TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "Messi" during the USA vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,930
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,530

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,930 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc33d…0d40backed Yes72c717.52$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.4520250%101 W · 101 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-6.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No22c558.6$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.7834151%174 W · 167 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes76c399.99$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9616225.3%41 W · 121 L-10.8wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-41.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed No6c234.23$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5980225.7%206 W · 596 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd850…e26cbacked No23c213.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9821944.3%97 W · 122 L-16.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked No29c175.03$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2335954%194 W · 165 L+20.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe74…a70ebacked Yes75c97$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4723357.9%135 W · 98 L+19.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+22.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3fbf…fbcebacked Yes56c60.88$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.793090%27 W · 3 L+8.9wins+0.30per pick60cpaid+67.1%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x0ded…9025backed Yes76c60$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.421063.3%133 W · 77 L+27.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+35.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes75c49.52$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5176445.9%351 W · 413 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56c4…580cbacked No24c48.33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.64951%25 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Yes79c48.18$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.252,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1811…913bbacked No25c47$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.895658.9%33 W · 23 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2258…1451backed Yes72c21.97$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.08366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3373…3716backed Yes78c19.07$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.21838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-35.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf571…d2dcbacked Yes77c15.8$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.636358.7%37 W · 26 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5123…2f31backed Yes75c13.9$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.4717414.4%25 W · 149 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick11cpaid+58.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.