Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 50% and 60% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4cc430e4b4508b8a8843475aec88a74067d8c490b99a9b23348a106eaf51c283
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $377,766
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $419,879
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $377,766 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 216 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb704…dc1ebacked No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce66…cc64backed Yes | 59c | 15,572$9,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,427.74 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x036e…9276backed Yes | 47c | 11,111$5,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,872.01 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ced…12b2backed Yes | 52c | 10,055$5,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,826.56 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6d…9c5cbacked No | 1c | 9,494$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.4 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d1…8ce8backed No | 3c | 9,311$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6441…139ebacked No | 54c | 8,180$4,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,390.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x034f…f8b4backed Yes | 54c | 8,174$4,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,763.87 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 64c | 7,023$4,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,536.33 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c14…0869backed Yes | 50c | 6,189$3,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,075.2 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…b63dbacked Yes | 71c | 6,068$4,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.62 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa665…b742backed No | 1c | 6,020$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cf…9fc6backed No | 47c | 4,393$2,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050.85 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -52%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0b…fa42backed No | 51c | 4,108$2,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,094.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed Yes | 48c | 4,003$1,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,094.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfe…0845backed Yes | 53c | 3,780$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,779.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 41c | 3,542$1,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,441.91 | 154 | 45.5%70 W · 84 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed No | 3c | 3,032$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.18 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7d…6cc4backed Yes | 61c | 2,564$1,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.97 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db7…7e1fbacked No | 4c | 2,239$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.58 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked Yes | 79c | 2,218$1,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.06 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…0800backed Yes | 42c | 2,094$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.73 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed Yes | 52c | 1,881$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.7 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 53c | 1,874$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.27 | 332 | 38.6%128 W · 204 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 37c | 1,738$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.61 | 124 | 40.3%50 W · 74 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5117…49b3backed Yes | 48c | 1,710$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.18 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -86.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9833…0b32backed No | 13c | 1,595$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed Yes | 56c | 1,561$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.59 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +76%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe51…c0d3backed Yes | 63c | 1,556$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb36c…8715backed No | 1c | 1,505$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4333…1f57backed No | 22c | 1,477$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.55 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 12c | 1,423$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.16 | 81 | 14.8%12 W · 69 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…422abacked No | 47c | 1,412$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.95 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7c…ef52backed No | 45c | 1,400$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700c…9368backed Yes | 70c | 1,257$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.58 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff77…4b76backed No | 1c | 1,206$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f69…49ddbacked Yes | 40c | 1,200$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 1c | 1,174$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 61 | 1.6%1 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -71%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2021…a8d5backed Yes | 40c | 1,120$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed Yes | 52c | 1,106$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.7 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xae1d…45ccbacked No | 53c | 1,094$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a9…8266backed No | 47c | 1,075$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.47 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Yes | 49c | 1,050$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.99 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee8f…947cbacked No | 2c | 1,044$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…aa40backed Yes | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed No | 56c | 1,000$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 24c | 940.83$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.13 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03d1…aa6abacked Yes | 59c | 931.95$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Yes | 62c | 914.4$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.43 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 53c | 903.34$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.46 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf503…39e2backed No | 46c | 901.29$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.15 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +214.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd95a…8aadbacked Yes | 40c | 900$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +151.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed No | 48c | 880$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.4 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2662…a27ebacked Yes | 59c | 844.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3432…501ebacked Yes | 59c | 827$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.05 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 36c | 779.63$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.84 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed Yes | 53c | 735$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.45 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…8c94backed Yes | 44c | 700$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +5.9wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 49c | 649.71$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.35 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 43c | 648$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.36 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8f…97bcbacked Yes | 30c | 605.71$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.45 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked No | 66c | 604.99$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.4 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc0…d42fbacked Yes | 77c | 586.53$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.33 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 56cpaid | +35%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 27c | 582.46$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.49 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…e291backed No | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Yes | 52c | 499.99$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -50%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5769…14bcbacked Yes | 52c | 471.15$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x935d…08ffbacked Yes | 41c | 463.78$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.69 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 49c | 417$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.84 | 211 | 55.9%118 W · 93 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x314a…2fbdbacked Yes | 40c | 412.96$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 38c | 409.98$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.27 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 10c | 409.74$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.77 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +7.5wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc7…302dbacked No | 10c | 404.03$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.06 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Yes | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe27…52b7backed Yes | 52c | 399.98$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.99 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb99b…d292backed Yes | 47c | 373.2$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed No | 48c | 366$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.56 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab7b…f350backed Yes | 52c | 350$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe709…9d39backed Yes | 31c | 345$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.35 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc77…c035backed No | 45c | 339.65$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.42 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed No | 58c | 338.28$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.8 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a20…f6a8backed Yes | 53c | 330.34$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed No | 62c | 320$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x369f…2422backed Yes | 48c | 303.27$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.33 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc975…2c68backed Yes | 63c | 300.01$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.4 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +7.2wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb8…9231backed No | 55c | 300$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.83 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4428…aa82backed Yes | 57c | 284.19$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x892b…c7a7backed Yes | 51c | 281$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -51%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e3…cda8backed No | 24c | 271.3$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.76 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f9…7d23backed No | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b08…3475backed No | 60c | 270$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked No | 49c | 260.29$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.13 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39df…644bbacked Yes | 51c | 250$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31bd…1681backed Yes | 39c | 250$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7177…ddefbacked Yes | 30c | 250$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…9550backed No | 62c | 250$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96e2…54b2backed Yes | 62c | 246.54$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Zohran Mamdani get between 50% and 60% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?this page
- Will Zohran Mamdani get between 30% and 40% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
- Will Zohran Mamdani get between 40% and 50% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
- Will Zohran Mamdani get between 60% and 70% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
- Will Zohran Mamdani get less than 30% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
- Will Zohran Mamdani get more than 70% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.