WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-14.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x746952c6890a9281b34f30d6e3c40221b7074a2fac27cdedc6cb8992a73c0ea8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Mysticsof Minnesota Lynx, Washington Mystics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,559
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,936
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,559 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 35,002$16,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,911.82 | 390 | 45.9%179 W · 211 L | -15.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Washington Mystics | 53c | 15,399$8,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,297.43 | 367 | 54%198 W · 169 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Washington Mystics | 51c | 9,804$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,803.92 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Washington Mystics | 51c | 7,780$3,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,825.01 | 796 | 48.7%388 W · 408 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…e2cebacked Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 7,488$3,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,519.24 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 6,951$3,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,475.4 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Washington Mystics | 65c | 6,160$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160.08 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Washington Mystics | 52c | 3,254$1,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,562.16 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Washington Mystics | 52c | 2,718$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296.15 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…a053backed Minnesota Lynx | 29c | 2,414$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.98 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Washington Mystics | 50c | 2,006$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.96 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Washington Mystics | 51c | 1,947$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.27 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -7.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Washington Mystics | 53c | 1,524$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.32 | 657 | 51.4%338 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 1,188$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.12 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Minnesota Lynx | 55c | 1,081$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.76 | 234 | 67.5%158 W · 76 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Washington Mystics | 55c | 1,021$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.49 | 279 | 49.1%137 W · 142 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Washington Mystics | 53c | 836.36$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.88 | 932 | 48.8%455 W · 477 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 700$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…b6a4backed Washington Mystics | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.7 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Washington Mystics | 53c | 452.92$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.93 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4232…d505backed Minnesota Lynx | 55c | 420$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.2 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 44cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 418.89$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4377…74c2backed Minnesota Lynx | 56c | 349.75$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.93 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceca…4800backed Washington Mystics | 68c | 230$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.8 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 228.46$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.95 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Minnesota Lynx | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 402 | 47.3%190 W · 212 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…d369backed Washington Mystics | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Minnesota Lynx | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Washington Mystics | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Washington Mystics | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 197.17$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.07 | 612 | 42.3%259 W · 353 L | -31.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Minnesota Lynx | 44c | 193$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Washington Mystics | 56c | 193$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.92 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 177.94$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.8 | 859 | 48.4%416 W · 443 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Washington Mystics | 61c | 120$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.6 | 173 | 50.3%87 W · 86 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Washington Mystics | 53c | 111$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.17 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 110$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed Minnesota Lynx | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…7ee6backed Washington Mystics | 77c | 49.17$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ac…427fbacked Washington Mystics | 51c | 40.37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8428…b41fbacked Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Washington Mystics | 51c | 33.47$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 427 | 49.4%211 W · 216 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Minnesota Lynx | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Washington Mystics | 50c | 23.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Washington Mystics | 50c | 23.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f12…effbbacked Washington Mystics | 50c | 23.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-14.5)this page
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-13.5)Washington Mystics won
- Washington Mystics vs. Minnesota LynxWashington Mystics won
- Washington Mystics vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 167.5Under won
- Washington Mystics vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 168.5Under won
- Washington Mystics vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 170.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.