TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Liam Broady vs August Holmgren

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
August Holmgrenof Liam Broady, August Holmgren
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$175,988
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$206,762

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $175,988 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 203 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x26b4…b8a9backed August Holmgren55c11,804$6,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,304.4735244.6%157 W · 195 L-20.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c8e…a316backed Liam Broady55c10,785$5,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,971.024047.5%19 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Liam Broady45c9,131$4,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,119.818,72636.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L-187.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Liam Broady49c8,045$3,942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,942.1211,32543.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L+18.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54ba…04e4backed August Holmgren51c6,642$3,371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,270.5371329.7%212 W · 501 L-39.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xacf8…e791backed August Holmgren47c6,384$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,383.8332737.3%122 W · 205 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Liam Broady58c4,772$2,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,767.946,41154.4%3,486 W · 2,925 L+283.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Liam Broady54c3,655$1,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,967.085,28856.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L+231.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed August Holmgren70c3,481$2,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,06115859.5%94 W · 64 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Liam Broady58c3,238$1,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,875.533,54142.4%1,501 W · 2,040 L-44.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Liam Broady56c2,734$1,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,536.362,75453.8%1,481 W · 1,273 L+71.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed August Holmgren43c2,260$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,290.011,35438.3%518 W · 836 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Liam Broady54c2,246$1,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,211.744,46667.7%3,023 W · 1,443 L+299.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked August Holmgren45c2,222$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,222.2244754.4%243 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf12f…b30fbacked August Holmgren46c1,957$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,056.5269141.1%284 W · 407 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Liam Broady58c1,912$1,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,102.132,99757.3%1,717 W · 1,280 L+170.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc4a8…246dbacked August Holmgren44c1,900$836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0649240.2%37 W · 55 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+8.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Liam Broady45c1,860$837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837.044,88238.8%1,892 W · 2,990 L-17.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x710c…78eabacked Liam Broady28c1,786$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.941,04058.2%605 W · 435 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed August Holmgren41c1,741$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.284,87541.5%2,023 W · 2,852 L-77.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed August Holmgren57c1,384$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.294,64749.3%2,291 W · 2,356 L+159.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed August Holmgren73c1,370$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.8645935.5%163 W · 296 L-18.6wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c10…b6a4backed Liam Broady51c1,284$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65518947.6%90 W · 99 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed August Holmgren48c1,251$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.1826847.8%128 W · 140 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed August Holmgren50c1,200$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60011637.1%43 W · 73 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Liam Broady57c1,135$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.744,12644.6%1,842 W · 2,284 L+13.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9d3…079fbacked Liam Broady53c1,033$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.748555.9%271 W · 214 L-20.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Liam Broady52c998.07$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.889,23144.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L-241.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed Liam Broady57c943.04$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.531,02049.9%509 W · 511 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Liam Broady57c923$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.011,23446.3%571 W · 663 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dbd…e1e3backed August Holmgren53c918.19$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.1927446.7%128 W · 146 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc5a…07b6backed August Holmgren39c870.98$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.2125240.5%102 W · 150 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed Liam Broady42c810.83$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.5631337.1%116 W · 197 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5cd2…87f4backed Liam Broady5c800$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3615838%60 W · 98 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked August Holmgren46c789.79$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.96,59650.7%3,341 W · 3,255 L+259.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x306e…3a7cbacked August Holmgren41c699.99$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.9929549.8%147 W · 148 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bf9…8292backed August Holmgren56c672.98$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.1158757.8%339 W · 248 L+20.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Liam Broady51c670.62$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.681,01039.2%396 W · 614 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked August Holmgren61c629.76$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.6152152.2%272 W · 249 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Liam Broady46c599.94$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.956,99839.7%2,779 W · 4,219 L-16.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Liam Broady59c588$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.9872755.6%404 W · 323 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc508…f6b5backed Liam Broady57c556.7$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.325556.4%31 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed Liam Broady59c550.84$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.5843552.9%230 W · 205 L+0.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed August Holmgren50c524.33$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.331,56340%625 W · 938 L-32.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc927…a3c2backed August Holmgren30c495.17$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.174617.4%8 W · 38 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-44.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9c9…6686backed Liam Broady39c492.04$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.961,33746%615 W · 722 L+23.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x927c…6633backed August Holmgren51c465.67$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.1813253%70 W · 62 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef3a…1eb3backed August Holmgren43c465.