NBA · resolved market
Will the Toronto Raptors make the NBA Playoffs?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0276ad0b6c22cd9e06fc392bee04a10795e11a0a1097d15c31696c2f494550f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,789
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,984
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,789 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 9c | 6,580$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.57 | 394 | 35.3%139 W · 255 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked No | 14c | 4,910$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.2 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x413a…0008backed No | 15c | 2,424$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.69 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 23cpaid | +195.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a4…e9adbacked Yes | 76c | 2,155$1,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.5 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed No | 31c | 1,178$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.4 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | +24.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 10c | 1,015$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.29 | 263 | 36.5%96 W · 167 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e96…c895backed Yes | 75c | 969$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.25 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18fa…3730backed Yes | 74c | 965$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…55d9backed No | 26c | 951$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.26 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…a8c6backed No | 17c | 866.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.08 | 182 | 46.7%85 W · 97 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked No | 6c | 849.15$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.01 | 89 | 4.5%4 W · 85 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ef…f5cebacked Yes | 73c | 849$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.5 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3e…0959backed No | 24c | 823$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.22 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c09…28d0backed Yes | 74c | 728$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.28 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64c9…6bdebacked No | 26c | 714$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.64 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x506a…1b43backed No | 27c | 700$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d0…ce91backed Yes | 76c | 675.73$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.23 | 95 | 16.8%16 W · 79 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5395…9d41backed No | 27c | 651$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.77 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22e7…9bc7backed No | 26c | 643$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.18 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed No | 45c | 632.83$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.43 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x987e…990dbacked Yes | 72c | 623$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.44 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ec…46cebacked Yes | 76c | 617$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.08 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbf…7328backed Yes | 73c | 610$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.7 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +35%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d43…bec0backed Yes | 80c | 600$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x177a…aa8ebacked No | 25c | 578$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.5 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1832…af9ebacked No | 25c | 576$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6499…05d2backed Yes | 77c | 572$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.56 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbd…17c9backed Yes | 75c | 540$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb28…74f4backed No | 27c | 527$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.29 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +51%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5322…95e1backed Yes | 73c | 527$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.29 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc7…8211backed Yes | 74c | 513$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.38 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff5d…4e58backed No | 28c | 498$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.44 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca3…9546backed No | 26c | 482$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.32 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…fc69backed No | 26c | 479$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.54 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5358…5243backed Yes | 56c | 446.74$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.44 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5a…779cbacked Yes | 75c | 419$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.75 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5c…189ebacked No | 21c | 376.15$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f8…5145backed No | 26c | 371$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.46 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +5.4wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…d20ebacked No | 25c | 370$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8737…2bffbacked Yes | 75c | 369$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.25 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe243…79f7backed No | 5c | 352.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 10c | 346$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea1…6487backed Yes | 74c | 342$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.92 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed No | 27c | 330$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.7 | 641 | 39%250 W · 391 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 28c | 296.25$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.61 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f52…a35abacked No | 34c | 295$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.3 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d6d…c063backed Yes | 50c | 290.83$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.67 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 8c | 290$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…b461backed No | 23c | 279$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.17 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed Yes | 80c | 273.01$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.97 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…f04ebacked No | 6c | 272.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed No | 30c | 265.71$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.91 | 201 | 54.2%109 W · 92 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9498…d950backed Yes | 73c | 265$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.55 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 28c | 264.07$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.93 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 14c | 261.45$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 150 | 10%15 W · 135 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54af…415ebacked Yes | 71c | 260$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.4 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca87…3701backed No | 25c | 257$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked No | 12c | 254.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 256 | 42.2%108 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc886…696fbacked No | 23c | 254$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.42 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69e5…4dc4backed No | 13c | 243.05$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -18%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 7c | 242$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 59 | 13.6%8 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb338…1ff0backed No | 25c | 240$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.17 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b1…0005backed Yes | 74c | 223$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.98 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ec…62aabacked No | 25c | 221$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.25 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9464…b4cbbacked No | 27c | 218$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.72 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde2b…73a0backed No | 23c | 211$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf25d…8b1ebacked Yes | 66c | 210$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc5…610ebacked No | 13c | 201.23$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.63 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -91.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04da…dc10backed Yes | 74c | 201$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.26 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfda9…0aa8backed No | 24c | 200$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.22 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f0…835cbacked Yes | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.3 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb1…c4e8backed Yes | 77c | 196$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.08 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x569e…fdabbacked No | 7c | 189.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa05d…3e96backed Yes | 67c | 187$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.47 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f85…e5a3backed No | 23c | 183$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.09 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.21per pick | 32cpaid | +209.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29a9…d4f7backed No | 20c | 166$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed No | 35c | 162$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.14 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80af…0c19backed No | 24c | 161$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.64 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6e…99eabacked No | 13c | 161$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf666…8842backed Yes | 80c | 160$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked No | 12c | 150.84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce6…16a3backed No | 12c | 148.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd97d…4d06backed No | 14c | 148$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5f…d395backed Yes | 74c | 145$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x708a…68b9backed Yes | 72c | 142$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.76 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +95.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 28c | 141.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.24 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb8…ec8dbacked Yes | 77c | 138$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.74 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 73c | 137.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.74 | 186 | 61.8%115 W · 71 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e54…c8ccbacked Yes | 60c | 137$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.17 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +40%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc79f…e3febacked No | 13c | 136.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffff…35bebacked No | 25c | 134$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Yes | 75c | 133.23$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 185 | 56.8%105 W · 80 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6578…ba32backed Yes | 77c | 129$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.67 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 21c | 126.1$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x563a…f578backed No | 12c | 123.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d9…2a4ebacked No | 23c | 121$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.83 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe918…d166backed Yes | 71c | 115$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.88 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -5.1wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8624…b484backed No | 22c | 113$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +5.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x290d…9e42backed No | 33c | 113$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.29 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 14c | 112.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Toronto Raptors make the NBA Playoffs?this page
- Will the Atlanta Hawks make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Boston Celtics make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Brooklyn Nets make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Charlotte Hornets make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Chicago Bulls make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Cleveland Cavaliers make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Dallas Mavericks make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Denver Nuggets make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Detroit Pistons make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Golden State Warriors make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Houston Rockets make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Indiana Pacers make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Lakers make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Memphis Grizzlies make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Miami Heat make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Milwaukee Bucks make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Minnesota Timberwolves make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the New Orleans Pelicans make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the New York Knicks make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Orlando Magic make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Philadelphia 76ers make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Sacramento Kings make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the San Antonio Spurs make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Utah Jazz make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Washington Wizards make the NBA Playoffs?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.