Tennis · resolved market
Mallorca Championships: Marc Polmans vs Grigor Dimitrov
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x016b280b4472ff65afd56c23ddcc83d81fdaee4f647618abb897175bc36b305b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grigor Dimitrovof Marc Polmans, Grigor Dimitrov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $154,629
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $154,027
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $154,629 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Marc Polmans | 21c | 72,603$15,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,050 | 363 | 46.8%170 W · 193 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ac…b964backed Grigor Dimitrov | 79c | 61,026$48,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,815.52 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c50…e0c9backed Marc Polmans | 12c | 8,333$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 421 | 31.6%133 W · 288 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Marc Polmans | 7c | 6,243$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.28 | 457 | 37.9%173 W · 284 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Marc Polmans | 5c | 5,689$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.23 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e60…3badbacked Marc Polmans | 19c | 5,197$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.28 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | 0%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58b3…653cbacked Marc Polmans | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 450 | 36%162 W · 288 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Marc Polmans | 8c | 4,636$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.42 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ae…c975backed Marc Polmans | 19c | 3,060$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.6 | 215 | 37.2%80 W · 135 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Marc Polmans | 7c | 3,048$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.07 | 580 | 21.9%127 W · 453 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeff…78f8backed Marc Polmans | 11c | 1,650$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.39 | 436 | 47.2%206 W · 230 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…ea3bbacked Marc Polmans | 17c | 1,500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 333 | 46.2%154 W · 179 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Marc Polmans | 5c | 1,405$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.26 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed Marc Polmans | 9c | 1,334$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 389 | 11.6%45 W · 344 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Grigor Dimitrov | 80c | 1,307$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.32 | 1,178 | 46.3%545 W · 633 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f84…be62backed Marc Polmans | 9c | 1,178$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.03 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cdd…db30backed Marc Polmans | 17c | 1,144$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.11 | 187 | 24.6%46 W · 141 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6262…b5c0backed Marc Polmans | 17c | 1,099$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.89 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Marc Polmans | 18c | 870.9$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.76 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b4…bfa2backed Marc Polmans | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 335 | 40.9%137 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c0…dadabacked Marc Polmans | 14c | 740$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 546 | 34.4%188 W · 358 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Marc Polmans | 18c | 725.9$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 645 | 40.2%259 W · 386 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa943…bcbebacked Marc Polmans | 17c | 585.29$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadf1…a0efbacked Marc Polmans | 4c | 576.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Marc Polmans | 7c | 559.77$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.39 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe857…7b3bbacked Marc Polmans | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 838 | 23.2%194 W · 644 L | -58.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Grigor Dimitrov | 79c | 423$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.83 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a14…9fe4backed Marc Polmans | 11c | 373.18$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 409 | 35.7%146 W · 263 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Marc Polmans | 15c | 300$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 250 | 51.2%128 W · 122 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c64…cb99backed Marc Polmans | 17c | 288.94$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.12 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb315…d6c9backed Marc Polmans | 9c | 288.89$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 153 | 24.8%38 W · 115 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Marc Polmans | 19c | 268.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.71 | 305 | 44.3%135 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Marc Polmans | 8c | 202.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x455b…10cdbacked Marc Polmans | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…b4f2backed Marc Polmans | 15c | 197.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 457 | 44.2%202 W · 255 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Marc Polmans | 12c | 173$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Marc Polmans | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 889 | 35.2%313 W · 576 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Marc Polmans | 11c | 115$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 631 | 44.1%278 W · 353 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Marc Polmans | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Marc Polmans | 17c | 106.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7de2…cd3fbacked Marc Polmans | 15c | 105$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Marc Polmans | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa967…9871backed Marc Polmans | 18c | 83.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3643…d645backed Marc Polmans | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed Marc Polmans | 16c | 83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 335 | 58.5%196 W · 139 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Marc Polmans | 15c | 75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mallorca Championships: Marc Polmans vs Grigor Dimitrovthis page
- Set Handicap: Dimitrov (-1.5) vs Polmans (+1.5)Dimitrov won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.