TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Maryland Terrapins vs. North Carolina Tar Heels (W)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
North Carolina Tar Heelsof Maryland Terrapins, North Carolina Tar Heels
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$67,096

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,096 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked North Carolina Tar Heels70c10,199$7,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,011.381,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked North Carolina Tar Heels60c8,448$5,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,376.4839454.6%215 W · 179 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Maryland Terrapins26c7,139$1,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,828.32,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Maryland Terrapins41c3,890$1,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6104245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Maryland Terrapins40c3,497$1,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,402.841,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Maryland Terrapins16c2,276$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.5714728.6%42 W · 105 L-0.7wins0.00per pick29cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Maryland Terrapins38c1,916$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.224,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbc2…b3b6backed Maryland Terrapins34c1,700$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.142536%9 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-29.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x07dd…0876backed North Carolina Tar Heels60c1,564$931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.5323754.4%129 W · 108 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x624a…37a5backed Maryland Terrapins41c1,332$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb99c…cf27backed Maryland Terrapins41c1,313$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed North Carolina Tar Heels77c1,139$872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.922,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Maryland Terrapins28c1,132$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.811,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed North Carolina Tar Heels66c1,072$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.897652.6%40 W · 36 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-17.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xae60…1f06backed Maryland Terrapins41c951.61$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.168855.7%49 W · 39 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed North Carolina Tar Heels70c928.05$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.023,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Maryland Terrapins37c785.56$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.075127.5%14 W · 37 L-7.1wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-52.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3fa5…4f56backed Maryland Terrapins40c750$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001540%6 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+71.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa883…32bebacked Maryland Terrapins41c698$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60bc…6583backed Maryland Terrapins42c691$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48e8…25a3backed Maryland Terrapins41c682.78$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87c7…cfdbbacked Maryland Terrapins42c654.48$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Maryland Terrapins42c650.49$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.661,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x864f…ebe6backed Maryland Terrapins14c635.75$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.83450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Maryland Terrapins41c488.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20040755.8%227 W · 180 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Maryland Terrapins12c422$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.761,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Maryland Terrapins12c382$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.2684854.5%462 W · 386 L+32.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Maryland Terrapins39c368.24$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.4393941.6%391 W · 548 L+25.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x701f…9b8fbacked Maryland Terrapins40c349.97$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1403151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ec7…1e38backed Maryland Terrapins28c334.29$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.765933.9%20 W · 39 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1a47…fcf3backed North Carolina Tar Heels57c250$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.57445.9%34 W · 40 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Maryland Terrapins34c226.5$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.9615238.8%59 W · 93 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xab30…379fbacked Maryland Terrapins5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10205%1 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick12cpaid-54.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Maryland Terrapins39c190.44$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.7719147.6%91 W · 100 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked Maryland Terrapins42c175$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.516546.7%77 W · 88 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Maryland Terrapins41c170.72$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7058652.9%310 W · 276 L+23.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed North Carolina Tar Heels70c163.32$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9330746.3%142 W · 165 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f3…8382backed Maryland Terrapins41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013450%67 W · 67 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2045…c77cbacked North Carolina Tar Heels56c106.94$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.944669.6%32 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Maryland Terrapins39c100.54$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2115124.5%37 W · 114 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-23.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18c6…a4dbbacked Maryland Terrapins41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.6wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+23.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa2c2…ad6bbacked Maryland Terrapins42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421560%9 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Maryland Terrapins28c99.96$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.921,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Maryland Terrapins41c89.03$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.4833445.5%152 W · 182 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef71…898bbacked Maryland Terrapins13c85$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.72433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Maryland Terrapins41c84.57$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.677044.3%31 W · 39 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Maryland Terrapins42c80$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.613356.4%75 W · 58 L+10.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Maryland Terrapins34c78.8$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.659452.1%49 W · 45 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed North Carolina Tar Heels79c76.46$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8957655%317 W · 259 L+17.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4168…a631backed Maryland Terrapins40c75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc13…5eb6backed North Carolina Tar Heels73c73.97$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.972360.9%14 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick63cpaid+6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bba…6596backed Maryland Terrapins41c73.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304055%22 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb5a…2faabacked North Carolina Tar Heels69c70.07$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.611376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick60cpaid+31.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Maryland Terrapins41c61$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0148551.1%248 W · 237 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Maryland Terrapins43c58$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9478052.2%407 W · 373 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde67…a253backed Maryland Terrapins43c57.77$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.841560%9 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed North Carolina Tar Heels56c56$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.641,07447%505 W · 569 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked North Carolina Tar Heels57c52.97$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.787657.9%44 W · 32 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed North Carolina Tar Heels64c50.32$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1222250%111 W · 111 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16d3…7c23backed Maryland Terrapins40c49.7$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.88616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.31per pick48cpaid-64.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8a25…3c70backed North Carolina Tar Heels61c49.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.373357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Maryland Terrapins41c49$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0930050.7%152 W · 148 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e0a…745dbacked Maryland Terrapins41c49$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0924148.5%117 W · 124 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Maryland Terrapins41c49$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0932850%164 W · 164 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8862…7783backed North Carolina Tar Heels53c48.09$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Maryland Terrapins43c46.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2031647.8%151 W · 165 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf15…bc03backed North Carolina Tar Heels61c44.01$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.235265.4%34 W · 18 L+5.5wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe52e…ac6dbacked Maryland Terrapins39c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.64252.4%22 W · 20 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Maryland Terrapins41c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.45354.7%29 W · 24 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Maryland Terrapins42c39$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3861244.9%275 W · 337 L+1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Maryland Terrapins29c37.35$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.946547.7%31 W · 34 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2a2…23a0backed North Carolina Tar Heels71c36.35$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.458744.8%39 W · 48 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fa7…089dbacked North Carolina Tar Heels60c35$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149851%50 W · 48 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked North Carolina Tar Heels61c32.8$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.87057.1%40 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed North Carolina Tar Heels61c32.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.656765.7%44 W · 23 L+8.1wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+20.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa146…1d57backed North Carolina Tar Heels70c31.24$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.271989.5%17 W · 2 L+3.3wins+0.17per pick72cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x60e8…50c2backed Maryland Terrapins50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155143.1%22 W · 29 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-25.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Maryland Terrapins47c27.87$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.132246.6%150 W · 172 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb902…10c0backed North Carolina Tar Heels72c27.83$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.83742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd418…d11fbacked North Carolina Tar Heels59c25.57$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.572951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x002e…af86backed North Carolina Tar Heels59c24.72$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.17425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-57.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde66…be48backed North Carolina Tar Heels72c22.7$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.477565.3%49 W · 26 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d90…3bbdbacked North Carolina Tar Heels61c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.8977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick67cpaid+19.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x955f…2e25backed North Carolina Tar Heels61c17$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.631968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.7wins+0.20per pick49cpaid+46.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x00d2…fe64backed North Carolina Tar Heels59c17$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.978055%44 W · 36 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.