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.42 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked New York Liberty | 73c | 1,008$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.16 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0508…6035backed New York Liberty | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Las Vegas Aces | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.99 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd654…45c2backed Las Vegas Aces | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.99 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Las Vegas Aces | 15c | 932.79$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.55 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked New York Liberty | 65c | 909.49$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.63 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked Las Vegas Aces | 10c | 905.18$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.07 | 90 | 8.9%8 W · 82 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -54%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5f…ddf0backed Las Vegas Aces | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60f1…aa80backed New York Liberty | 47c | 884$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88cb…d3a2backed Las Vegas Aces | 57c | 883.27$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Las Vegas Aces | 55c | 855.01$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.26 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef3a…1eb3backed New York Liberty | 49c | 798.23$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc92…649dbacked Las Vegas Aces | 30c | 789.13$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Las Vegas Aces | 2c | 783.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 39 | 0%0 W · 39 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Las Vegas Aces | 46c | 771.78$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.81 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed New York Liberty | 45c | 749.42$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.18 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…bc3dbacked New York Liberty | 69c | 738.19$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe187…a69cbacked Las Vegas Aces | 56c | 703.57$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.15 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f2…b422backed Las Vegas Aces | 56c | 697.16$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Las Vegas Aces | 40c | 666.11$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.31 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Las Vegas Aces | 34c | 600$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.1 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2908…789abacked Las Vegas Aces | 17c | 600$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c9…8803backed Las Vegas Aces | 25c | 585.64$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.98 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Las Vegas Aces | 56c | 543.7$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.47 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…c161backed New York Liberty | 74c | 540.54$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked New York Liberty | 54c | 506.01$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.88 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…77eebacked Las Vegas Aces | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 20%15 W · 60 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Las Vegas Aces | 10c | 490$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Las Vegas Aces | 5c | 480$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 56 | 8.9%5 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed New York Liberty | 46c | 475.13$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.8 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Las Vegas Aces | 26c | 451.29$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.8 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +90.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…bb68backed Las Vegas Aces | 6c | 435.33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.12 | 39 | 5.1%2 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Las Vegas Aces | 15c | 430.26$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.91 | 166 | 33.1%55 W · 111 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Las Vegas Aces | 52c | 422.61$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.76 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Las Vegas Aces | 32c | 416.77$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.2 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Las Vegas Aces | 55c | 413.72$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.81 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc542…7fe1backed New York Liberty | 74c | 400$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a70…76b5backed Las Vegas Aces | 47c | 399.99$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -6.6wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas Acesthis page
- New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 173.5Under won
- New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 174.5Under won
- New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 175.5Under won
- New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 177.5Under won
- New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 178.5Under won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-1.5)New York Liberty won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-2.5)New York Liberty won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.