Tennis · resolved market
Bad Homburg Open: Naomi Osaka vs Elise Mertens
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd683c2ae03b655064db7468d9783801e95f3f38136ea1bee07566afaecb2269b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Naomi Osakaof Naomi Osaka, Elise Mertens
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $278,026
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $327,764
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $278,026 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Elise Mertens | 23c | 45,749$10,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,702.62 | 937 | 40.6%380 W · 557 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3dc…eaa8backed Elise Mertens | 50c | 10,026$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…6633backed Elise Mertens | 19c | 9,903$1,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,893.85 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc84…04b2backed Elise Mertens | 21c | 9,505$1,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,996 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3355…dd2fbacked Elise Mertens | 21c | 6,447$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340.34 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Elise Mertens | 16c | 5,949$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.35 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Naomi Osaka | 74c | 5,856$4,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,535.12 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c4…7433backed Elise Mertens | 46c | 5,485$2,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,523.13 | 216 | 42.6%92 W · 124 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Naomi Osaka | 60c | 4,861$2,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,943.36 | 457 | 37.9%173 W · 284 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Naomi Osaka | 54c | 4,254$2,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,956.7 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Naomi Osaka | 80c | 4,041$3,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.82 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x586a…6610backed Elise Mertens | 21c | 4,020$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b05…c092backed Naomi Osaka | 79c | 3,797$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.47 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Naomi Osaka | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.58 | 447 | 54.4%243 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Naomi Osaka | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 97 | 64.9%63 W · 34 L | +9.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Elise Mertens | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.99 | 689 | 35%241 W · 448 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Elise Mertens | 19c | 2,700$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.7 | 593 | 48.9%290 W · 303 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca4…348fbacked Naomi Osaka | 80c | 2,641$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.62 | 294 | 43.5%128 W · 166 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6262…b5c0backed Elise Mertens | 8c | 2,458$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.07 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…2f90backed Naomi Osaka | 53c | 2,453$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.83 | 130 | 42.3%55 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Elise Mertens | 48c | 2,374$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.45 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…26bebacked Naomi Osaka | 52c | 2,100$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked Elise Mertens | 48c | 2,084$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Naomi Osaka | 72c | 1,945$1,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.14 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed Elise Mertens | 47c | 1,915$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.6 | 268 | 47.8%128 W · 140 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Naomi Osaka | 74c | 1,790$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.81 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba55…41f1backed Elise Mertens | 19c | 1,560$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.4 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…b715backed Elise Mertens | 17c | 1,353$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 573 | 21.8%125 W · 448 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bef…5e49backed Elise Mertens | 22c | 1,350$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc48…24c3backed Elise Mertens | 18c | 1,294$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.52 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b3…9441backed Elise Mertens | 18c | 1,250$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa670…55d2backed Elise Mertens | 19c | 1,133$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.78 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16d3…7c23backed Elise Mertens | 18c | 1,040$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Naomi Osaka | 53c | 1,015$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.05 | 454 | 57.9%263 W · 191 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ab…13a1backed Naomi Osaka | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 272 | 52.9%144 W · 128 L | -17.3wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Naomi Osaka | 50c | 900$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Elise Mertens | 40c | 666$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.07 | 385 | 50.4%194 W · 191 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Elise Mertens | 9c | 663.66$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Naomi Osaka | 76c | 661.37$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.4 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Elise Mertens | 3c | 656.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e0…826dbacked Naomi Osaka | 51c | 590$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.1 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Elise Mertens | 6c | 574.24$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.12 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Naomi Osaka | 52c | 570$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.3 | 231 | 52.4%121 W · 110 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe871…8eaebacked Elise Mertens | 34c | 566.97$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.77 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Naomi Osaka | 52c | 562.44$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.97 | 706 | 52.7%372 W · 334 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Elise Mertens | 17c | 556.