Bundesliga · resolved market
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-03-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3e980e093fcfdde2a9619168ef846cfa01a9c7f28387312bc3ba259460c2a2c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $438,197
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $438,197 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 294 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Yes | 44c | 141,215$62,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78,537.81 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +8.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked No | 56c | 85,877$47,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,886.03 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 41c | 45,463$18,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,765.5 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked No | 55c | 33,300$18,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,315 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…2965backed No | 57c | 29,421$16,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,770 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -33%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 69c | 28,831$19,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,775.95 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 44c | 22,430$9,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,560.98 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed Yes | 35c | 18,518$6,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,951.06 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +9.6wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 47c | 17,923$8,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,378.45 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Yes | 43c | 16,847$7,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,526.42 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…0525backed No | 56c | 16,352$9,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,157.12 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 56c | 12,376$6,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,922.21 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Yes | 44c | 10,500$4,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,845 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…96d3backed No | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 19c | 6,221$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181.78 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No | 57c | 6,023$3,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,433.14 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Yes | 44c | 6,022$2,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,352.32 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 65c | 5,276$3,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,435.91 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd29…77aebacked Yes | 43c | 4,927$2,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,808.66 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2128…da98backed No | 55c | 4,683$2,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,575.65 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e83…4bd3backed No | 55c | 4,142$2,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,278 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 61cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 28c | 3,902$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,793.26 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Yes | 44c | 3,109$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,742.04 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes | 44c | 2,794$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566.35 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 52c | 2,707$1,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,312.77 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363e…ae45backed No | 63c | 2,700$1,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,697.96 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.29per pick | 38cpaid | -89.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 43c | 2,679$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,527.06 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 43c | 2,606$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,485 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 36c | 2,393$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,539.15 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked No | 55c | 2,197$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.41 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 36c | 2,193$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.04 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 55c | 2,115$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.13 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 64c | 2,039$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed No | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.98 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 63c | 1,853$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.2 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 41c | 1,744$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.62 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes | 34c | 1,493$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990.01 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 27cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 75c | 1,421$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.49 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 34c | 1,399$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.81 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked No | 56c | 1,270$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.29 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 49c | 1,211$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.16 | 222 | 45.9%102 W · 120 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed No | 75c | 1,073$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.45 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.25per pick | 67cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 45c | 1,010$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.49 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed No | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 38c | 924.92$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.82 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +10.5wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Yes | 44c | 912$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.72 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed No | 56c | 812.5$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed No | 56c | 780.94$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.33 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 58c | 756.69$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.13 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd1…96a7backed Yes | 44c | 750$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab2…aa17backed No | 57c | 740$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1350…0841backed No | 55c | 739.25$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.59 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefa5…b417backed No | 56c | 739$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.84 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d3…22d1backed No | 56c | 733.9$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Yes | 42c | 710$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.8 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…0d61backed No | 57c | 700$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x407b…e0fabacked Yes | 44c | 690$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed No | 57c | 684.21$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.23 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 44c | 666$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.96 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 55c | 609$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.95 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 74c | 588.55$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.4 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed No | 55c | 581.82$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 45c | 559.89$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.09 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed No | 56c | 554.23$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.52 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34e8…100fbacked No | 57c | 528.96$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.51 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5c…1768backed No | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -7.2wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -47%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.19 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Yes | 44c | 469$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.64 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd733…b175backed Yes | 44c | 450$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 65c | 431.91$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.98 | 113 | 56.6%64 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 34c | 431.14$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.55 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed No | 56c | 410.71$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Yes | 33c | 404.74$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.09 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 25c | 402.95$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.2 | 147 | 34.7%51 W · 96 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0556…132abacked Yes | 45c | 400$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 48cpaid | +75%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 55c | 348.71$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.48 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.91 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f04…6a54backed Yes | 26c | 338.97$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 44c | 335$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.21 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 45c | 332.31$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.18 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafb1…0329backed No | 55c | 302.9$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.47 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Yes | 44c | 301.9$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.06 | 121 | 57.9%70 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 44c | 300$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.5 | 50 | 68%34 W · 16 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed No | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -5.8wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5544backed Yes | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 44c | 299.97$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.98 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 56c | 299.97$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.98 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Yes | 43c | 298$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b93…e941backed No | 54c | 294.83$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.21 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Yes | 44c | 285.69$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…c230backed No | 19c | 266$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.54 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Yes | 44c | 263$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.28 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9737…09c1backed Yes | 44c | 263$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked Yes | 44c | 263$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.28 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 65cpaid | +62%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Yes | 18c | 261.82$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.69 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Yes | 44c | 261.5$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.88 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 55c | 256.77$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.22 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…e187backed No | 11c | 254.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-03-22?this page
- Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?No won
- Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-03-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.