Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-03-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c2fea843951fad1c6641640db4458f3428462b3b5d7fc3afd9172fda68ccda6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $158,975
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,975 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 29c | 19,417$5,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,630.93 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 76c | 18,036$13,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,313.41 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 80c | 16,499$13,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,336.34 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 71c | 15,187$10,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,404.22 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 23c | 14,011$3,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,205.2 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 29c | 12,564$3,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,643.56 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 24c | 10,417$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 71c | 5,041$3,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,462 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed No | 70c | 4,554$3,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,366.16 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Yes | 26c | 3,846$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 22c | 3,472$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.76 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 3,410$2,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.13 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 23c | 3,197$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.52 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 75c | 3,182$2,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.98 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 76c | 2,724$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.83 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 71c | 2,460$1,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.4 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 71c | 1,764$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.56 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 29c | 1,693$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.11 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 77c | 1,678$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.36 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked No | 71c | 1,626$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.64 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +8.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed No | 71c | 1,626$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.54 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 29c | 1,500$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 70c | 1,467$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.55 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 24c | 1,042$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked Yes | 29c | 1,023$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5104…a114backed Yes | 22c | 909.09$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 76c | 882.57$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.88 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 30c | 850$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.5 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -5.1wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa10e…4ea1backed Yes | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes | 19c | 784.54$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.74 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 27cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 24c | 750$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Yes | 24c | 725$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -5.0wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe05d…b812backed Yes | 29c | 678.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 22c | 660$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.3 | 223 | 32.3%72 W · 151 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7c…3c87backed No | 77c | 652.05$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.97 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 28c | 600$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2d…6f93backed Yes | 31c | 565$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 71c | 556.97$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.09 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 79c | 531.89$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.5 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5392…d2ecbacked Yes | 25c | 502.24$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.56 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 71c | 481.11$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.52 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 19c | 474.95$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.94 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed No | 70c | 464.07$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.22 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed No | 77c | 446.8$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.7 | 80 | 67.5%54 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed No | 77c | 401.25$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.99 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 25c | 400.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 241 | 32%77 W · 164 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 21c | 365.04$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.41 | 113 | 56.6%64 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 28c | 340.26$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.27 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 175 | 49.1%86 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 22c | 330.49$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.46 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 76c | 325.25$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.43 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x071c…bab9backed Yes | 24c | 304.17$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Yes | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5544backed No | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed No | 71c | 299.99$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 25c | 299.4$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.85 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…1973backed Yes | 19c | 291.67$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…bc03backed No | 77c | 253.68$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.21 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Yes | 31c | 252.75$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd983…d92dbacked Yes | 24c | 250$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…e882backed Yes | 19c | 250$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 34c | 230$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.1 | 126 | 35.7%45 W · 81 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa9…5da8backed Yes | 26c | 228.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 70c | 211.8$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.19 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…82f2backed Yes | 20c | 200.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a54…4e11backed Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 13c | 200$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce01…7acabacked Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a10…7843backed Yes | 15c | 180.53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.08 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 71c | 179$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.91 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Yes | 11c | 170.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 25c | 169.36$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 204 | 36.3%74 W · 130 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 80c | 165.4$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.08 | 245 | 41.6%102 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 70c | 165.27$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.32 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffff…4413backed No | 80c | 158.53$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.28 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Yes | 29c | 155.17$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…3a2ebacked Yes | 19c | 153.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.71 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefc8…4676backed Yes | 31c | 145.59$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +51%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed No | 71c | 144.6$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.93 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Yes | 19c | 140$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…76dcbacked Yes | 25c | 140$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +137.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 24c | 139.33$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 147 | 34.7%51 W · 96 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Yes | 24c | 139$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…6c97backed Yes | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes | 20c | 137.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 78c | 133.22$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.74 | 160 | 60.6%97 W · 63 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Yes | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 99 | 37.4%37 W · 62 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x797e…fc29backed Yes | 24c | 130$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Yes | 25c | 125$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4d…b339backed Yes | 25c | 121.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…077dbacked Yes | 18c | 120.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yes | 21c | 115$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 21c | 114$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2d…8452backed Yes | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +120.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48df…e4c9backed Yes | 25c | 110.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x464c…4632backed Yes | 19c | 109.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc85e…5d37backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-03-22?this page
- Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw?No won
- Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-03-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.