NBA · resolved market
Will the Los Angeles Lakers make the NBA Playoffs?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05dc77859c312946e0ffcab8f9750c5b784471a0354c7165a5e76c523657802d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,158
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,188
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,158 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 10c | 4,773$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.32 | 394 | 35.3%139 W · 255 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed No | 18c | 2,441$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.11 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed No | 6c | 1,892$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.11 | 382 | 39.5%151 W · 231 L | +35.9wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 78c | 1,126$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.77 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 12c | 1,100$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.42 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed No | 8c | 957.53$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.03 | 79 | 15.2%12 W · 67 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 8cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked No | 7c | 865.41$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.86 | 89 | 4.5%4 W · 85 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked No | 12c | 830.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.54 | 88 | 23.9%21 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8737…2bffbacked No | 13c | 823$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.99 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed No | 13c | 770.37$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.39 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 79c | 668.78$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.91 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5516…2263backed No | 13c | 649$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.37 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 20c | 512.5$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…c913backed No | 13c | 511$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.43 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +36%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…10b1backed No | 7c | 413.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Yes | 74c | 387.19$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.19 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 23c | 385.42$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.58 | 185 | 36.8%68 W · 117 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8674…0d1ebacked No | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0895…4ddebacked No | 13c | 290$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 8c | 252.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 150 | 10%15 W · 135 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…a8c6backed No | 12c | 226.17$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.34 | 182 | 46.7%85 W · 97 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 18c | 220$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc5…610ebacked No | 9c | 205.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -91.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f15…52f1backed No | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed No | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 641 | 39%250 W · 391 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb547…a237backed No | 13c | 187$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507a…be1fbacked No | 13c | 175.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 31cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 24c | 164.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.58 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ab…d0a0backed No | 13c | 145$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 10c | 138.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ca…74e2backed No | 10c | 120$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 14c | 117$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked No | 16c | 111$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75b0…f04abacked No | 12c | 105.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc37b…9b85backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked No | 11c | 99.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.28per pick | 36cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 14c | 78.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc1…f780backed Yes | 67c | 74.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 16c | 67.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bdd…4dbbbacked No | 19c | 52.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked No | 29c | 37.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 628 | 48.7%306 W · 322 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 71c | 19.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 76c | 16.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.81 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…5ba7backed Yes | 69c | 14.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Los Angeles Lakers make the NBA Playoffs?this page
- Will the Atlanta Hawks make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Boston Celtics make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Brooklyn Nets make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Charlotte Hornets make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Chicago Bulls make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Cleveland Cavaliers make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Dallas Mavericks make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Denver Nuggets make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Detroit Pistons make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Golden State Warriors make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Houston Rockets make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Indiana Pacers make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Memphis Grizzlies make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Miami Heat make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Milwaukee Bucks make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Minnesota Timberwolves make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the New Orleans Pelicans make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the New York Knicks make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Orlando Magic make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Philadelphia 76ers make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Sacramento Kings make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the San Antonio Spurs make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Toronto Raptors make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Utah Jazz make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Washington Wizards make the NBA Playoffs?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.