Fifa International · resolved market
Will the announcers say "Nutmeg" or "Nutmegs" during the USA vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe60a40b6cd21dffb85d1bb5a941b9f8788e5051c8d6e2b2f7c108e6ba2838c28
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,213
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,722
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,213 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x219d…5812backed No | 43c | 922.1$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.87 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yes | 69c | 706.59$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.89 | 202 | 50%101 W · 101 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8e…8db8backed Yes | 55c | 529.98$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.09 | 489 | 61.3%300 W · 189 L | +71.0wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd555…e28abacked Yes | 38c | 325$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.5 | 359 | 58.5%210 W · 149 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked No | 62c | 300$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 162 | 25.3%41 W · 121 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Yes | 59c | 222.85$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.04 | 341 | 51%174 W · 167 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 17c | 193.54$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.86 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed No | 45c | 174.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.87 | 764 | 45.9%351 W · 413 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 32c | 118.44$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.22 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf00…33a7backed No | 37c | 106$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.22 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +54%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x355e…a038backed No | 36c | 99.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 240 | 37.1%89 W · 151 L | -17.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbc…e435backed Yes | 63c | 99.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 63c | 81.58$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 20c | 78.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -9.4wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -53%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd850…e26cbacked No | 68c | 73.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 219 | 44.3%97 W · 122 L | -16.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ad…39c6backed No | 36c | 70$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +20%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked No | 44c | 66.05$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 359 | 54%194 W · 165 L | +20.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed Yes | 64c | 48.19$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed No | 37c | 44.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad5b…faddbacked Yes | 65c | 38.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes | 34c | 34.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.71 | 249 | 54.2%135 W · 114 L | +40.3wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x21eb…a9fdbacked No | 48c | 29.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…580cbacked Yes | 72c | 15.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.39 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the announcers say "Nutmeg" or "Nutmegs" during the USA vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?this page
- Will the announcers say "2014" during the USA vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "Crossbar" during the USA vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "Energy" during the USA vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "Extra Time" during the USA vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "Goal" 60+ times during the USA vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "Golden Boot" during the USA vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "Golden Goal" during the USA vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "Hattrick" or "Hat Trick" during the USA vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "History" during the USA vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "Messi" during the USA vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "NFL" during the USA vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "Penalty Shootout" during the USA vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "Red Devil" during the USA vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "Ref" or "Referee" 10+ times during the USA vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?Yes won
- Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the USA vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "Set Piece" 5+ times during the USA vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "Shot" 10+ times during the USA vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "VAR" during the USA vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?No won
- Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the USA vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.