WNBA · resolved market
New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 175.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33a30d1a0b076afbb9bc7e91c2a0b15641ed79214eeba4413794094660b432f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,841
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,595
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,841 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x88f3…f18ebacked Under | 46c | 2,987$1,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,602.17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 53c | 2,371$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb915…8da5backed Over | 56c | 2,302$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,287.53 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.11 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed Over | 55c | 1,106$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.36 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 793.49$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.45 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 44c | 573.02$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.89 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 54c | 420$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.8 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Over | 55c | 399.98$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.99 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed Under | 47c | 295.74$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.74 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b9…f392backed Over | 55c | 271.04$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 54cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 45c | 213.97$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.68 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 57c | 91.82$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.34 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over | 48c | 91.58$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.96 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f5…0688backed Over | 56c | 89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 48c | 87$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.76 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89bd…3f72backed Under | 44c | 85$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Under | 52c | 79.94$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.74 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Under | 44c | 63$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.28 | 184 | 41.8%77 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 53c | 59.96$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.58 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 36 | 80.6%29 W · 7 L | +8.2wins | +0.23per pick | 58cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 46c | 54.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 44c | 52.81$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.57 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Under | 50c | 52.29$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.29 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 46c | 51.75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15db…1da8backed Over | 60c | 50.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Under | 48c | 49.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.99 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Under | 47c | 43.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.98 | 94 | 60.6%57 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 48c | 37.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.56 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 45c | 31.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Under | 45c | 31.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Under | 45c | 31.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f12…effbbacked Under | 45c | 31.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33fc…dc88backed Over | 57c | 26.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Under | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Over | 51c | 19.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Under | 51c | 19.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 59 | 69.5%41 W · 18 L | +7.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x371b…0925backed Under | 79c | 19.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 175.5this page
- New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas AcesNew York Liberty won
- New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 173.5Under won
- New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 174.5Under won
- New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 177.5Under won
- New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 178.5Under won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-1.5)New York Liberty won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-2.5)New York Liberty won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.