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.95 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed Elise Mertens | 46c | 554.98$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.29 | 289 | 47.8%138 W · 151 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Naomi Osaka | 53c | 553.66$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.22 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Elise Mertens | 11c | 529.95$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.29 | 381 | 41.2%157 W · 224 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Naomi Osaka | 53c | 518.87$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.87 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…fb10backed Elise Mertens | 47c | 493.62$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 452 | 56.2%254 W · 198 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…f0bfbacked Naomi Osaka | 54c | 454.54$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.09 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Elise Mertens | 48c | 418.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 922 | 37.4%345 W · 577 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe611…2970backed Elise Mertens | 18c | 404.91$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbb…3ec7backed Naomi Osaka | 54c | 370$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.2 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c64…cb99backed Elise Mertens | 16c | 359.5$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.52 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Elise Mertens | 48c | 337.65$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.07 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Elise Mertens | 47c | 309$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.23 | 1,094 | 52.4%573 W · 521 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8583…3f3cbacked Elise Mertens | 49c | 300.94$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.46 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…499ebacked Elise Mertens | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 271 | 32.1%87 W · 184 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Naomi Osaka | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.5 | 1,077 | 52.4%564 W · 513 L | +30.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Elise Mertens | 20c | 296.68$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.84 | 443 | 49%217 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Elise Mertens | 48c | 278.6$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.37 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Elise Mertens | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 889 | 35.2%313 W · 576 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Naomi Osaka | 55c | 266.58$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.96 | 1,678 | 50.8%852 W · 826 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Naomi Osaka | 78c | 264.52$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.95 | 464 | 53%246 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Naomi Osaka | 79c | 250$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 110 | 64.5%71 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Elise Mertens | 47c | 238.29$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Naomi Osaka | 54c | 219.5$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.97 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +86.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…1a16backed Naomi Osaka | 53c | 216.98$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.98 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Elise Mertens | 20c | 205$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Elise Mertens | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 512 | 43%220 W · 292 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Naomi Osaka | 51c | 200$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…b3b1backed Elise Mertens | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 372 | 33.9%126 W · 246 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…9bc4backed Naomi Osaka | 78c | 191.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.1 | 472 | 74.4%351 W · 121 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Elise Mertens | 48c | 191.76$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.33 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed Naomi Osaka | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 749 | 61.8%463 W · 286 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0afb…0b12backed Naomi Osaka | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…7e0bbacked Naomi Osaka | 53c | 181.6$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.35 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Elise Mertens | 32c | 175.14$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.37 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…3484backed Naomi Osaka | 52c | 172.45$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Naomi Osaka | 55c | 171.56$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.2 | 604 | 46.7%282 W · 322 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Naomi Osaka | 51c | 171.53$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.05 | 588 | 57.7%339 W · 249 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5637…8692backed Elise Mertens | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Elise Mertens | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Elise Mertens | 21c | 147$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Elise Mertens | 15c | 136.13$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66d1…c18fbacked Naomi Osaka | 65c | 128.57$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.01 | 225 | 62.7%141 W · 84 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1f…7661backed Naomi Osaka | 53c | 127.5$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.92 | 233 | 52.8%123 W · 110 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Elise Mertens | 23c | 127.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.71 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed Elise Mertens | 9c | 125$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Elise Mertens | 22c | 119.48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 499 | 43.5%217 W · 282 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe426…f4ffbacked Naomi Osaka | 53c | 117.68$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.31 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Elise Mertens | 14c | 115.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Naomi Osaka | 56c | 110.09$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.73 | 788 | 47.5%374 W · 414 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1e…4754backed Elise Mertens | 32c | 108.77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.83 | 434 | 44.9%195 W · 239 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Elise Mertens | 48c | 104.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Naomi Osaka | 55c | 102.02$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.89 | 606 | 51.8%314 W · 292 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Naomi Osaka | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 834 | 47.5%396 W · 438 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f9…eb15backed Naomi Osaka | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bad Homburg Open: Naomi Osaka vs Elise Mertensthis page
- Naomi Osaka vs. Elise Mertens: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Osaka vs MertensOsaka won
- Set Handicap: Osaka (-1.5) vs Mertens (+1.5)Osaka won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.