Euroleague · resolved market
Barcelona vs. Valencia: O/U 173.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6aa53bafdcab3165220e485c3e00c9862da2b5a790bc281fc428f49cc4bfceba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,501
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,863
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,501 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Under | 49c | 359.86$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.53 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +103.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 51c | 359.86$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.53 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 44c | 171.78$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.34 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x549d…35b9backed Over | 49c | 170$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 58c | 155$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.42 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f53…1a89backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Under | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Under | 50c | 66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…a2d1backed Over | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…203abacked Over | 55c | 57.81$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Under | 47c | 44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.32 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 48c | 37.79$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Over | 57c | 29.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.29per pick | 41cpaid | -79%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Under | 47c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8a…1cb9backed Under | 53c | 20.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Barcelona vs. Valencia: O/U 173.5this page
- Barcelona vs. ValenciaValencia won
- Spread: Valencia (-0.5)Valencia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.