NBA · resolved market
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves make the NBA Playoffs?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7f55f5869f5ff61473eba9b1adf904db191f1ebb6446a0b579a019c22f27960
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,289
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,402
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,289 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked No | 7c | 1,830$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.4 | 89 | 4.5%4 W · 85 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 7c | 1,798$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.13 | 394 | 35.3%139 W · 255 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8624…b484backed No | 10c | 1,356$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.6 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +5.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…9ae0backed No | 10c | 1,190$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 30cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6f…3b1fbacked No | 9c | 1,156$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca3…9546backed No | 9c | 1,123$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.07 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b45…836ebacked No | 9c | 1,043$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.96 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79a1…2d87backed No | 9c | 908$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.84 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98cb…a127backed No | 10c | 877$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.7 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8151…3421backed No | 10c | 720$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.8 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ef…f5cebacked No | 10c | 715$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.07 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf738…56bdbacked No | 9c | 667$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.03 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…4ca3backed No | 9c | 642$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.78 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed No | 5c | 626.4$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 12c | 613.57$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.79 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x319c…4a94backed No | 10c | 611$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.1 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bb…4569backed No | 9c | 590$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b2…0eb2backed No | 9c | 580$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ec…46cebacked No | 9c | 574$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.66 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4faa…fecfbacked No | 10c | 567$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbf…7328backed No | 9c | 565$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.85 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +35%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x177a…aa8ebacked No | 10c | 551$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.1 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd41…3796backed No | 10c | 544$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.58 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x334a…832ebacked No | 10c | 534$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.4 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaef9…0acbbacked No | 9c | 525$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x539d…0213backed No | 10c | 507$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.09 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2721…325bbacked No | 6c | 499$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x546a…1abbbacked No | 9c | 450$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8153backed No | 10c | 439$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.9 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b1…0005backed No | 9c | 410$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…f7eabacked No | 10c | 405$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fd…f0b5backed No | 10c | 379$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.9 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfa…3888backed No | 9c | 361$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.14 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 3c | 357.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x465c…6e53backed No | 9c | 350$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48b2…ea4ebacked No | 9c | 345$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76fd…e8c4backed No | 10c | 344$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…8191backed No | 10c | 311$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.53 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd719…d8e5backed No | 10c | 299$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fa…f3f8backed No | 14c | 298$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.72 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1086…7b3cbacked No | 8c | 279.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac7…78c7backed No | 10c | 269$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b2…9ae2backed No | 9c | 265$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe6…d8e3backed No | 10c | 264$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 6c | 261.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 150 | 10%15 W · 135 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03b2…567cbacked No | 10c | 255$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c42…a64bbacked No | 10c | 241$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3de…5339backed No | 14c | 239$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.46 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90ec…62aabacked No | 10c | 237$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12c2…aa71backed No | 10c | 222$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5f…f3dcbacked No | 10c | 217$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb25c…6d89backed No | 10c | 210$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b47…9930backed No | 10c | 210$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x787a…a54dbacked No | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x293b…09a9backed No | 9c | 190$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7233…f0eabacked No | 13c | 160$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…d77dbacked No | 10c | 158$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae4…d837backed No | 10c | 155$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76f8…5145backed No | 9c | 149$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb767…9b51backed No | 9c | 138$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82dd…5514backed No | 10c | 125$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f91…d531backed No | 13c | 118$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24e4…09dcbacked No | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4e…6533backed No | 13c | 97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc336…9f48backed No | 14c | 88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked No | 18c | 84.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 628 | 48.7%306 W · 322 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed No | 22c | 54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Minnesota Timberwolves make the NBA Playoffs?this page
- Will the Atlanta Hawks make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Boston Celtics make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Brooklyn Nets make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Charlotte Hornets make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Chicago Bulls make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Cleveland Cavaliers make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Dallas Mavericks make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Denver Nuggets make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Detroit Pistons make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Golden State Warriors make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Houston Rockets make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Indiana Pacers make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Lakers make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Memphis Grizzlies make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Miami Heat make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Milwaukee Bucks make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the New Orleans Pelicans make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the New York Knicks make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Orlando Magic make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Philadelphia 76ers make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Sacramento Kings make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the San Antonio Spurs make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Toronto Raptors make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Utah Jazz make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Washington Wizards make the NBA Playoffs?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.