NBA · resolved market
Will the Orlando Magic make the NBA Playoffs?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12736f4ff41f549e8418b136bd40ea04ee5123cd41f8cc42ff3df6b2709e8042
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $96,971
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,165
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,971 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 222 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 21c | 12,360$2,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,584.3 | 394 | 35.3%139 W · 255 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked No | 28c | 3,590$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.19 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 76c | 2,902$2,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.26 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 78c | 1,867$1,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.03 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 73c | 1,694$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.43 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | +24.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Yes | 73c | 1,500$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 58c | 1,350$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.73 | 258 | 45%116 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 63c | 1,332$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.92 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed No | 39c | 1,240$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.48 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked Yes | 47c | 1,185$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.15 | 171 | 62.6%107 W · 64 L | +10.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked No | 13c | 1,161$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.14 | 89 | 4.5%4 W · 85 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb547…a237backed No | 15c | 949$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.35 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked No | 25c | 845.43$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.99 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x294d…b362backed No | 31c | 822$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.95 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32d0…6070backed Yes | 74c | 786.58$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.05 | 124 | 58.1%72 W · 52 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 23c | 755.85$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.09 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd9b…b6aabacked No | 25c | 724.75$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.69 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e17…c6b5backed No | 17c | 720$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.4 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 73c | 711.32$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.15 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed No | 19c | 624.57$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.52 | 382 | 39.5%151 W · 231 L | +35.9wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x793d…8720backed No | 60c | 600$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb73…b8b8backed Yes | 75c | 600$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb338…1ff0backed No | 15c | 547$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.05 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b98…5cfabacked No | 12c | 537.34$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.96 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…7b89backed No | 56c | 529.58$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.08 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7086…f376backed No | 18c | 521$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.78 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed No | 59c | 505.23$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 190 | 47.4%90 W · 100 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 39c | 500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe627…e145backed No | 29c | 422.01$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…a8c6backed No | 44c | 421.82$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.54 | 182 | 46.7%85 W · 97 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…0ff2backed No | 31c | 420$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.6 | 99 | 39.4%39 W · 60 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked No | 8c | 411.27$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 628 | 48.7%306 W · 322 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…cd55backed No | 16c | 408$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.28 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…fc69backed No | 57c | 404$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.28 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed Yes | 80c | 400$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.5 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed No | 28c | 399.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed No | 27c | 389.62$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.2 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…5ceabacked No | 27c | 379.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Yes | 66c | 371.5$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.09 | 259 | 44%114 W · 145 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15f6…64bcbacked Yes | 73c | 368$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 71c | 364.15$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.06 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6012…685abacked No | 29c | 350$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 24c | 347.94$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.08 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed No | 26c | 340$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.4 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6acb…06bdbacked Yes | 70c | 337$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.39 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 62cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 77c | 333$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.86 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe243…79f7backed No | 28c | 327.31$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.39 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcd…e98bbacked No | 15c | 316$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ab…4135backed Yes | 40c | 312$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +139.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 12c | 308$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 59 | 13.6%8 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6870…5826backed Yes | 42c | 306.97$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.04 | 548 | 53.8%295 W · 253 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf020…a576backed No | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 157 | 24.2%38 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked Yes | 72c | 300$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.4 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked No | 35c | 298.83$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 256 | 42.2%108 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…1e38backed Yes | 68c | 295$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.4 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7feb…6bc2backed No | 18c | 289$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.02 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 15c | 269$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.69 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed Yes | 75c | 250.51$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.38 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1b…b9c4backed No | 64c | 250$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc66b…98a5backed No | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 27c | 249$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.76 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd58c…8954backed Yes | 73c | 242$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.34 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…3fefbacked No | 25c | 241.9$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.03 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Yes | 72c | 239$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.92 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 26c | 233.83$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.46 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 23c | 229.58$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.71 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…bd34backed No | 48c | 227$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 60c | 219$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.19 | 353 | 52.4%185 W · 168 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c5…dcb1backed No | 17c | 214$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.38 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ff…10c1backed No | 48c | 208$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5a…8e1abacked No | 48c | 208$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65d3…18fbbacked No | 48c | 208$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x107d…08a7backed No | 48c | 208$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c04fbacked No | 48c | 208$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…be2fbacked No | 48c | 208$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f09…3e98backed No | 48c | 208$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe490…6fbbbacked No | 48c | 208$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ae…44adbacked No | 32c | 205$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.6 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 23c | 203.06$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.09 | 150 | 10%15 W · 135 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f63…2bb3backed No | 28c | 200.04$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c3…a7b6backed Yes | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x517b…be02backed No | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Yes | 73c | 198.35$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.79 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8db2…52d5backed Yes | 51c | 196$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc993…9746backed No | 49c | 196$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5c…189ebacked No | 17c | 193.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…747abacked Yes | 52c | 192$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x366e…4ca0backed Yes | 52c | 192$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc8…42adbacked Yes | 52c | 192$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f95…6281backed Yes | 52c | 192$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c7b…5dbabacked No | 48c | 192$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ee…dc64backed Yes | 52c | 192$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c81…2ca3backed Yes | 52c | 192$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf9…fa4ebacked Yes | 52c | 192$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d33…0aa7backed Yes | 52c | 192$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe743…abdfbacked Yes | 52c | 192$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7568…b3c7backed Yes | 52c | 192$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4559…f02bbacked No | 18c | 184$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 54c | 178.52$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.02 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 39c | 177$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.9 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Orlando Magic make the NBA Playoffs?this page
- Will the Atlanta Hawks make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Boston Celtics make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Brooklyn Nets make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Charlotte Hornets make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Chicago Bulls make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Cleveland Cavaliers make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Dallas Mavericks make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Denver Nuggets make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Detroit Pistons make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Golden State Warriors make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Houston Rockets make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Indiana Pacers make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Lakers make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Memphis Grizzlies make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Miami Heat make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Milwaukee Bucks make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Minnesota Timberwolves make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the New Orleans Pelicans make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the New York Knicks make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Philadelphia 76ers make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Sacramento Kings make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the San Antonio Spurs make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Toronto Raptors make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Utah Jazz make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Washington Wizards make the NBA Playoffs?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.