Champions League · resolved market
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-03-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a5891fef3ceb7ef471bab5a2bc6062e1bb5e583060c2c089143d26715074a04
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $436,735
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $422,471
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $436,735 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 270 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2441…d424backed Yes | 0c | 71,320$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…b0d0backed No | 62c | 46,682$29,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,651.65 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc7…b6e4backed Yes | 1c | 41,911$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked No | 62c | 36,190$22,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,723.93 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95d5…0e3cbacked Yes | 3c | 31,314$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacd8…e908backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86ab…5fb4backed Yes | 0c | 16,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked No | 63c | 13,881$8,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,155.19 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed No | 75c | 11,715$8,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,987.18 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 39c | 11,614$4,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,528.5 | 210 | 37.1%78 W · 132 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa074…49c3backed Yes | 38c | 10,526$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 37c | 8,500$3,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,175 | 106 | 31.1%33 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 78c | 7,095$5,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,564.53 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes | 36c | 5,571$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 63c | 5,500$3,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,034.98 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 63c | 5,400$3,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,006.35 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 38c | 5,263$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e0…14adbacked Yes | 32c | 5,184$1,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,635 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 37c | 5,042$1,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,842.2 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 29c | 5,039$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.61 | 254 | 50%127 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 8c | 5,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.55 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb849…7b64backed Yes | 9c | 4,600$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes | 37c | 4,098$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes | 37c | 4,054$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 64c | 4,000$2,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.95 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +12.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Yes | 38c | 3,929$1,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,494.52 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x542b…4b76backed No | 61c | 3,876$2,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.7 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca5…52a2backed Yes | 37c | 3,541$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa933…6077backed Yes | 38c | 2,895$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +186.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…96cfbacked Yes | 18c | 2,803$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.77 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8d…d880backed Yes | 36c | 2,778$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 37c | 2,703$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 123 | 33.3%41 W · 82 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb826…8d67backed Yes | 37c | 2,703$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…b2d1backed No | 59c | 2,575$1,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.75 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1e…1f0bbacked Yes | 37c | 2,557$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.19 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 24cpaid | +145%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a26…410ebacked Yes | 38c | 2,544$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.9 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.30per pick | 40cpaid | +107.3%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 63c | 2,135$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.64 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…6116backed Yes | 30c | 1,951$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.9 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes | 37c | 1,733$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.28 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.9wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…8756backed Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd19f…cfaabacked Yes | 24c | 1,525$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.46 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +59%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb28a…6d4abacked Yes | 2c | 1,440$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 39c | 1,423$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0388…7d66backed Yes | 36c | 1,388$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8773…302fbacked Yes | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf87…69b2backed Yes | 22c | 1,319$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.41 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 61c | 1,300$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7322…bb35backed Yes | 36c | 1,300$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd46…4b28backed Yes | 37c | 1,225$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.25 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x698f…ae41backed Yes | 27c | 1,224$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed Yes | 35c | 1,219$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.73 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99b6…d890backed Yes | 5c | 1,139$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0de4…2d29backed Yes | 13c | 1,110$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.7 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1306…c689backed Yes | 18c | 1,102$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 24c | 1,042$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 152 | 50.7%77 W · 75 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x732b…85f4backed Yes | 30c | 869.99$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 37c | 810.81$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 201 | 33.8%68 W · 133 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945c…a489backed Yes | 37c | 803.64$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x000d…8c9dbacked Yes | 4c | 750$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd36a…5bc2backed Yes | 27c | 746.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc6…949abacked Yes | 14c | 701.95$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.21 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.35per pick | 25cpaid | +165.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes | 37c | 700$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c11…e2bdbacked Yes | 8c | 657.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 60c | 655.24$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.3 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…6578backed Yes | 13c | 650$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.76 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Yes | 39c | 612.54$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.89 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e7…b9c9backed Yes | 13c | 608.15$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffc…6988backed Yes | 19c | 600$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -52%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 63c | 578.97$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.22 | 291 | 36.8%107 W · 184 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed No | 65c | 561.54$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.54 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c5e…c96dbacked Yes | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Yes | 21c | 537.5$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc103…81e8backed Yes | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eae…f263backed Yes | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6e…ba8dbacked No | 64c | 515$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f63…67c4backed Yes | 35c | 507.12$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3368…f2eabacked No | 63c | 490$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7d…f559backed Yes | 8c | 483.33$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c41…97c1backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 64c | 421.73$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.3 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7410…ffc6backed Yes | 26c | 414.75$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 35cpaid | +71%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bae…55b5backed Yes | 37c | 405.41$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe483…b5a0backed Yes | 37c | 405.41$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb92f…566bbacked Yes | 27c | 373.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…cbb5backed Yes | 19c | 372.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe08d…3c4abacked Yes | 13c | 369.23$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 63c | 359.65$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.99 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…9729backed Yes | 41c | 353.66$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 42cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2c…9b1cbacked Yes | 21c | 304.76$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 62c | 301.99$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.76 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Yes | 32c | 300$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5613…10c9backed No | 64c | 293$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x465a…1853backed Yes | 27c | 285.81$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.49 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8719…0155backed Yes | 37c | 280.65$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a8…8718backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…612abacked Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6b…d8c8backed Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0310…ae42backed Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67b8…c769backed Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Madrid win on 2025-03-12?this page
- Will Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?No won
- Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-03-12?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.