UFC · resolved market
UFC 328: Djorden Santos vs. Baisangur Susurkaev (Middleweight, Early Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8dcd272aa9e2423dec9ba3da12a4fb4cbb279a8f7791db2d82b02c4cfd7ac241
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Baisangur Susurkaevof Djorden Santos, Baisangur Susurkaev
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $530,139
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $464,764
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $530,139 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 199 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Djorden Santos | 12c | 82,880$10,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,275.03 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Djorden Santos | 13c | 40,000$5,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,043.36 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Djorden Santos | 16c | 20,287$3,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,154.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa345…f54dbacked Djorden Santos | 15c | 14,644$2,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,196.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed Djorden Santos | 11c | 11,807$1,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330.59 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2adb…3088backed Djorden Santos | 15c | 10,959$1,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,643.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e55…01bbbacked Djorden Santos | 15c | 9,883$1,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c90…1b59backed Djorden Santos | 15c | 9,852$1,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,477.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…7839backed Djorden Santos | 15c | 9,364$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked Djorden Santos | 13c | 9,300$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.24 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…01a8backed Djorden Santos | 14c | 8,830$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.89 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe512…a0d3backed Djorden Santos | 15c | 8,814$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d7…87c5backed Djorden Santos | 15c | 8,803$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb30…51e2backed Djorden Santos | 15c | 8,671$1,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb2…e495backed Djorden Santos | 15c | 8,151$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d3…0560backed Djorden Santos | 15c | 8,151$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed Djorden Santos | 13c | 8,000$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.98 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38ae…aa9bbacked Djorden Santos | 15c | 7,547$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef50…e3bdbacked Djorden Santos | 13c | 7,473$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.52 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Djorden Santos | 13c | 6,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Djorden Santos | 17c | 5,771$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Djorden Santos | 13c | 5,552$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.41 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc6…9889backed Djorden Santos | 13c | 5,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…f7adbacked Djorden Santos | 12c | 5,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Djorden Santos | 11c | 4,887$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.43 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed Djorden Santos | 12c | 4,377$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Djorden Santos | 13c | 4,235$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.59 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Djorden Santos | 14c | 4,200$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed Djorden Santos | 12c | 4,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…0009backed Djorden Santos | 12c | 4,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Djorden Santos | 12c | 3,939$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.54 | 201 | 39.8%80 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf38d…eb9abacked Djorden Santos | 21c | 3,835$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x63f2…5bf6backed Djorden Santos | 15c | 3,561$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed7a…3119backed Djorden Santos | 15c | 3,514$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…40bfbacked Djorden Santos | 15c | 3,477$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Djorden Santos | 12c | 3,457$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.37 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9f…30b1backed Djorden Santos | 15c | 3,384$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Djorden Santos | 12c | 3,313$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.57 | 106 | 64.2%68 W · 38 L | +13.7wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8f96…1e41backed Djorden Santos | 15c | 2,974$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Djorden Santos | 8c | 2,588$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.88 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f4…2b15backed Djorden Santos | 10c | 2,540$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 161 | 56.5%91 W · 70 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Djorden Santos | 18c | 2,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.99 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c9…396dbacked Baisangur Susurkaev | 78c | 2,470$1,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.46 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d9…5896backed Djorden Santos | 13c | 2,372$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 142 | 37.3%53 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3197…8cf8backed Djorden Santos | 11c | 2,073$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Djorden Santos | 12c | 2,052$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.94 | 420 | 54%227 W · 193 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Djorden Santos | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x129f…7b9ebacked Djorden Santos | 15c | 1,883$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Djorden Santos | 17c | 1,874$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.58 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Djorden Santos | 15c | 1,764$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x723c…01ebbacked Djorden Santos | 12c | 1,703$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71b4…f97ebacked Djorden Santos | 12c | 1,668$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +192.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Djorden Santos | 14c | 1,472$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.92 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…8e5abacked Djorden Santos | 13c | 1,400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.13 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e62…f6ffbacked Djorden Santos | 25c | 1,400$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Djorden Santos | 1c | 1,377$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ad…1b86backed Djorden Santos | 12c | 1,136$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.36 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb782…70c0backed Djorden Santos | 13c | 1,100$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x230a…9857backed Djorden Santos | 15c | 1,100$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba6…ae0cbacked Djorden Santos | 14c | 1,029$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f01…0d90backed Djorden Santos | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 54cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23e3…23c6backed Djorden Santos | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Baisangur Susurkaev | 70c | 994.34$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.25 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Djorden Santos | 12c | 940.02$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.8 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Djorden Santos | 31c | 934.66$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.2 | 267 | 36%96 W · 171 L | -16.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x450e…4fddbacked Djorden Santos | 13c | 825$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0437…30f4backed Djorden Santos | 13c | 825$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75be…f4a7backed Djorden Santos | 13c | 800$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3333…3c23backed Djorden Santos | 13c | 797.25$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Djorden Santos | 13c | 785$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.73 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1de6…0b70backed Djorden Santos | 18c | 782.95$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.93 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -6.4wins | -0.25per pick | 32cpaid | -84.9%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5b…d4ecbacked Djorden Santos | 13c | 736.94$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.8 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Djorden Santos | 12c | 705.35$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.7 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…b1aabacked Djorden Santos | 13c | 700$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Djorden Santos | 13c | 677$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.01 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Djorden Santos | 10c | 668.44$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.35 | 155 | 37.4%58 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Djorden Santos | 15c | 640$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…e722backed Djorden Santos | 13c | 609.91$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff9d…af7cbacked Djorden Santos | 15c | 600$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf974…a1e0backed Djorden Santos | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…2485backed Djorden Santos | 15c | 575$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.25 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Djorden Santos | 12c | 554.97$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2976…d54abacked Djorden Santos | 15c | 550$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Djorden Santos | 14c | 532.36$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.53 | 153 | 48.4%74 W · 79 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Djorden Santos | 11c | 531.35$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.73 | 159 | 33.3%53 W · 106 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Djorden Santos | 23c | 504.98$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.95 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Djorden Santos | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c66…c204backed Djorden Santos | 17c | 499.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Djorden Santos | 12c | 491.25$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.19 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Djorden Santos | 9c | 462.86$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.66 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8c…1a79backed Djorden Santos | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…61e5backed Djorden Santos | 14c | 414.29$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Djorden Santos | 12c | 410.79$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.29 | 291 | 33.7%98 W · 193 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Djorden Santos | 13c | 400$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38d0…5ea8backed Djorden Santos | 18c | 400$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.83 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa1…66a7backed Djorden Santos | 25c | 392.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +47%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Djorden Santos | 18c | 386.98$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.14 | 383 | 53.3%204 W · 179 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Djorden Santos | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1980…3c8dbacked Djorden Santos | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Djorden Santos | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC 328: Djorden Santos vs. Baisangur Susurkaev (Middleweight, Early Prelims)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsOver won
- Will Baisangur Susurkaev win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will Djorden Santos win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by submission?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.