WNBA · resolved market
New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 177.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x318296e7c06b09681cebd86a756ac78e7ed07bfd1ecbe0f2d90f0a5b94731bbd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,474
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,618
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,474 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x88f3…f18ebacked Under | 49c | 14,357$7,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,321.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Over | 51c | 9,804$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.96 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed Over | 52c | 7,921$4,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,118.77 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb915…8da5backed Over | 50c | 3,819$1,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,910.12 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Under | 50c | 3,410$1,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,704.81 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 49c | 2,868$1,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,465.46 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked Under | 49c | 2,351$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.43 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 51c | 2,345$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc638…e298backed Under | 48c | 2,229$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.17 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 51c | 1,786$911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.76 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Over | 51c | 1,373$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd2…0abfbacked Over | 51c | 1,162$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.47 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 48c | 1,057$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.5 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 50c | 1,015$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.61 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb66e…7fe2backed Under | 50c | 950$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8476…dc8dbacked Over | 51c | 917.65$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 49c | 859.58$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.98 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Under | 49c | 842$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.98 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Under | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 50c | 478.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.11 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 390.73$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.93 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 51c | 367.63$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.49 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cee…711ebacked Over | 51c | 367.14$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Under | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e5…f52cbacked Over | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Over | 51c | 225$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.75 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Under | 51c | 207.84$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.84 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc2…8b9bbacked Over | 51c | 192$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.92 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Over | 16c | 171.86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 122 | 16.4%20 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 50c | 135.62$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.81 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 49c | 126$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.74 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Under | 51c | 109.95$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.95 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 49c | 104$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.04 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f5…0688backed Over | 51c | 97.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 51c | 95$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.55 | 252 | 46%116 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 51c | 93.83$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.44 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 50c | 85$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0b…4db0backed Over | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15db…1da8backed Under | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Under | 49c | 46.24$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.58 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 52c | 46.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…dddfbacked Under | 51c | 39.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…0de7backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ac…0e0bbacked Over | 51c | 36.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 49c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Under | 49c | 34.72$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.71 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ae…5310backed Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8022…44c6backed Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 50c | 27.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33fc…dc88backed Over | 52c | 26.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Under | 50c | 20.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc1…1caabacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 50cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 177.5this page
- New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas AcesNew York Liberty won
- New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 173.5Under won
- New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 174.5Under won
- New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 175.5Under won
- New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 178.5Under won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-1.5)New York Liberty won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-2.5)New York Liberty won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.