TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-05-27?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$96,445
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$99,784

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,445 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdf80…3259backed No28c14,280$4,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,038.710446.2%48 W · 56 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee0d…57abbacked Yes46c7,500$3,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0504238.1%16 W · 26 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No58c6,419$3,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,749.6619952.8%105 W · 94 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b4e…12aebacked Yes51c5,936$3,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,910.47328.8%21 W · 52 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-10.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdf95…5c3ebacked No71c5,272$3,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,736.461776.5%13 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick65cpaid+20.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e4e…1dfcbacked No54c3,648$1,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9703345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes34c3,066$1,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,034.283,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a11…eb9dbacked No53c2,642$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4002227.3%6 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-44.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes57c2,559$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,108.221,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Yes47c2,138$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,138.052458.3%14 W · 10 L+3.8wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+43.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes63c1,775$1,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.9557540.2%231 W · 344 L+2.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed Yes16c1,527$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2829763.9%62 W · 35 L+13.3wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+47.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No53c1,479$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.521,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3555…ba40backed No57c1,439$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815.753560%21 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+29.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes69c1,384$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.7782434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes56c1,200$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52899259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes25c1,184$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885.731,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked No54c1,111$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6005844.8%26 W · 32 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd443…c069backed No55c999.99$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-60.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcef5…3881backed No56c984.96$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.5820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x09c1…0ddfbacked No53c937.08$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.2820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes45c844.9$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.772,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes63c812.56$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.5144843.8%196 W · 252 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes44c799.99$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.9926749.4%132 W · 135 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes68c753.99$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2421,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes47c744.68$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.6827549.1%135 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Yes46c708.19$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.4221349.8%106 W · 107 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes47c661.19$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.4327349.5%135 W · 138 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed No75c637.51$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.1314530.3%44 W · 101 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick25cpaid-4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x95d4…3c50backed No25c630.94$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.573444.1%15 W · 19 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19e9…239bbacked Yes48c625$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3252560%15 W · 10 L+5.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+50.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x639f…75f0backed Yes37c616.92$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.393562.9%22 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed No54c601.73$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.727060%42 W · 28 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked No54c561.74$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.343253.1%17 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+26.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes73c537.89$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.2328651.7%148 W · 138 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No55c532.78$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.0165058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes65c522.52$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.4251945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf33e…0ab8backed No54c501.64$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.893234.4%11 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-26.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3499…60b5backed No54c500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27030%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x87fe…3cbebacked No54c500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+60.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x242c…286dbacked No54c500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x764a…83d3backed No54c500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes49c481.71$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.891,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes36c463.73$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.351,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Yes45c451.09$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.111551.3%59 W · 56 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes46c407.85$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.251,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes44c378.88$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.633,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No52c373.66$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.34753.2%25 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x133b…5856backed Yes49c334.39$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.999349.5%46 W · 47 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb964…033ebacked No35c317.14$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11111354.9%62 W · 51 L+10.5wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+28%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Yes48c313$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.763836.8%14 W · 24 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-28.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes48c306.45$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.8520055%110 W · 90 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes45c281.95$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.121,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No35c281.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9923254.7%127 W · 105 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes44c277.01$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.2926745.3%121 W · 146 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8867…518cbacked No54c262$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.48425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-43.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes30c261.74$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.0789846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Yes54c256.62$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.4913451.5%69 W · 65 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No55c242.53$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.8742250.2%212 W · 210 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28e2…d3abbacked Yes44c226.3$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.7312414.5%18 W · 106 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb8d…c822backed No56c226.3$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked No30c224$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.216051.3%82 W · 78 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaffe…7140backed No54c215.89$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.582245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x895d…f2a3backed No53c215$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.952161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+37.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3331745.1%143 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf703…541abacked Yes52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3110039%39 W · 61 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No54c180$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.841654.3%226 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0209…a0dabacked No57c156.93$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.451241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes45c148.88$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8827855.4%154 W · 124 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed Yes73c136.98$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.985957.6%34 W · 25 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Yes44c124.33$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.368955.1%49 W · 40 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes59c119.71$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.1394848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Yes45c119.11$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.1933560.9%204 W · 131 L+18.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No54c111.1$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9925955.2%143 W · 116 L+1.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13e4…8b89backed No27c105$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3510649.1%52 W · 54 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked Yes75c95$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.752910.3%3 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-86.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4061…dde5backed Yes16c93.75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.758720.7%18 W · 69 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed Yes42c93.33$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.135660.7%34 W · 22 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes47c91.98$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.8842946.2%198 W · 231 L-2.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe8b0…cc4bbacked No59c85.42$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509256.5%52 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc435…e961backed No48c83.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No55c81$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.551,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb64f…c3a9backed Yes63c78$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.861136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-38.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No54c74$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.961,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No40c67.09$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.078,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No53c64.93$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3878756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b35…1dcebacked No48c62.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick42cpaid+54.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe22f…49b1backed No48c62.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301050%5 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+27.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed No33c61.36$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.544560%27 W · 18 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8de6…8b3cbacked No51c59.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0112958.1%75 W · 54 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes46c59$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.591,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde7f…a59bbacked Yes47c56.38$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.882100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+82.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x250e…77dbbacked Yes33c50$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.651040%4 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes40c49.91$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.0930858.4%180 W · 128 L+11.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No33c46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.28252.4%43 W · 39 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Yes41c45.35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8326965.4%176 W · 93 L+48.9wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+40.5%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0x0b2a…0a73backed Yes47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.555251.9%27 W · 25 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+35%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd59…da8ebacked Yes74c40.54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.543447.1%16 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Yes75c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109710.3%10 W · 87 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-72.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xffc9…bf01backed No51c38.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.717554.7%41 W · 34 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.