TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Paris: Madison Keys vs Diane Parry

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Diane Parryof Madison Keys, Diane Parry
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$179,393
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$234,371

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $179,393 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5aa9…febebacked Madison Keys73c25,819$18,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,814.081,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x288c…3641backed Diane Parry21c14,577$3,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,522.999430.9%29 W · 65 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Diane Parry25c12,329$3,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,282.418,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Diane Parry23c10,936$2,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,433.584,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc9b8…599bbacked Madison Keys3c8,167$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2204261.9%26 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9f…26e8backed Diane Parry25c7,299$1,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,461.018647.7%41 W · 45 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Madison Keys79c5,459$4,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,303.9411,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Madison Keys73c4,677$3,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,433.026,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x710c…78eabacked Madison Keys79c4,133$3,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,250.321,04058.2%605 W · 435 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x363c…4463backed Diane Parry13c3,867$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,369.1127431.8%87 W · 187 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+38.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Diane Parry36c2,962$1,053 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,909.085,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc6f…959abacked Diane Parry18c2,500$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0504955.1%27 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ac…7deebacked Madison Keys41c2,427$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.8133253.6%178 W · 154 L+21.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x984b…867abacked Diane Parry28c2,426$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,749.671650%8 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+47.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Madison Keys78c2,315$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80062061.9%384 W · 236 L-18.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f55…2181backed Diane Parry25c1,998$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,500.112839.8%51 W · 77 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Diane Parry35c1,564$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,017.3549252.4%258 W · 234 L+28.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+34.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Madison Keys78c1,351$1,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.292,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51e1…5ec9backed Diane Parry11c1,200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,06844018.9%83 W · 357 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Diane Parry23c999.98$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.9985634.2%293 W · 563 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f75…0fbfbacked Diane Parry16c965.84$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813.74731.9%15 W · 32 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Madison Keys57c750.18$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.124,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0574…3ee0backed Diane Parry9c743.59$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.597121.1%15 W · 56 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked Madison Keys76c659.8$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50059965.8%394 W · 205 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Madison Keys66c633.75$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.544,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Diane Parry42c476.26$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.261,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Diane Parry26c460.95$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.044,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Diane Parry36c454.98$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.3722033.6%74 W · 146 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Madison Keys72c400$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2881,09452.4%573 W · 521 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cc1…b855backed Diane Parry17c394.18$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.373336.4%12 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bfa…a8debacked Diane Parry25c393.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.5535951.3%184 W · 175 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe857…7b3bbacked Diane Parry19c374.23$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.2383823.2%194 W · 644 L-58.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-26.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Madison Keys79c373.65$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.999,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf753…bcfebacked Diane Parry17c362.16$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.1653736.9%198 W · 339 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca7e…b68ebacked Madison Keys74c318.61$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.771833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed Madison Keys71c305$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.916848.2%81 W · 87 L-9.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c76…862dbacked Madison Keys80c299.14$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.486352.4%33 W · 30 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Madison Keys80c270.21$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.171,36338.3%522 W · 841 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Diane Parry31c236.23$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.726,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed Madison Keys25c226.6$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.2545235.8%162 W · 290 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f64…3633backed Diane Parry20c218.25$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.699249.4%490 W · 502 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1740…529ebacked Madison Keys68c204.61$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.477062.9%44 W · 26 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Diane Parry25c201$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.7597141.4%402 W · 569 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3201…27a4backed Madison Keys68c199.98$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.982774.1%20 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick74cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Madison Keys80c187.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60a3…3850backed Diane Parry20c186.84$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.385624.4%209 W · 647 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbbc…2b70backed Madison Keys29c164.87$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.639941.9%167 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfaa…28f7backed Madison Keys71c159.98$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.6893945.5%427 W · 512 L+20.