TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "Goal" 60+ times during the USA vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$10,788
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,552

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,788 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdfb8…a530backed No24c1,622$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.523441.2%14 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc8c…273fbacked No2c1,066$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203010%3 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick9cpaid-77.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7e31…454dbacked Yes76c888.28$671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.622330.4%7 W · 16 L-6.3wins-0.27per pick58cpaid-47.4%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x219d…5812backed Yes71c864.11$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.173735.1%13 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2946…8eb4backed No7c332.34$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.99238.7%2 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick13cpaid-49.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked No30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9016225.3%41 W · 121 L-10.8wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-41.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe0a2…a349backed Yes79c253.24$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.067856.4%44 W · 34 L+6.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x99a4…d68bbacked No21c199.18$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01f…74abbacked No28c123.28$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick31cpaid-56.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd555…e28abacked Yes75c119.99$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.635958.5%210 W · 149 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd83c…34f6backed No24c119.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaa9…1737backed Yes77c108$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.8413148.9%64 W · 67 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed No29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2976445.9%351 W · 413 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8db…7c68backed No28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286535.4%23 W · 42 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8de9…6018backed No14c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.51136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes66c91.19$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3116741.9%70 W · 97 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6260…bd7cbacked No25c80.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205143.1%22 W · 29 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+5.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x355e…a038backed Yes70c80.28$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0824037.1%89 W · 151 L-17.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x721a…9295backed Yes77c52.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.0816246.9%76 W · 86 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56c4…580cbacked No22c52.18$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.484951%25 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Yes77c41.99$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4561752%321 W · 296 L-13.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x084a…2a51backed No28c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.43158.1%18 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf333…ba41backed Yes79c23$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.8311038.2%42 W · 68 L-11.1wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-22.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xffb1…f54ebacked Yes67c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.67054.3%38 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a8e…05a4backed Yes72c14.43$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.044254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.