TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$189,680
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$188,130

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $189,680 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 447 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfef5…19f9backed Yes21c12,350$2,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,593.510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc44d…935cbacked No45c10,387$4,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,718.8817162.6%107 W · 64 L+10.1wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Yes19c10,000$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,90048343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0534…b553backed No79c3,700$2,923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7772100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+94.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No51c3,357$1,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,643.5310542.9%45 W · 60 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Yes68c3,150$2,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,142.1776054.6%415 W · 345 L+56.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+33.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x08a0…b21ebacked No79c3,050$2,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5153…9bc8backed No79c2,800$2,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5882100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+130%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a94…6d7bbacked No79c2,800$2,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c94…f9f4backed Yes72c2,784$2,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0088043.8%35 W · 45 L-9.9wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-23%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf1a4…e9adbacked No73c2,606$1,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.654535.6%16 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21d0…ce91backed Yes59c2,105$1,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,241.429516.8%16 W · 79 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-48.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed No69c1,598$1,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.9719047.4%90 W · 100 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x90ae…44adbacked No68c1,426$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.093033.3%10 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-36.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbbda…6e2cbacked Yes33c1,423$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.8512855.5%71 W · 57 L+11.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+31.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc771…e858backed Yes34c1,386$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.971250%6 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+42.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa05d…3e96backed No65c1,281$831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.564235.7%15 W · 27 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-28.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1db2…ebc2backed Yes33c1,218$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.091145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+67.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Yes51c1,187$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60323251.7%120 W · 112 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa71…9767backed Yes33c1,159$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.161942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67f2…6a72backed Yes34c1,152$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.681241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46f5…b461backed No67c1,136$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.883135.5%11 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-33.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a0b…c5f8backed No69c1,071$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.951656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22ec…4477backed Yes34c1,046$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.642737%10 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x81ba…b311backed Yes34c994$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.962653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x38d6…e50fbacked Yes15c925$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.751136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed Yes59c923$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.42339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8151…3421backed No67c895$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.352548%12 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes45c857$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.027337%27 W · 46 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-22.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Yes44c851.98$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.5395848.7%467 W · 491 L+24.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Yes54c849.82$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.7743544.6%194 W · 241 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Yes51c843.32$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.5226336.5%96 W · 167 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fa5…2380backed No67c821$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.93850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+36.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1633…8bf6backed Yes36c798$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.281060%6 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+25.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaae6…3d05backed No66c792$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.281060%6 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+15%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x48f5…9dd3backed No67c772$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.761330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-46.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6558…e485backed No65c770$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.52751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8669…7111backed No66c765$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.1683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.36per pick47cpaid+121.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbd9b…b6aabacked No28c742.48$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.673148.4%15 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick42cpaid-13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ceb…7fc8backed Yes33c739$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.871450%7 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbcac…f545backed Yes34c715$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.1944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ed…c077backed No42c710.49$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.3820356.7%115 W · 88 L-0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f46…01b1backed No67c706$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.982846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02ee…5adebacked Yes34c688$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.922050%10 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No31c656.12$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.3239435.3%139 W · 255 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca67…2648backed No67c652$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.162161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes31c633.7$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.4525845%116 W · 142 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b92…f4c6backed No67c633$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.891844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f0d…1683backed No68c623$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.362245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6163…58ccbacked Yes35c619$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.871936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bcb…f59bbacked Yes32c613$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.162642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9081…0b1ebacked Yes33c599$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.671752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+19%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6b9…d0c7backed Yes33c599$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.673033.3%10 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-35.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0241…162abacked No65c598$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.31936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6951…cb02backed No66c585$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.92040%8 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ea7…2550backed Yes35c575$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.251540%6 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa75…b37fbacked No43c566.74$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.083342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Yes36c555.86$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20038152.8%201 W · 180 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2889…fc69backed No60c541.5$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.56639.4%26 W · 40 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Yes57c535$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.4139051.5%201 W · 189 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No66c523.72$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.0790863.9%580 W · 328 L+80.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+20.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes45c520.42$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.971,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b34…c545backed Yes31c516.47$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.3314437.5%54 W · 90 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed Yes52c516.15$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.276934.8%24 W · 45 L-5.9wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-31.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2bef…1e38backed Yes34c513$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.422744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28c8…a94dbacked Yes15c506$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.9911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.26per pick37cpaid-82.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcd1b…b9c4backed Yes58c500$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.443735.1%13 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x69e7…d3b0backed Yes53c500$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.612245.1%55 W · 67 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb73…b8b8backed Yes58c500$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2902142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6870…5826backed No46c494.11$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.0354853.8%295 W · 253 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab88…e0a4backed Yes33c486$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.382846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bcd…e98bbacked No66c481$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.542060%12 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2160…3fefbacked No38c475.93$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.41933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No52c471.67$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.2726048.1%125 W · 135 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88fa…2cf4backed Yes28c470$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.42334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a82…4a0ebacked No57c461.15$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.252934.5%10 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x941a…90c4backed Yes34c453$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.021618.8%3 W · 13 L-3.6wins-0.22per pick41cpaid-70.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7dc4…a38dbacked Yes62c450$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.481942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0956…9aa4backed Yes34c448$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.321338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17be…7a33backed No66c448$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.322227.3%6 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-31.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5a6e…88adbacked No67c441$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.531942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f0f…98e8backed Yes15c440$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe02b…e86dbacked No63c439$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.431233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8acf…2f7bbacked Yes37c439$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.431758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.15per pick44cpaid+32.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb767…9b51backed Yes34c438$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.921631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-39.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5518…1211backed Yes33c437$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.212347.8%11 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d86…d0a2backed Yes15c436$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.4650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+37.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd40d…b2fabacked No66c433$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.223246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+52.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6149…8a58backed No57c417.76$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.574746.8%22 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Yes52c410.23$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.3260351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d43…bec0backed No76c410$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.2862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d05…305bbacked No66c405$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.71861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick56cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5829…e46bbacked No67c401$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.331752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Yes34c400$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13684342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x72dd…8be4backed No66c396$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.642250%11 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x993c…eae0backed No68c395$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.42458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+23.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x421c…6fa3backed Yes33c389.67$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.08520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-49.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Yes28c388.67$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.4122041.4%91 W · 129 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x605c…83dcbacked No64c388$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.681844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf020…a576backed Yes47c381.44$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.4615724.2%38 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+52.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.