TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will the Memphis Grizzlies make the NBA Playoffs?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$216,553

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $216,553 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x51fd…4272backed Yes6c13,725$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846.2439435.3%139 W · 255 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Yes0c3,302$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.457622.4%17 W · 59 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick14cpaid+132.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x224b…f6b8backed Yes16c2,481$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.2711753%62 W · 55 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe788…2c65backed Yes1c2,006$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.12100%0 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes1c1,995$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.76440%0 W · 44 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x177a…aa8ebacked Yes23c1,860$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.922030%6 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0bf7…43a2backed Yes1c1,811$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffb6…7be6backed Yes1c1,750$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11e9…8e90backed Yes25c1,263$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.31050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd2b…ebedbacked No78c1,228$958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.161464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+56.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd681…4c5abacked Yes1c1,105$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.81216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-58.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5374…952abacked Yes26c978$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.281154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5322…95e1backed No78c973$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.061136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31a8…1f07backed Yes24c906$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.443240.6%13 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a6f…deaebacked No74c864$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.641338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.17per pick56cpaid-34.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x14d4…cc6fbacked No76c849$645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.762564%16 W · 9 L+4.4wins+0.18per pick46cpaid+27%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6787…8884backed Yes26c840$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.4728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-45.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6c7…f199backed Yes26c839$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.142231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-47.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d17…0e2bbacked Yes26c833$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.581127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-32.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1ea6…32d9backed No75c805$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.912937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-37.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x93fb…e392backed No78c789$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.581127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.27per pick54cpaid-51.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7eae…3562backed Yes26c761$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.86944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-32.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84d6…bca9backed No71c743$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.472450%12 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+72%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff2d…caf4backed Yes22c740$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.81136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-48.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb767…9b51backed No76c740$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.561631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-39.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1897…c285backed No74c738$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.88955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-15.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x79a1…2d87backed Yes22c719$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.18850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb214…a6aabacked Yes26c700$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+22.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17be…7a33backed Yes29c700$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2032227.3%6 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-31.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfb29…19c8backed No78c660$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.6771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+24.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d17…1e5ebacked Yes26c640$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.42356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+60%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fe6…d8e3backed No74c634$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.841353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick39cpaid+55.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe0b8…0ec1backed Yes22c625$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.5933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3acc…973dbacked No74c601$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.261275%9 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+50%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9498…d950backed Yes22c598$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.56666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e5f…d395backed No76c575$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+81.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8349…69e5backed No74c575$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.51668.8%11 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+72%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaae6…3d05backed No74c528$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.281060%6 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x367b…48dabacked No74c527$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.022646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+21.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46ce…c842backed Yes3c525.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.465715.8%9 W · 48 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-36.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Yes19c509.63$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2322243.7%97 W · 125 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc32a…7c05backed Yes26c470$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.2850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1e1…d9c1backed Yes25c455$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.751637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-38.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x298c…67fbbacked No74c454$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.041070%7 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+54.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa355…a3a2backed No74c444$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.441747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+124.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2566…7d60backed No78c440$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.81060%6 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+87.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6578…ba32backed Yes26c436$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.362450%12 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9264…3734backed Yes26c431$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.062050%10 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+40.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8af…325ebacked Yes26c426.63$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.558823.9%21 W · 67 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe47d…907bbacked Yes22c421$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.621833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf1bf…a751backed Yes26c409$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.342157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41fb…f72ebacked No76c403$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.72425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick65cpaid-67.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x63a2…3dfcbacked No74c393$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.181258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…54a7backed No74c392$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.921250%6 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1b9…5f57backed No72c388$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.642050%10 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58e1…a5cdbacked Yes26c387$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.622142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-29.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2a8…2a44backed No74c387$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.621457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+24.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02ee…5adebacked No74c387$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.622050%10 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b45…836ebacked No74c379$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.541241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7166…f815backed No80c373$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.6757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6149…8a58backed No80c368.12$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.784746.8%22 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x95cc…f215backed Yes26c358$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.081030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x848d…76c1backed No74c345$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.73145.2%14 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes5c343.72$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0315010%15 W · 135 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-33.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x667f…8c3ebacked No79c340$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.05837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12e3…dbd4backed Yes26c320$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.21855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+32%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1832…af9ebacked No74c317$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.422254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4e2…4c8bbacked No74c311$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.861770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+45.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xde2b…73a0backed Yes20c282$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.41942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7c2…fcbebacked No74c279$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.54450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-25.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1f3…09e0backed Yes24c272$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.282944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes14c269.52$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.771,13217%192 W · 940 L+2.5wins0.00per pick17cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fbd…1598backed No74c264$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.641833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88fa…2cf4backed Yes28c255$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.42334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7534…d51bbacked No74c242$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.92650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4745…5916backed Yes14c239.73$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.562733.3%9 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+37.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x06cd…e124backed Yes28c233$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.241850%9 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b98…5cfabacked No74c222$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.094843.8%21 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2103…e296backed Yes26c213$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.38633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-43.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8507…7f61backed No74c212$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.121050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7635…9ae0backed Yes22c211$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.42119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick30cpaid-77.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d2b…fd2cbacked No75c188$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf351…6284backed No74c187$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.62837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid+28.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x502b…a7a9backed Yes19c182$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.582638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4faa…fecfbacked Yes25c173$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.252951.7%15 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+21.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x79c1…497dbacked Yes19c169.61$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.923935.9%14 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes17c160$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.41,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09be…76d5backed Yes24c160$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.42556%14 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x24e4…09dcbacked Yes19c158$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.022441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed Yes17c156$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.086934.8%24 W · 45 L-5.9wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-31.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed No76c153.92$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9422656.6%128 W · 98 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6956…dd15backed Yes22c147$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.34933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick38cpaid+29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ea7…2550backed Yes26c131$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.061540%6 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8132…a491backed No74c129$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.541163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.18per pick46cpaid+51.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaefa…f98ebacked No74c126$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.762152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a84…f8a5backed Yes24c124$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.76250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4516…ea0ebacked Yes24c119$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.562944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bb6…6d5fbacked Yes22c118$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.961747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+34.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2ff…b38fbacked Yes24c109$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.162445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x365f…d215backed Yes24c106$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.441650%8 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+21.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.