WNBA · resolved market
Washington Mystics vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 167.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4fa7059d0cd14ae5575ab138e56a45e871bbb571143bc19e084a9f8a90ab6b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,507
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,941
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,507 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 44c | 1,415$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.42 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Over | 56c | 1,232$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1dfdbacked Under | 73c | 849.34$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.28 | 64 | 67.2%43 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 47c | 781.96$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.61 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7738…5dbdbacked Under | 69c | 724.03$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.2 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -4.3wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 50c | 695$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.4 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4702…5d04backed Under | 73c | 602.45$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…4b3cbacked Over | 33c | 507.99$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.04 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over | 28c | 507.52$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.47 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55bb…bc01backed Under | 58c | 491.21$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.75 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 23c | 441.16$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.42 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over | 20c | 311.14$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.64 | 109 | 23.9%26 W · 83 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99e1…08acbacked Over | 36c | 303.33$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 47c | 206.69$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.01 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Over | 55c | 200$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 39c | 195.4$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.75 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 67c | 164.74$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.7 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 30c | 160.15$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.05 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c1…6b32backed Over | 69c | 145.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Over | 54c | 143.69$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.59 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 22c | 120$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc542…7fe1backed Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35c9…bc74backed Over | 44c | 91.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 54c | 79.41$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.34 | 196 | 46.9%92 W · 104 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed Under | 74c | 77.03$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.03 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0d…10c1backed Over | 26c | 53.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.22per pick | 54cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…a053backed Over | 23c | 52.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d18…2365backed Over | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -10.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Under | 70c | 48.2$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Over | 30c | 42.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…6182backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 44c | 35.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Under | 63c | 25.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 74c | 16.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 188 | 44.1%83 W · 105 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Mystics vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 167.5this page
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-13.5)Washington Mystics won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-14.5)Washington Mystics won
- Washington Mystics vs. Minnesota LynxWashington Mystics won
- Washington Mystics vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 168.5Under won
- Washington Mystics vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 170.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.