Premier League · resolved market
Arsenal FC leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f1dc099232de2e9350dbe3d69887df21162c99aa505b860b00498c68dd32e57
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,872
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,121
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,872 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 40c | 5,376$2,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,161.61 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 36c | 3,874$1,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,385.81 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…28a8backed Yes | 72c | 2,345$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 28c | 1,896$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.87 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 28c | 1,850$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.7 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6b…ca1bbacked Yes | 72c | 1,575$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.8 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…f481backed Yes | 72c | 1,222$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.74 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…d445backed Yes | 44c | 1,199$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.44 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…7f92backed Yes | 73c | 1,034$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 76cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaf…5dcfbacked Yes | 64c | 1,006$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.76 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 28c | 845.78$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.21 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f84…00edbacked Yes | 71c | 808.58$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.49 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 32c | 764.37$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.47 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Yes | 55c | 700$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 60c | 643.69$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.43 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 29c | 625.64$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.46 | 150 | 30.7%46 W · 104 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c0…19bdbacked Yes | 72c | 599.99$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 60c | 538.01$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.2 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…b609backed Yes | 71c | 506.91$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.33 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -6.2wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked No | 31c | 499.98$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.99 | 288 | 24.7%71 W · 217 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 52c | 462$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.93 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 28c | 461.27$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.96 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6adf…4f5bbacked Yes | 60c | 447.7$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.9 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 29c | 427.12$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.23 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Yes | 48c | 419.49$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.49 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Yes | 70c | 405.93$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.93 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd20b…3a20backed Yes | 67c | 368.76$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.22 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 26c | 362.86$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.34 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b4…d723backed Yes | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -7.2wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…586dbacked Yes | 70c | 284.12$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.89 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 119 | 54.6%65 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00b9…c25cbacked Yes | 63c | 269.84$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.84 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Yes | 71c | 230$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.7 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 68c | 223.07$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.38 | 353 | 47.6%168 W · 185 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 26c | 220.48$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.32 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Yes | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Yes | 70c | 199.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 46c | 176.3$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.13 | 413 | 43.3%179 W · 234 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d32…fe22backed Yes | 43c | 161.07$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.61 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed No | 30c | 147.3$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.19 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc83…215cbacked Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b11…2faebacked Yes | 71c | 141.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 139 | 44.6%62 W · 77 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a7…40f7backed No | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa859…fdb5backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d8…cea4backed Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked No | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3216…0cc7backed No | 28c | 99.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafce…c2f6backed Yes | 54c | 99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.54 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 31c | 97.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x796f…92efbacked Yes | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa00…3cf9backed Yes | 61c | 88.52$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4829…97ebbacked Yes | 57c | 87.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.98 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed No | 12c | 84.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 44c | 83.22$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6325…cfaabacked No | 43c | 72.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.38 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9af0…a4d3backed Yes | 72c | 71.61$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ff…aa94backed Yes | 71c | 70.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.66 | 133 | 54.9%73 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 177 | 55.9%99 W · 78 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4f…7b2dbacked Yes | 72c | 68.56$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 65c | 64.67$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 419 | 56.3%236 W · 183 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Yes | 49c | 64.53$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.21 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +10.9wins | +0.30per pick | 42cpaid | +99.7%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x022e…e2c2backed Yes | 72c | 62.24$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed No | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +9.2wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc582…853cbacked No | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 47 | 12.8%6 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73ed…06d5backed Yes | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a2…875ebacked Yes | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed No | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f68…3e9cbacked Yes | 42c | 50.35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.14 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 33cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a16…5f47backed No | 29c | 49.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…a400backed Yes | 59c | 43.96$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.96 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ae…320fbacked Yes | 72c | 42.29$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9646…3cf2backed Yes | 72c | 41.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 49c | 39.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90f3…90f2backed Yes | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Yes | 71c | 34.35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 279 | 55.9%156 W · 123 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed No | 31c | 32.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d4…c4d9backed Yes | 63c | 31.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf72a…5d8ebacked Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Yes | 70c | 25.71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b4…1634backed No | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe28a…9317backed Yes | 71c | 23.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 78c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…d92dbacked Yes | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Yes | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 129 | 68.2%88 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03a3…1795backed Yes | 72c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9da7…8bb1backed Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48a0…f156backed No | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Yes | 70c | 19.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 144 | 63.2%91 W · 53 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f9…fc56backed Yes | 72c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arsenal FC leading at halftime?this page
- Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: Draw at halftime?No won
- Burnley FC leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.