WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe268a524be61fbefe911ee7354c62a5a09a8fa7c7f8ea702f82d22ec431c3887
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Libertyof Las Vegas Aces, New York Liberty
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,897
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,088
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,897 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 22,949$11,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,402.54 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88f3…f18ebacked Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 17,647$8,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,823.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed New York Liberty | 50c | 16,680$8,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,342.8 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed New York Liberty | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed New York Liberty | 50c | 9,121$4,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,580.66 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed New York Liberty | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked New York Liberty | 50c | 4,191$2,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,095.34 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed New York Liberty | 52c | 3,500$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Las Vegas Aces | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 1,892$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.12 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 1,250$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed New York Liberty | 50c | 999.98$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.99 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…c0fabacked Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 501.15$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.58 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed New York Liberty | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Liberty | 59c | 389.15$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.4 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff8…3c8bbacked New York Liberty | 52c | 375$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 328.8$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.37 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 211 | 50.2%106 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed New York Liberty | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Las Vegas Aces | 51c | 197.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed New York Liberty | 52c | 193.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.08 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed New York Liberty | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a15…e238backed Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…dd71backed Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 108.78$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e5…6e53backed Las Vegas Aces | 51c | 103.92$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed New York Liberty | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked New York Liberty | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8537…b98bbacked New York Liberty | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed Las Vegas Aces | 43c | 89.4$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.79 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed New York Liberty | 50c | 68.43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.21 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked New York Liberty | 52c | 66.82$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.35 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed New York Liberty | 50c | 57.51$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.76 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Las Vegas Aces | 25c | 53.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked New York Liberty | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked New York Liberty | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb481…4db8backed Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 49.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 48.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked New York Liberty | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Las Vegas Aces | 48c | 39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…0de7backed Las Vegas Aces | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…dddfbacked Las Vegas Aces | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ac…0e0bbacked Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 37.84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 35.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed New York Liberty | 50c | 22.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 22.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x532c…54e3backed New York Liberty | 50c | 20.64$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc1…1caabacked Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 50cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3c…6cc1backed New York Liberty | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-2.5)this page
- New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas AcesNew York Liberty won
- New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 173.5Under won
- New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 174.5Under won
- New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 175.5Under won
- New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 177.5Under won
- New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 178.5Under won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-1.5)New York Liberty won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.