TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Washington Mystics vs. Minnesota Lynx

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Washington Mysticsof Washington Mystics, Minnesota Lynx
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$349,724
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$355,732

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $349,724 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8ec6…d9edbacked Washington Mystics12c20,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,599.959318.3%17 W · 76 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-30%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Washington Mystics20c11,111$2,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,923.9910749.5%53 W · 54 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Minnesota Lynx28c9,561$2,717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,717.121741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Minnesota Lynx0c8,223$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.02960%0 W · 96 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x84d0…95babacked Washington Mystics15c7,934$1,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,743.062100%2 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+417.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Washington Mystics14c7,109$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,117.523245.7%106 W · 126 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7120…7c4ebacked Washington Mystics54c6,758$3,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,119.598228%23 W · 59 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Washington Mystics13c6,655$876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,778.8519428.9%56 W · 138 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb242…4312backed Minnesota Lynx10c5,672$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.2450%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Minnesota Lynx32c5,568$1,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,772.5836750.7%186 W · 181 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Minnesota Lynx78c5,492$4,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,297.7185158.4%497 W · 354 L+70.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc392…595dbacked Minnesota Lynx2c5,136$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.8811941.2%49 W · 70 L-12.0wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-21.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Minnesota Lynx60c4,527$2,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,724.565020%10 W · 40 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-47.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Washington Mystics14c4,291$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,699.5532049.4%158 W · 162 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed Washington Mystics26c3,880$1,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,856.0912144.6%54 W · 67 L-0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Washington Mystics19c3,606$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,934.771,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Washington Mystics16c3,171$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,678.022142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+26%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Washington Mystics22c3,159$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,452.3113844.9%62 W · 76 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9767…1a16backed Washington Mystics17c2,721$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,266.466437.5%24 W · 40 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5102…7b08backed Minnesota Lynx3c2,680$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.0220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Washington Mystics13c2,336$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,032.4427449.6%136 W · 138 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Washington Mystics40c2,235$892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,343.1210923.9%26 W · 83 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-46.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Minnesota Lynx13c2,180$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.0310838.9%42 W · 66 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick33cpaid-9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Minnesota Lynx41c2,132$866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866.3231043.2%134 W · 176 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Washington Mystics54c2,112$1,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$967.989938.4%38 W · 61 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-29.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Minnesota Lynx50c2,084$1,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,051.3918746%86 W · 101 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked Minnesota Lynx18c1,718$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.67557.3%4 W · 51 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-55.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Washington Mystics29c1,590$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,122.4819458.2%113 W · 81 L+12.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6982…a165backed Minnesota Lynx79c1,568$1,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2455466.7%36 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick66cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Minnesota Lynx49c1,563$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$770.1610634.9%37 W · 69 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c10…b6a4backed Washington Mystics14c1,420$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2252552%13 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+35.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Minnesota Lynx37c1,412$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.529642.7%41 W · 55 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Minnesota Lynx3c1,400$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5216152.2%84 W · 77 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Washington Mystics33c1,330$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885.2226147.1%123 W · 138 L+15.7wins+0.06per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Washington Mystics40c1,319$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.5137850%189 W · 189 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Washington Mystics22c1,310$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.0130649%150 W · 156 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc26a…b715backed Washington Mystics15c1,308$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1181833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+46%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9706…13b9backed Washington Mystics15c1,200$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.995156.9%29 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Washington Mystics16c1,168$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982.25431.5%17 W · 37 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Minnesota Lynx60c1,150$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.9616633.1%55 W · 111 L-10.1wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-39.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb5db…5800backed Washington Mystics14c1,071$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921.433455.9%19 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Minnesota Lynx58c1,040$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.61568.9%5 W · 51 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick14cpaid-71.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Minnesota Lynx80c1,011$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.5414947.7%71 W · 78 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6991backed Washington Mystics13c1,004$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.235633.9%19 W · 37 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Minnesota Lynx48c972.27$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.319031.1%59 W · 131 L-14.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-43.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbcb8…3058backed Minnesota Lynx77c893$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.561346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.21per pick67cpaid-35%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x978b…34f6backed Washington Mystics15c889.99$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.49366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick24cpaid+217.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa5d8…cf41backed Minnesota Lynx78c866.64$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-50.