TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will the Philadelphia 76ers make the NBA Playoffs?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$88,822
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$87,350

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,822 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 308 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x51fd…4272backed No18c5,909$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,070.4239435.3%139 W · 255 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc44d…935cbacked Yes78c4,773$3,713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.2917162.6%107 W · 64 L+10.1wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed No24c1,724$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.3832540.3%131 W · 194 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x523d…cc1dbacked No32c1,495$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.41926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-55.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4559…f02bbacked No31c1,271$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.012733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked No29c1,228$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.1476054.6%415 W · 345 L+56.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+33.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5a0b…c5f8backed No22c1,147$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes79c1,143$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.181,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83e8…7b89backed No15c1,133$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.143141.9%13 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Yes65c1,078$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.7822041.4%91 W · 129 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95cc…f215backed Yes65c1,049$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.151030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x224b…f6b8backed No50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011753%62 W · 55 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x07d9…4c53backed Yes66c902$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.681457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6acb…06bdbacked Yes78c881.55$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.771181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick62cpaid+40.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa488…f562backed No35c870$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.51353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+68.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe36c…a6f0backed Yes63c849$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.922161.9%13 W · 8 L+3.4wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+33.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcf7f…f745backed No32c818$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.761450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+60.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ed…c077backed Yes74c768.44$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.1320356.7%115 W · 88 L-0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc771…e858backed Yes68c761$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.521250%6 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+42.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2bb…4569backed No34c759$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.061225%3 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-44.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2934…9a60backed Yes69c751$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.812441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid+18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1d7…8c45backed Yes48c750.95$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.11435.7%5 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e96…c895backed Yes65c734$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.91861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+37.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x44a0…c3b9backed Yes63c711.98$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.3127547.6%131 W · 144 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1ff…986cbacked Yes69c707$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.174100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+68.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x725b…8016backed No26c687.12$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.228143.2%35 W · 46 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+42.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0956…9aa4backed No35c681$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.351338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d24…a2e9backed Yes68c656$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.922250%11 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38d6…e50fbacked No35c643$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.051136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1e1…d9c1backed Yes68c621$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.721637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-38.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9a5a…779cbacked Yes68c621$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.723145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c0…c4c9backed Yes68c614$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.481947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7fb…e5fdbacked Yes69c603.44$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.983953.8%21 W · 18 L+6.5wins+0.17per pick37cpaid+82%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbb73…b8b8backed Yes73c600$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1622142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ceb…7fc8backed No32c585$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.21450%7 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61a8…f658backed No27c583$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.691637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-28.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc66b…98a5backed Yes68c570.74$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.14650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdb8…f285backed No32c556$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.922828.6%8 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-46.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f46…01b1backed No32c553$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.962846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39dd…1bb5backed No32c545$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.42020%4 W · 16 L-4.9wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-58.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1dd8…757abacked No32c528$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.961136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd719…d8e5backed No35c523$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.683243.8%14 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02a5…c0edbacked Yes75c513$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.353246.9%15 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe54d…fdecbacked Yes79c512.9$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.4818556.8%105 W · 80 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes69c508.56$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.4810542.9%45 W · 60 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6578…ba32backed Yes68c508$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.562450%12 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5214…95c9backed Yes68c496$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.722339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80af…0c19backed No13c491.48$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.471625%4 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-36.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6787…8884backed No35c484$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.4728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-45.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe0b8…0ec1backed Yes65c481$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.35933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b8c…26fdbacked Yes65c474$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.91330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9081…0b1ebacked Yes68c472$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.041752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+19%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f5c…91bfbacked No32c459$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.882157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+30.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc40a…1f50backed Yes68c448$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.361650%8 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb547…a237backed No32c440$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.82857.1%16 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+31.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x76f8…5145backed Yes68c435$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.22766.7%18 W · 9 L+5.4wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+39.4%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xec92…1214backed No64c412$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.193240.6%13 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe309…44c2backed Yes68c408$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.561752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda64…9bc5backed No32c396$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.721631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-33.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes56c393.9$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.922750.2%114 W · 113 L+24.8wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+6.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked No36c390$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.817337%27 W · 46 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-22.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x933c…a8c6backed No22c379.76$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.9718246.7%85 W · 97 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x696a…e23abacked No19c373.1$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.4917151.5%88 W · 83 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x90e2…7babbacked No32c370$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.41942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid+4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No27c364.45$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2225845%116 W · 142 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe17a…c6fbbacked Yes68c358$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.561838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x294d…b362backed No41c357.16$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.393951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4924…f404backed No65c356$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.41442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-39.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7176…6f9fbacked No32c354$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.282250%11 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6ce…3c8ebacked Yes68c354$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.28862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd40d…b2fabacked Yes52c342$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.743246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+52.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8bb…e885backed Yes68c341$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.122955.2%16 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+47.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0af…7ec6backed Yes65c340$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22e7…9bc7backed No35c335$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.251233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x466e…ed99backed Yes42c326.25$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.231926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.7wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-52.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8a16…0c03backed No48c323$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.041163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+49.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7dc4…a38dbacked No24c321.95$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.721942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf416…6ec9backed Yes44c320.98$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.925145.1%23 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa18…7693backed No32c318$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.762941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x742c…acc0backed Yes79c313.94$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.146841.2%28 W · 40 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-21.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f17…a918backed No35c309.37$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.2130%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc9a…cc24backed No63c296$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.481926.3%5 W · 14 L-4.7wins-0.25per pick51cpaid-61.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x584b…bdc9backed No34c294$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30b0…ff2cbacked No34c294$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f51…09adbacked Yes68c290$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.81747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f9…2573backed No48c276.85$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.17933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Yes66c274.13$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.7622243.7%97 W · 125 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked No30c269.52$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.688020%16 W · 64 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-32.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No19c268.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.851,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe43b…3497backed No58c264$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.952853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x71d2…e109backed Yes71c252$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.083435.3%12 W · 22 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-2.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x91be…2641backed No29c252$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.083036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed No31c249.37$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7838152.8%201 W · 180 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21d0…ce91backed No42c241.32$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.439516.8%16 W · 79 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-48.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2160…3fefbacked No26c240.3$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.7933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x502b…a1d5backed No26c240.14$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.7925039.6%99 W · 151 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7321…1812backed No60c240$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.272035%7 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9e5…d252backed Yes37c240$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.21656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+21.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Yes54c236.22$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.9835352.4%185 W · 168 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cff…3abdbacked Yes71c235.83$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.661361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.