NBA · resolved market
Will the Memphis Grizzlies make the NBA Playoffs?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x258fa1af05ba52c5ccb1d588910391387de78fd51087e7d456bc35c3cff5cad4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $216,553
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $216,553 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 6c | 13,725$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.24 | 394 | 35.3%139 W · 255 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 0c | 3,302$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 76 | 22.4%17 W · 59 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +132.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Yes | 16c | 2,481$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.27 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe788…2c65backed Yes | 1c | 2,006$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 1c | 1,995$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 44 | 0%0 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x177a…aa8ebacked Yes | 23c | 1,860$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.92 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf7…43a2backed Yes | 1c | 1,811$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffb6…7be6backed Yes | 1c | 1,750$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11e9…8e90backed Yes | 25c | 1,263$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.3 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2b…ebedbacked No | 78c | 1,228$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.16 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd681…4c5abacked Yes | 1c | 1,105$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5374…952abacked Yes | 26c | 978$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.28 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5322…95e1backed No | 78c | 973$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.06 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a8…1f07backed Yes | 24c | 906$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.44 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6f…deaebacked No | 74c | 864$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.64 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14d4…cc6fbacked No | 76c | 849$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.76 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +27%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6787…8884backed Yes | 26c | 840$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c7…f199backed Yes | 26c | 839$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.14 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d17…0e2bbacked Yes | 26c | 833$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.58 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea6…32d9backed No | 75c | 805$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.91 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93fb…e392backed No | 78c | 789$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.58 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 54cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7eae…3562backed Yes | 26c | 761$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.86 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d6…bca9backed No | 71c | 743$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.47 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +72%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff2d…caf4backed Yes | 22c | 740$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.8 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb767…9b51backed No | 76c | 740$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.56 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1897…c285backed No | 74c | 738$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.88 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79a1…2d87backed Yes | 22c | 719$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.18 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb214…a6aabacked Yes | 26c | 700$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17be…7a33backed Yes | 29c | 700$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb29…19c8backed No | 78c | 660$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d17…1e5ebacked Yes | 26c | 640$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.4 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +60%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe6…d8e3backed No | 74c | 634$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.84 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b8…0ec1backed Yes | 22c | 625$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3acc…973dbacked No | 74c | 601$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.26 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +50%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9498…d950backed Yes | 22c | 598$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.56 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5f…d395backed No | 76c | 575$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8349…69e5backed No | 74c | 575$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.5 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +72%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaae6…3d05backed No | 74c | 528$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.28 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x367b…48dabacked No | 74c | 527$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.02 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46ce…c842backed Yes | 3c | 525.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 57 | 15.8%9 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 19c | 509.63$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.23 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc32a…7c05backed Yes | 26c | 470$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e1…d9c1backed Yes | 25c | 455$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.75 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…67fbbacked No | 74c | 454$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.04 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa355…a3a2backed No | 74c | 444$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.44 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +124.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2566…7d60backed No | 78c | 440$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.8 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +87.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6578…ba32backed Yes | 26c | 436$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.36 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…3734backed Yes | 26c | 431$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.06 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Yes | 26c | 426.63$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.55 | 88 | 23.9%21 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe47d…907bbacked Yes | 22c | 421$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.62 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1bf…a751backed Yes | 26c | 409$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.34 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41fb…f72ebacked No | 76c | 403$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63a2…3dfcbacked No | 74c | 393$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.18 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…54a7backed No | 74c | 392$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.92 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b9…5f57backed No | 72c | 388$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.64 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58e1…a5cdbacked Yes | 26c | 387$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.62 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a8…2a44backed No | 74c | 387$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.62 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02ee…5adebacked No | 74c | 387$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.62 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b45…836ebacked No | 74c | 379$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.54 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7166…f815backed No | 80c | 373$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed No | 80c | 368.12$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.78 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95cc…f215backed Yes | 26c | 358$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.08 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…76c1backed No | 74c | 345$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.7 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 5c | 343.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 150 | 10%15 W · 135 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x667f…8c3ebacked No | 79c | 340$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.05 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12e3…dbd4backed Yes | 26c | 320$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.2 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1832…af9ebacked No | 74c | 317$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.42 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e2…4c8bbacked No | 74c | 311$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.86 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde2b…73a0backed Yes | 20c | 282$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c2…fcbebacked No | 74c | 279$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f3…09e0backed Yes | 24c | 272$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.28 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 14c | 269.52$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.77 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…1598backed No | 74c | 264$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.64 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88fa…2cf4backed Yes | 28c | 255$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7534…d51bbacked No | 74c | 242$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed Yes | 14c | 239.73$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.56 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06cd…e124backed Yes | 28c | 233$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.24 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b98…5cfabacked No | 74c | 222$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.09 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2103…e296backed Yes | 26c | 213$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.38 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8507…7f61backed No | 74c | 212$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.12 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…9ae0backed Yes | 22c | 211$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.42 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 30cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2b…fd2cbacked No | 75c | 188$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf351…6284backed No | 74c | 187$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.62 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a7a9backed Yes | 19c | 182$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.58 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4faa…fecfbacked Yes | 25c | 173$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.25 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked Yes | 19c | 169.61$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.92 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 17c | 160$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09be…76d5backed Yes | 24c | 160$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24e4…09dcbacked Yes | 19c | 158$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 17c | 156$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.08 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 76c | 153.92$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.94 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6956…dd15backed Yes | 22c | 147$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea7…2550backed Yes | 26c | 131$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.06 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8132…a491backed No | 74c | 129$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.54 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaefa…f98ebacked No | 74c | 126$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a84…f8a5backed Yes | 24c | 124$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4516…ea0ebacked Yes | 24c | 119$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb6…6d5fbacked Yes | 22c | 118$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ff…b38fbacked Yes | 24c | 109$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…d215backed Yes | 24c | 106$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Memphis Grizzlies make the NBA Playoffs?this page
- Will the Atlanta Hawks make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Boston Celtics make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Brooklyn Nets make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Charlotte Hornets make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Chicago Bulls make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Cleveland Cavaliers make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Dallas Mavericks make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Denver Nuggets make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Detroit Pistons make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Golden State Warriors make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Houston Rockets make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Indiana Pacers make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Lakers make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Miami Heat make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Milwaukee Bucks make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Minnesota Timberwolves make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the New Orleans Pelicans make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the New York Knicks make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Orlando Magic make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Philadelphia 76ers make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Sacramento Kings make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the San Antonio Spurs make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Toronto Raptors make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Utah Jazz make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Washington Wizards make the NBA Playoffs?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.