Champions League · resolved market
Will Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeeae3ae45fbdad96a16e1f05ae799afb4ca82bfa72d24afbfa555037e0c8c593
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,906
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,930
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,906 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xacd8…e908backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38f9…da6bbacked Yes | 0c | 7,500$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 26c | 5,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed No | 76c | 4,086$3,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.62 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…b0d0backed No | 72c | 3,246$2,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 73c | 3,141$2,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.1 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa933…6077backed Yes | 28c | 3,036$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +186.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1649…0a4ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,037$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 8cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 77c | 1,359$1,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.42 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 72c | 1,104$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.99 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 72c | 927.71$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.76 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +12.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 28c | 888.64$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.82 | 152 | 50.7%77 W · 75 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 73c | 857.51$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.36 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39a1…af66backed Yes | 27c | 799.97$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.99 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed No | 79c | 747.55$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0678…9fd0backed Yes | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…8756backed Yes | 24c | 570.83$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 71c | 502.56$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.74 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ae…320fbacked Yes | 23c | 420$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked No | 74c | 408.11$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.11 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa970…c980backed No | 73c | 373.43$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.83 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd19f…cfaabacked Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +59%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x43ff…30e8backed Yes | 25c | 338.48$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb70b…4dc8backed Yes | 28c | 281.36$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.78 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x487f…30babacked No | 73c | 240$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf64…7e54backed Yes | 27c | 240$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…03c2backed Yes | 25c | 220$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf7b…dd7bbacked Yes | 29c | 220$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eae…f263backed Yes | 29c | 207.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…726cbacked Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 11c | 160$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 257 | 35%90 W · 167 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c06…62e3backed Yes | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -46%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67b8…c769backed Yes | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed No | 73c | 134.1$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.78 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x670c…d5fabacked Yes | 28c | 114.29$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 112 | 18.8%21 W · 91 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe094…fe93backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 29cpaid | +156.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ea…459fbacked No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…1219backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…fed3backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +95.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7d…f559backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe617…51bcbacked Yes | 25c | 92.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf423…2360backed Yes | 27c | 87.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad5d…4678backed No | 73c | 84.96$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0575…a83fbacked No | 73c | 82.55$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6986…b654backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f8…1affbacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c3…e248backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbc…176bbacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…1730backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 72c | 71.43$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…05b2backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b07…2d28backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f38…16e2backed Yes | 29c | 68.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a27…0e7bbacked No | 78c | 65.31$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x235c…8c1abacked No | 73c | 65.14$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…e44abacked No | 73c | 57.53$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…4130backed Yes | 28c | 57.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf479…0fe3backed Yes | 21c | 56.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ba…044cbacked No | 73c | 52.21$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…a8acbacked No | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4b…9ec7backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e2…a27ebacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd975…0a3ebacked Yes | 31c | 48.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +4.1wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 72c | 43.07$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe348…ef84backed Yes | 26c | 42.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc0…5cdbbacked Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0401…aad0backed Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f6…6e92backed No | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 72c | 32.49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 187 | 58.8%110 W · 77 L | +18.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?this page
- Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-03-12?Yes won
- Will Real Madrid win on 2025-03-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.