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.1217941.3%74 W · 105 L+0.6wins0.00per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked August Holmgren46c463$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.0213237.9%50 W · 82 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Liam Broady28c439.29$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1231,77348.6%861 W · 912 L+28.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2de6…fb10backed August Holmgren53c437.74$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.7444056.1%247 W · 193 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Liam Broady49c428.72$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.432,39438.4%920 W · 1,474 L+87.7wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed August Holmgren52c419.8$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.168,39642.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L-162.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfffa…17c5backed August Holmgren46c413.7$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.5736545.2%165 W · 200 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc75…af4dbacked Liam Broady15c400$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6018841.5%78 W · 110 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ae4…714cbacked August Holmgren52c400$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1922951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x28e0…2e6bbacked Liam Broady31c355.6$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.5151344.4%228 W · 285 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed August Holmgren61c330.79$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.082,02546.9%950 W · 1,075 L+21.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed August Holmgren52c324$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.5223350.2%117 W · 116 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x13a9…e573backed Liam Broady44c299.99$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.9912025.8%31 W · 89 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb91…dd87backed August Holmgren41c281.44$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.054012.5%5 W · 35 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick24cpaid-52%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6991backed Liam Broady58c280$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.410847.2%51 W · 57 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+23.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Liam Broady44c272.72$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1205,19928.8%1,496 W · 3,703 L-18.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Liam Broady51c270.24$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.0180341.8%336 W · 467 L-20.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c41…6275backed Liam Broady16c257.78$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.857732.5%25 W · 52 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Liam Broady26c255$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.31,00843.8%442 W · 566 L-2.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked August Holmgren17c239$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.374,41151.8%2,286 W · 2,125 L+137.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed August Holmgren44c236.84$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.658,15245.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L+155.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Liam Broady54c222.82$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.526,74048.8%3,288 W · 3,452 L+58.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77f7…9385backed August Holmgren45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.225853.4%31 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9266…8f3cbacked August Holmgren50c220$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11025556.1%143 W · 112 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x36d9…c3cabacked August Holmgren53c220$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10322246.8%104 W · 118 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Liam Broady48c219.02$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.1339149.1%192 W · 199 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4036…0dd9backed Liam Broady46c218.51$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.511850%9 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe611…2970backed Liam Broady47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020055%110 W · 90 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4ee…47c8backed Liam Broady50c210$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10520261.4%124 W · 78 L+11.4wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf05…5efcbacked August Holmgren18c209.02$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.757017.1%12 W · 58 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-48.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Liam Broady51c208.75$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.4784640%338 W · 508 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed August Holmgren49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021,84244.6%822 W · 1,020 L-15.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Liam Broady15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3048738.4%187 W · 300 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Liam Broady16c200$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328341%34 W · 49 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Liam Broady46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4dc8…6655backed Liam Broady53c196.75$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.8814255.6%79 W · 63 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed August Holmgren69c180.78$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.182,82139.5%1,113 W · 1,708 L-82.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Liam Broady33c179.13$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.554,15952.8%2,198 W · 1,961 L+66.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed August Holmgren52c177.81$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.221,82853.1%971 W · 857 L-44.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Liam Broady51c172.55$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8813948.2%67 W · 72 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5282…82fcbacked August Holmgren43c170.86$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.83938.5%15 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e8a…a117backed Liam Broady58c168.83$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.769657.3%55 W · 41 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ba4…6de0backed Liam Broady63c158.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9728048.9%137 W · 143 L-14.9wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a99…d29fbacked August Holmgren50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7530042.3%127 W · 173 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6796…453fbacked August Holmgren72c150$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4294347.7%450 W · 493 L+35.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2725…e7d1backed August Holmgren53c149.99$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.5943452.3%227 W · 207 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39f6…c6efbacked Liam Broady20c147$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8926640.6%108 W · 158 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked August Holmgren53c144.41$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.672,14454.2%1,162 W · 982 L-1.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Liam Broady53c143.55$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.73,63154.9%1,995 W · 1,636 L+110.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c97…5c66backed Liam Broady47c142.26$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.448355.1%266 W · 217 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6712…a95bbacked Liam Broady51c137.81$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7014146.1%65 W · 76 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked August Holmgren45c136.13$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.21,22823.1%284 W · 944 L-164.0wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-47%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed August Holmgren44c135.8$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.8992145.2%416 W · 505 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.