TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will the Orlando Magic make the NBA Playoffs?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$96,971
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$92,165

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,971 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 222 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x51fd…4272backed No21c12,360$2,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,584.339435.3%139 W · 255 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked No28c3,590$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987.1995641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes76c2,902$2,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.2610542.9%45 W · 60 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Yes78c1,867$1,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.0322041.4%91 W · 129 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes73c1,694$1,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.4322750.2%114 W · 113 L+24.8wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+6.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Yes73c1,500$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40573649.9%367 W · 369 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No58c1,350$781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780.7325845%116 W · 142 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Yes63c1,332$843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.921,10941.8%464 W · 645 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed No39c1,240$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.481,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc44d…935cbacked Yes47c1,185$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.1517162.6%107 W · 64 L+10.1wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked No13c1,161$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.14894.5%4 W · 85 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb547…a237backed No15c949$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.352857.1%16 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+31.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked No25c845.43$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.9982440.4%333 W · 491 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x294d…b362backed No31c822$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.953951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32d0…6070backed Yes74c786.58$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.0512458.1%72 W · 52 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75d1…7a5fbacked No23c755.85$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.099746.4%45 W · 52 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd9b…b6aabacked No25c724.75$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.693148.4%15 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick42cpaid-13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e17…c6b5backed No17c720$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.42556%14 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Yes73c711.32$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.1522243.7%97 W · 125 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed No19c624.57$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.5238239.5%151 W · 231 L+35.9wins+0.09per pick30cpaid+15.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x793d…8720backed No60c600$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid+4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb73…b8b8backed Yes75c600$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1502142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb338…1ff0backed No15c547$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.053339.4%13 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b98…5cfabacked No12c537.34$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.964843.8%21 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83e8…7b89backed No56c529.58$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.083141.9%13 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7086…f376backed No18c521$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.781118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.19per pick37cpaid-62.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed No59c505.23$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30019047.4%90 W · 100 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Yes39c500$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3053751.4%19 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe627…e145backed No29c422.01$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.49250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+185.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x933c…a8c6backed No44c421.82$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.5418246.7%85 W · 97 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84f8…0ff2backed No31c420$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.69939.4%39 W · 60 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+12.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked No8c411.27$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.862848.7%306 W · 322 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x090a…cd55backed No16c408$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.282339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2889…fc69backed No57c404$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.286639.4%26 W · 40 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6149…8a58backed Yes80c400$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.54746.8%22 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed No28c399.99$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11295848.7%467 W · 491 L+24.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x69e7…d3b0backed No27c389.62$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.212245.1%55 W · 67 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1719…5ceabacked No27c379.99$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.2650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Yes66c371.5$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.0925944%114 W · 145 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15f6…64bcbacked Yes73c368$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.36333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-54.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes71c364.15$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.0635049.4%173 W · 177 L+17.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6012…685abacked No29c350$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.52634.6%9 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No24c347.94$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.081,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4745…5916backed No26c340$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.42733.3%9 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+37.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6acb…06bdbacked Yes70c337$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.391181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick62cpaid+40.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes77c333$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.867337%27 W · 46 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-22.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe243…79f7backed No28c327.31$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.39140%0 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4bcd…e98bbacked No15c316$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.42060%12 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96ab…4135backed Yes40c312$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.22100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+139.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No12c308$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.965913.6%8 W · 51 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-40.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6870…5826backed Yes42c306.97$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.0454853.8%295 W · 253 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf020…a576backed No35c300$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10515724.2%38 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+52.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5567…aeedbacked Yes72c300$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.41650%8 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2892…71ddbacked No35c298.83$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10425642.2%108 W · 148 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bef…1e38backed Yes68c295$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.42744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7feb…6bc2backed No18c289$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.022236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79c1…497dbacked No15c269$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.693935.9%14 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a8f…5259backed Yes75c250.51$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.3810943.1%47 W · 62 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd1b…b9c4backed No64c250$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1603735.1%13 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc66b…98a5backed No40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6ee…37a2backed No27c249$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.766451.6%33 W · 31 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd58c…8954backed Yes73c242$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.341118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-61.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2160…3fefbacked No25c241.9$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.03933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed Yes72c239$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.9223850.4%120 W · 118 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No26c233.83$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4610539%41 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No23c229.58$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.711,13217%192 W · 940 L+2.5wins0.00per pick17cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31ac…bd34backed No48c227$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Yes60c219$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.1935352.4%185 W · 168 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4c5…dcb1backed No17c214$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.381346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+51.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14ff…10c1backed No48c208$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a5a…8e1abacked No48c208$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65d3…18fbbacked No48c208$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x107d…08a7backed No48c208$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37bb…c04fbacked No48c208$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a26…be2fbacked No48c208$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f09…3e98backed No48c208$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe490…6fbbbacked No48c208$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ae…44adbacked No32c205$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.63033.3%10 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-36.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed No23c203.06$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0915010%15 W · 135 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-33.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f63…2bb3backed No28c200.04$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.73250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0c3…a7b6backed Yes80c200$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+36.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x517b…be02backed No25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503339.4%13 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick28cpaid+32.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x81e4…6f22backed Yes73c198.35$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.7917250%86 W · 86 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8db2…52d5backed Yes51c196$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc993…9746backed No49c196$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c5c…189ebacked No17c193.5$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5820%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf0…747abacked Yes52c192$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x366e…4ca0backed Yes52c192$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fc8…42adbacked Yes52c192$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f95…6281backed Yes52c192$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c7b…5dbabacked No48c192$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87ee…dc64backed Yes52c192$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c81…2ca3backed Yes52c192$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cf9…fa4ebacked Yes52c192$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d33…0aa7backed Yes52c192$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe743…abdfbacked Yes52c192$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7568…b3c7backed Yes52c192$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4559…f02bbacked No18c184$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.122733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Yes54c178.52$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.0226336.5%96 W · 167 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x28ca…5d19backed No39c177$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.96048.3%29 W · 31 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.