Tennis · resolved market
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Francisca Jorge vs Xiaodi You
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb788e9cc52d6a3277290059f735a8408446684303b1e130ec4de0060f517e6dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Francisca Jorgeof Francisca Jorge, Xiaodi You
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,011
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,113
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,011 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f75…0fbfbacked Xiaodi You | 22c | 4,547$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Francisca Jorge | 78c | 2,965$2,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.59 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Francisca Jorge | 73c | 1,245$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.54 | 4,602 | 67.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L | +309.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0bff…c8a8backed Xiaodi You | 54c | 462.97$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1740…529ebacked Xiaodi You | 38c | 391.79$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Xiaodi You | 23c | 374.6$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.64 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x332e…df71backed Xiaodi You | 29c | 347.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 429 | 34.7%149 W · 280 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Francisca Jorge | 78c | 327.34$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.83 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Francisca Jorge | 76c | 322.24$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.32 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…f64abacked Xiaodi You | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 849 | 63.1%536 W · 313 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Francisca Jorge | 59c | 201.67$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.25 | 292 | 41.8%122 W · 170 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Xiaodi You | 21c | 197.86$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.55 | 5,009 | 41.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L | -82.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Xiaodi You | 10c | 194$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Francisca Jorge | 58c | 155.8$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.44 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Xiaodi You | 49c | 135.96$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.91 | 1,881 | 45.7%860 W · 1,021 L | +51.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Xiaodi You | 19c | 131.52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 921 | 45.2%416 W · 505 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Xiaodi You | 26c | 129.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.12 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9644…d03bbacked Francisca Jorge | 50c | 113.92$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.96 | 372 | 47.3%176 W · 196 L | -17.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Francisca Jorge | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.99 | 560 | 62.5%350 W · 210 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Xiaodi You | 28c | 94.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.15 | 4,253 | 45%1,912 W · 2,341 L | +20.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Francisca Jorge | 45c | 88.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.56 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87d1…3744backed Francisca Jorge | 71c | 84.51$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 1,104 | 66.9%739 W · 365 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Francisca Jorge | 49c | 72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 2,043 | 47.8%977 W · 1,066 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Xiaodi You | 33c | 68.45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 2,069 | 46.7%966 W · 1,103 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Xiaodi You | 28c | 67.84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x794c…fa17backed Francisca Jorge | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 150 | 70%105 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Francisca Jorge | 47c | 62.58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.17 | 1,683 | 50.6%851 W · 832 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Francisca Jorge | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Xiaodi You | 26c | 58.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 590 | 50.5%298 W · 292 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Francisca Jorge | 51c | 50.02$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Francisca Jorge | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Francisca Jorge | 75c | 47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 351 | 87.7%308 W · 43 L | +66.4wins | +0.19per pick | 69cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5f…cf7cbacked Xiaodi You | 50c | 43.79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Francisca Jorge | 51c | 42.37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.76 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Xiaodi You | 49c | 40.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,168 | 49.1%573 W · 595 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Xiaodi You | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 3,884 | 35%1,358 W · 2,526 L | +92.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Xiaodi You | 53c | 37.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 2,528 | 36.2%914 W · 1,614 L | -26.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Francisca Jorge | 68c | 36.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4166…4f83backed Xiaodi You | 34c | 33.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 129 | 38.8%50 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Xiaodi You | 50c | 29.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 335 | 50.1%168 W · 167 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb518…3403backed Francisca Jorge | 73c | 27.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a5…2756backed Francisca Jorge | 49c | 24.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…5fc2backed Xiaodi You | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 283 | 52.7%149 W · 134 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Francisca Jorge | 62c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Francisca Jorge vs Xiaodi Youthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Jorge vs YouJorge won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.