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Euroleague · resolved market

Barcelona vs. Valencia

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Valenciaof Barcelona, Valencia
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$61,005
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$69,926

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,005 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Euroleague
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xafe4…f3f7backed Barcelona54c3,855$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,099.666346%29 W · 34 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Barcelona44c2,524$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1002846.4%13 W · 15 L-4.6wins-0.16per pick63cpaid-31.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6bc0…af1abacked Barcelona43c2,104$895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.271421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick41cpaid-35%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf12f…b30fbacked Valencia48c1,900$911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$988.69862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+22.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Valencia69c1,881$1,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.9313235.6%47 W · 85 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-37.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Valencia71c1,366$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.2636939.8%147 W · 222 L+1.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4232…d505backed Barcelona37c1,339$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.422240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe741…a9d1backed Valencia47c1,199$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.384100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdd23…387ebacked Valencia58c1,111$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.623063.3%19 W · 11 L+5.6wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+24%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Valencia67c1,096$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.0326935.3%95 W · 174 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1dcd…0320backed Barcelona38c1,029$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaff6…d1fdbacked Valencia50c959.69$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.361090%9 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick68cpaid+39.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf876…1deebacked Valencia45c949.98$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.98250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x374e…87c9backed Barcelona49c922.32$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-60.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Barcelona46c880.68$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.376237.1%23 W · 39 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8454…331abacked Valencia48c870.39$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Barcelona52c859.45$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.945752.6%30 W · 27 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1736…ffcabacked Valencia61c821.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Valencia45c806.83$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.226162.3%38 W · 23 L+5.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x555c…ee28backed Valencia49c752.72$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.863100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Barcelona48c743.06$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.71250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+144.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0b3…6bfcbacked Barcelona15c719.98$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b94…b660backed Valencia71c703.21$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Valencia56c689.23$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.066744.8%30 W · 37 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-30.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbae4…50febacked Valencia66c586.73$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Barcelona32c577.67$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.7734344.3%152 W · 191 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ac0…e82dbacked Barcelona27c528.07$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0e6…7358backed Valencia47c430.13$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.691844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dc6…0f52backed Valencia52c387.77$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.773148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfee8…9197backed Barcelona50c387.68$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.841241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Barcelona48c381.36$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.191656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Barcelona51c377.09$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.424557.8%26 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Barcelona27c364.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010634.9%37 W · 69 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1fe…24c5backed Barcelona55c361.41$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+16%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x58f6…bf5abacked Valencia55c361.32$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1641100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6770…5bdfbacked Valencia74c328.9$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Valencia72c283.84$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.192157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Barcelona50c281.47$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.223644.4%16 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+26.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a17…910dbacked Barcelona43c245.26$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d25…ced8backed Barcelona13c243.23$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6230%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5baf…3e56backed Barcelona40c242.34$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.941442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Barcelona42c234.66$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.81030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-38%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa55c…1066backed Barcelona49c231.24$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.31616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.39per pick55cpaid-70.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbbb4…0060backed Barcelona54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf00c…efc3backed Valencia49c196.73$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Valencia52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.311266.7%8 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+103.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Barcelona52c192.3$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007138%27 W · 44 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd981…c309backed Valencia79c178.19$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.84580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+21%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Valencia72c170.23$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.219551.6%49 W · 46 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc46…79c4backed Barcelona42c170.12$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.452321.7%5 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Valencia71c164.8$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.865648.2%27 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-21.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Valencia78c153.07$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0843543.7%190 W · 245 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Barcelona50c150.14$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.0737052.7%195 W · 175 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ca3…2d23backed Barcelona16c142.03$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3630%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Valencia65c140.16$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.7213545.9%62 W · 73 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7bb…2753backed Valencia48c135$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.21560%9 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbbed…0ff6backed Barcelona15c134.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.17837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick26cpaid+45.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe187…a69cbacked Valencia75c132.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.572100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+70.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Barcelona49c120$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.84443.2%19 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c64…cb99backed Barcelona43c117.6$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0018…328fbacked Valencia59c112.12$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.4540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc315…a989backed Barcelona36c110.85$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Barcelona23c110.36$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.382119%4 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c8…a24abacked Barcelona46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd12f…e80dbacked Valencia52c108.46$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.464946.9%23 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Barcelona48c106.87$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.35230.8%16 W · 36 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c97…5c66backed Barcelona29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7210…4bb5backed Valencia49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+81%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6efa…a0a7backed Valencia44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8f7…71d2backed Valencia49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6796…453fbacked Barcelona38c99.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e72…d0b9backed Barcelona26c99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.99944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Valencia56c97.28$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.291764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Valencia58c96.35$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.2113046.2%60 W · 70 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1d2…c938backed Valencia55c87.58$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.412100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x41c4…f4ffbacked Valencia45c81.43$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.79250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Barcelona51c81.37$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.56848.5%33 W · 35 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xce5e…c0fabacked Valencia44c78.09$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.731546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Valencia80c75.01$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46b1…428cbacked Barcelona50c74.22$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.48333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-51.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Barcelona45c72.54$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3321535.8%77 W · 138 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7497…18cebacked Valencia51c70.91$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.092100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Valencia53c70$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.61683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick52cpaid+63.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x28ff…d56cbacked Barcelona42c68.72$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.853050%15 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Valencia57c65.99$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.581675%12 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+34.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9663…5b70backed Valencia44c63$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.282846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Valencia77c62.23$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.032075%15 W · 5 L+3.9wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+28.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Barcelona36c62$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.224452.3%23 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Valencia55c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e62…79f1backed Barcelona49c44.16$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.64250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Valencia72c43.47$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.252759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x27d0…350abacked Barcelona50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9506…6182backed Valencia50c39.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Barcelona50c38.9$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.45742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-41.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xca29…a1d0backed Barcelona49c38.78$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0165…b1c6backed Valencia51c35.1$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x54d0…8e20backed Barcelona50c35$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.55425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-44.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ef1…5acabacked Valencia44c35$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.67356.2%41 W · 32 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-11.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked Valencia52c35$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Valencia55c34.84$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.63333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-39.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.