Will the announcers say "Shot" 10+ times during the USA vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a2d9c2b7bc8f303b13c7249e3e242baf11e6a8f6339b780aa7227f9f4c34adf

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 8, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $16,586
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $14,014

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,586 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes	0c	4,200$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.9	170	5.9%10 W · 160 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x219d…5812backed No	29c	2,029$582 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,446.9	37	35.1%13 W · 24 L	-3.5wins	-0.10per pick	45cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes	14c	1,010$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.28	249	54.2%135 W · 114 L	+40.3wins	+0.16per pick	38cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	66+0.15 edge/pick
0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No	38c	946.18$360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$586.63	57	33.3%19 W · 38 L	-2.8wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes	72c	900$644 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$644	162	25.3%41 W · 121 L	-10.8wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-41.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c39…56dcbacked Yes	62c	878.1$544 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$544.42	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4af…c998backed Yes	65c	832.21$539 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$539.08	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.9wins	-0.32per pick	48cpaid	-67%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8f9b…496cbacked Yes	71c	540$382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$381.6	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+231.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xdfb8…a530backed No	39c	516.55$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$316.55	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc975…2c68backed Yes	9c	468.04$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.39	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+1.2wins	+0.40per pick	27cpaid	+89.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd555…e28abacked Yes	65c	329.7$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215.46	359	58.5%210 W · 149 L	+13.1wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e8e…8db8backed Yes	61c	300$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183	489	61.3%300 W · 189 L	+71.0wins	+0.15per pick	47cpaid	+35.9%equal weight	65+0.14 edge/pick
0xe0a2…a349backed Yes	61c	292.74$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.26	78	56.4%44 W · 34 L	+6.7wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Yes	6c	284.43$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.61	802	25.7%206 W · 596 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf333…ba41backed Yes	71c	185$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.35	110	38.2%42 W · 68 L	-11.1wins	-0.10per pick	48cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes	68c	184.29$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126	1,702	36.7%625 W · 1,077 L	-31.2wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e31…454dbacked Yes	60c	177.73$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.46	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	-6.3wins	-0.27per pick	58cpaid	-47.4%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes	60c	100$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.33	764	45.9%351 W · 413 L	-10.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x355e…a038backed No	36c	99.98$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.99	240	37.1%89 W · 151 L	-17.0wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Yes	67c	81.78$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.91	2,796	56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L	-9.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb81f…394dbacked Yes	63c	79.37$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf33e…0ab8backed Yes	71c	75$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.25	159	42.1%67 W · 92 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Yes	25c	60$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.8	117	48.7%57 W · 60 L	-15.0wins	-0.13per pick	62cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x34af…bd55backed Yes	61c	60$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.6	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	56cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5123…2f31backed Yes	28c	50$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.18	174	14.4%25 W · 149 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	11cpaid	+58.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8a2…c9b6backed Yes	71c	50$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.5	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-2.4wins	-0.24per pick	44cpaid	-66.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdf0e…c02bbacked Yes	71c	45$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.95	163	33.7%55 W · 108 L	-8.7wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0739…aba8backed No	38c	42.26$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.2	197	42.6%84 W · 113 L	-7.2wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a8e…05a4backed No	38c	37.59$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.31	42	54.8%23 W · 19 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa76b…8a50backed Yes	62c	35.24$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.85	112	56.3%63 W · 49 L	+7.5wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4db5…ca02backed Yes	62c	32.24$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.99	20	55%11 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a20…89d2backed Yes	71c	30$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.3	30	40%12 W · 18 L	-3.9wins	-0.13per pick	53cpaid	-27%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked No	67c	30$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.96	427	37.2%159 W · 268 L	-15.2wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c4f…e321backed Yes	70c	21.9$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.33	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	-2.6wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x721a…9295backed Yes	61c	21$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.81	162	46.9%76 W · 86 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed11…10bebacked Yes	61c	20.01$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.21	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+18.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0c6…d465backed Yes	71c	20$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.2	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.12per pick	67cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56c4…580cbacked Yes	72c	16.22$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.68	49	51%25 W · 24 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+14%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will the announcers say "Shot" 10+ times during the USA vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event