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Minnesota Lynx60c852.99$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.8338645.9%177 W · 209 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x91b6…4b40backed Washington Mystics13c847$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.8612234.4%42 W · 80 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6770…5bdfbacked Washington Mystics25c799.16$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.045642.9%24 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a0d…10c1backed Minnesota Lynx79c791.59$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.421631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.6wins-0.22per pick54cpaid-50.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x70dc…1dfdbacked Washington Mystics24c768.38$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.986467.2%43 W · 21 L+5.5wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+7.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Washington Mystics13c751.99$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.3424347.7%116 W · 127 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x287d…38febacked Washington Mystics17c720.57$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.13560%3 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick26cpaid+153.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Minnesota Lynx68c600.12$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.2899548.1%479 W · 516 L+2.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67be…6e09backed Washington Mystics8c600$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5522015%3 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick17cpaid+90.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Minnesota Lynx80c598$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.49129.7%27 W · 64 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Washington Mystics35c550.92$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.854156.1%23 W · 18 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+15.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x12a3…4538backed Washington Mystics18c534.33$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+451.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Washington Mystics17c529.41$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.4110453.8%56 W · 48 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Washington Mystics40c502.15$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.7234726.5%92 W · 255 L-20.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-39.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Washington Mystics18c500.91$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.1119646.9%92 W · 104 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3f9…45a7backed Minnesota Lynx79c466.96$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3704365.1%28 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Minnesota Lynx31c456$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.215741.4%65 W · 92 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-14.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Washington Mystics32c453.02$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.0936454.1%197 W · 167 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc542…7fe1backed Washington Mystics16c450$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3791866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+52.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Washington Mystics22c394.08$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.5634753.9%187 W · 160 L+20.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6871…e9dcbacked Washington Mystics17c392.9$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.91850%9 W · 9 L+4.3wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+99.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Washington Mystics14c390.69$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.1113538.5%52 W · 83 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Washington Mystics34c381.24$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.4315346.4%71 W · 82 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Washington Mystics15c380.33$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.2518844.1%83 W · 105 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Washington Mystics14c349.43$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.9389349.4%441 W · 452 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed Washington Mystics18c338.96$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.824831.3%15 W · 33 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Minnesota Lynx65c334.09$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.3812045%54 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Minnesota Lynx44c308$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.9837650.3%189 W · 187 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94bb…77eebacked Minnesota Lynx70c300$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2107520%15 W · 60 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d29…f683backed Minnesota Lynx59c300$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1772360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa11f…1252backed Washington Mystics46c284.98$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.84949%24 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Washington Mystics42c273.86$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.6218850%94 W · 94 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Washington Mystics21c263.17$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.594854.2%26 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0537…e9dcbacked Washington Mystics17c254.22$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.62933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+45.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Minnesota Lynx20c251$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8224852.4%130 W · 118 L+10.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd458…b521backed Minnesota Lynx56c240$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6796…453fbacked Washington Mystics28c230$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.37944.3%35 W · 44 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Minnesota Lynx74c224.16$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.882958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+28.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x07b1…b027backed Washington Mystics15c221.87$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.596741.8%28 W · 39 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Minnesota Lynx31c212.39$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.34148.8%20 W · 21 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x998b…db96backed Washington Mystics12c208$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.04250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick21cpaid+316.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Washington Mystics42c204.14$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.424546.9%115 W · 130 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbb4…0060backed Washington Mystics13c200$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1745341.5%22 W · 31 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Minnesota Lynx60c196.9$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.9815748.4%76 W · 81 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb16…96b5backed Washington Mystics13c196.77$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.29250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+286.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Minnesota Lynx15c195$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4414936.9%55 W · 94 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe83a…8355backed Minnesota Lynx80c186.92$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1496969.6%48 W · 21 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Washington Mystics23c174.82$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.67443.2%32 W · 42 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Washington Mystics38c166.6$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.8961042.5%259 W · 351 L-31.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Minnesota Lynx32c158.33$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.0625246%116 W · 136 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c64…cb99backed Washington Mystics12c156.5$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.72728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+74.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8cd…e77cbacked Minnesota Lynx66c151.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.