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e72…d0b9backed Diane Parry14c153.46$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.670729.1%206 W · 501 L+0.8wins0.00per pick29cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x219c…fed6backed Diane Parry19c149.98$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.83537.1%13 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Madison Keys38c143.72$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.065,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddf5…aaa3backed Madison Keys77c142.86$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11069253.3%369 W · 323 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Diane Parry18c133.19$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.748,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Madison Keys64c130.98$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.7532935%115 W · 214 L-1.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7072…75dcbacked Madison Keys16c119.49$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98af…b216backed Madison Keys23c116$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1117617%30 W · 146 L-15.9wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-45.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfd08…0635backed Madison Keys76c109.76$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.4270465.2%459 W · 245 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed Madison Keys22c99.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2229039.3%114 W · 176 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ac7…ca76backed Diane Parry21c97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.633234.4%11 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e75…0143backed Diane Parry25c96.15$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.117341.1%30 W · 43 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Madison Keys73c96$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.086,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Madison Keys78c84.62$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dab…e5c0backed Madison Keys78c79.99$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.2416028.8%46 W · 114 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc87…ea3bbacked Diane Parry26c76.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.7733346.2%154 W · 179 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9527…f108backed Madison Keys17c76.66$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8752739.3%207 W · 320 L+37.6wins+0.07per pick32cpaid-7.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x93c8…adffbacked Diane Parry35c67.25$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.726847%126 W · 142 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Madison Keys41c67$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4769438%264 W · 430 L+21.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42d6…01ccbacked Madison Keys77c64.94$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,07762.8%676 W · 401 L-27.9wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27cf…979abacked Madison Keys80c62.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018148.1%87 W · 94 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0813…41e1backed Madison Keys76c61$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.3637158.8%218 W · 153 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca20…7b68backed Madison Keys77c60.28$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5957447.7%274 W · 300 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Madison Keys80c60$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.735187.7%308 W · 43 L+66.4wins+0.19per pick69cpaid+29.6%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed Madison Keys32c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.29353.8%50 W · 43 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Diane Parry24c59.99$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.593,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6864…9e27backed Diane Parry22c59.55$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.557349.3%36 W · 37 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6136…64f8backed Diane Parry28c52.78$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.782924.1%7 W · 22 L-5.2wins-0.18per pick42cpaid-42.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbd6e…0edfbacked Madison Keys75c51.54$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.815354.7%29 W · 24 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+19.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a3d…efefbacked Madison Keys78c51.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.7wins-0.34per pick71cpaid-48.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Madison Keys79c50.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e45…39dabacked Madison Keys80c49.82$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8618551.9%96 W · 89 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb5b3…4756backed Madison Keys80c49.82$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8619548.2%94 W · 101 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Diane Parry29c48.64$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5489663.7%571 W · 325 L+63.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+12.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x489e…99bdbacked Madison Keys77c45.71$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352352.2%12 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick65cpaid-22.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x071f…92bdbacked Madison Keys74c41.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.41,07673.8%794 W · 282 L+41.1wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Diane Parry27c40.41$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.52,44745.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb06b…c1e1backed Madison Keys77c36.44$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.065862.1%36 W · 22 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5617…a1f2backed Madison Keys73c36.41$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.582653.8%14 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6945…729cbacked Madison Keys72c35.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3818932.3%61 W · 128 L+0.7wins0.00per pick32cpaid+496.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Madison Keys78c33.62$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.392,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4546…7354backed Madison Keys80c31.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257166.2%47 W · 24 L+0.3wins0.00per pick66cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Madison Keys73c30.78$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5916549.7%82 W · 83 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Madison Keys78c30$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.388273.5%648 W · 234 L+19.8wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ab4…5c9cbacked Madison Keys73c28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4411891.5%108 W · 10 L+17.4wins+0.15per pick77cpaid+19.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x4ec7…ed98backed Madison Keys79c25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.754456.8%25 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49c5…3de7backed Madison Keys67c25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6520857.2%119 W · 89 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c38…291fbacked Madison Keys68c21.51$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6310155.4%56 W · 45 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc302…1f6cbacked Madison Keys76c21.13$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.971764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Madison Keys74c21$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.541,06242%446 W · 616 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Madison Keys66c16.96$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1183047%390 W · 440 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1603…913bbacked Madison Keys78c16.76$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.06966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+26.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.