TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$265,904
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$264,173

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $265,904 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 485 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e7d…c0c1backed Yes30c42,600$12,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,8201100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b63…5c4abacked No70c22,400$15,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,68010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18e2…99d9backed No70c20,200$14,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,14010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc44d…935cbacked Yes47c7,396$3,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,940.2217162.6%107 W · 64 L+10.1wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes26c6,397$1,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,702.439435.3%139 W · 255 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ec3…db2abacked Yes30c2,105$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,474.52757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+32.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x933c…a8c6backed Yes30c1,933$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,359.7718246.7%85 W · 97 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed No51c1,820$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925.7995848.7%467 W · 491 L+24.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb547…a237backed Yes25c1,791$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,335.332857.1%16 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+31.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed No78c1,674$1,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30319047.4%90 W · 100 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Yes29c1,647$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,168.5495641.7%399 W · 557 L+1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Yes32c1,500$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02073649.9%367 W · 369 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed No70c1,487$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,036.631,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe36c…a6f0backed Yes25c1,477$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,103.762161.9%13 W · 8 L+3.4wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+33.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x06d8…4c30backed No72c1,474$1,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,068.181546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xadc9…5856backed Yes29c1,364$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$966.452552%13 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked No69c1,337$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926.4828554%154 W · 131 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb25c…6d89backed Yes27c1,295$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$948.093450%17 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b92…f4c6backed No72c1,270$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920.161844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21d0…ce91backed No73c1,243$905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905.319516.8%16 W · 79 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-48.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5214…95c9backed No73c1,180$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864.22339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6b9…d0c7backed Yes25c1,166$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874.53033.3%10 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-35.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee9e…efb7backed Yes25c1,150$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.742653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+55.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd19a…5b88backed Yes25c1,135$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.251758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+26.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xff36…e757backed No72c1,134$822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821.8411547%54 W · 61 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8507…7f61backed Yes33c1,070$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.91050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5383…88f0backed Yes26c1,033$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$767.371546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes27c1,023$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$747.791,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd622…defcbacked Yes28c998$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.563148.4%15 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc187…bdf1backed No71c997$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.871442.9%6 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2566…7d60backed Yes29c988$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.481060%6 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+87.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6034…b5fdbacked Yes28c952$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.441266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+133.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1063…1d3fbacked Yes25c920$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6902142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+17.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed No74c914.46$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.5522750.2%114 W · 113 L+24.8wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+6.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbb2e…7c01backed No75c906$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.251855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+50.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0caa…fb12backed No69c905$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.45714.3%1 W · 6 L-3.2wins-0.46per pick60cpaid-68.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8624…b484backed Yes28c901$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.143256.3%18 W · 14 L+5.5wins+0.17per pick39cpaid+68.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x91ba…c705backed No75c894$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.51957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeee4…9964backed No75c875$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.251650%8 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+20%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x725b…8016backed Yes68c871.66$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.958143.2%35 W · 46 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+42.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02ee…5adebacked No75c852$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6392050%10 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b69…6622backed No72c849$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.031181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.24per pick58cpaid+52%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x41fb…f72ebacked No71c849$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.79425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick65cpaid-67.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5bcb…f59bbacked No72c847$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.842642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa647…d77dbacked No75c842$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.744334.9%15 W · 28 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4b5f…1ae6backed Yes30c839.99$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.0619531.3%61 W · 134 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f3d…9ef2backed No71c826$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.461942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c2d…ddd6backed Yes28c816$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.521855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b4b…1fb3backed No72c811$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.92540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid+38.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf42b…7577backed Yes25c810$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.52147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff16…7511backed Yes29c800$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5693330.3%10 W · 23 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick21cpaid-12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x39dd…1bb5backed No70c796$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.22020%4 W · 16 L-4.9wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-58.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb6a4…aa57backed Yes26c783$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.141442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd98f…5afdbacked No74c775$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.281338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0956…9aa4backed Yes31c766$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.541338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x557a…9f70backed Yes31c757$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.87875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+30%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc45d…594fbacked Yes36c755.68$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.91250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+40.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfda4…1058backed No72c743$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.961050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+32.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31a8…1f07backed No72c738$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.363240.6%13 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76b5…4ca3backed No71c714$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.941861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.17per pick44cpaid+35.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a59…a320backed Yes28c710$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.2742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f33…81f6backed Yes28c706$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.32475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+98%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8132…a491backed Yes28c704$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.881163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.18per pick46cpaid+51.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f52…a35abacked Yes28c698$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.562548%12 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+30.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58fe…a8c5backed Yes29c692$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.32825%2 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x93fb…e392backed No68c691$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.881127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.27per pick54cpaid-51.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe433…1700backed Yes26c687$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.382642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d93…7f30backed Yes28c680$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.611540%6 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71f6…ea40backed Yes27c679$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.432445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5884…3191backed Yes27c675$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.482744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcabd…3764backed Yes31c662$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.78742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d86…d0a2backed Yes31c657$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.33650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+37.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6951…cb02backed No75c646$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.52040%8 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4559…f02bbacked No72c645$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.42733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa18…7693backed No75c633$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.752941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6578…ba32backed No71c620$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.652450%12 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab88…e0a4backed Yes28c606$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.322846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x128e…001dbacked No69c605$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.451353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8737…2bffbacked No74c601$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.052955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+23.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed Yes64c598$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.442339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7e4…b332backed Yes30c596$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.22152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a5a…779cbacked No73c596$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.083145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4f3…be1dbacked No74c590$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.62450%12 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd8f…4dc1backed No74c589$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.011560%9 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4582…7699backed No75c588$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4411233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-47.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3df6…0f0fbacked No69c584$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.96742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e96…c895backed No67c579$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.931861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+37.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x524c…ab94backed Yes25c571$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.25650%3 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+70.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7238…e52dbacked Yes25c571$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.25742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03b2…567cbacked No72c569$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.542245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+74.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x252c…391abacked Yes26c567$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.581040%4 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f66…ad61backed No74c562$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.881127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa355…a3a2backed Yes26c560$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.41747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+124.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f68…21ecbacked No72c560$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.741656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x73df…ba67backed No75c556$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4171540%6 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf49…6cfebacked Yes25c549$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.752544%11 W · 14 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea25…d3aabacked Yes25c547$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.252951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2111…667fbacked No75c544$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4081070%7 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+46.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7d4…5735backed Yes28c543$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.953357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7fae…6853backed No75c540$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4052948.3%14 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+28.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.