Will the announcers say "VAR" during the USA vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d6d17a9734ceced0ab3187a290f29fa8177a701b99be672768dfced42df42fb

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 7, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $9,047
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $8,740

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,047 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xbe74…a70ebacked No	18c	1,004$181 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$822.9	233	57.9%135 W · 98 L	+19.0wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked No	69c	697.82$479 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$218.42	359	54%194 W · 165 L	+20.7wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No	20c	681.37$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$543.7	341	51%174 W · 167 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes	63c	388.61$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244.15	249	54.2%135 W · 114 L	+40.3wins	+0.16per pick	38cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	66+0.15 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Yes	18c	331.86$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.54	802	25.7%206 W · 596 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x025c…bd0dbacked Yes	14c	328.69$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.99	22	9.1%2 W · 20 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	16cpaid	-59.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked No	38c	300$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$186	162	25.3%41 W · 121 L	-10.8wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-41.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed No	26c	284.39$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$211.58	764	45.9%351 W · 413 L	-10.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed No	20c	233.24$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$186.73	512	50.4%258 W · 254 L	+31.5wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes	24c	157.99$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.02	609	8.4%51 W · 558 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbdbc…e435backed No	18c	153.31$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.18	40	55%22 W · 18 L	+2.9wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a08…c2e6backed Yes	75c	149.16$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.87	32	50%16 W · 16 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd850…e26cbacked No	35c	141.6$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.63	219	44.3%97 W · 122 L	-16.7wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd555…e28abacked No	15c	120$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.4	359	58.5%210 W · 149 L	+13.1wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked No	19c	103.84$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84	427	37.2%159 W · 268 L	-15.2wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes	19c	96.44$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.63	2,327	18.1%422 W · 1,905 L	-363.0wins	-0.16per pick	34cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No	25c	94.58$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.94	457	36.3%166 W · 291 L	-13.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94d8…37e6backed No	18c	84.79$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.79	51	41.2%21 W · 30 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e88…bd30backed Yes	70c	70$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	104	54.8%57 W · 47 L	+4.2wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cb6…d647backed Yes	62c	48.39$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	37	48.6%18 W · 19 L	-3.9wins	-0.10per pick	59cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Yes	80c	44$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.2	481	40.1%193 W · 288 L	-17.3wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x355e…a038backed Yes	76c	39.98$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.59	240	37.1%89 W · 151 L	-17.0wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x17f4…9d7fbacked Yes	72c	35.38$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.52	108	53.7%58 W · 50 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a8e…05a4backed Yes	79c	30$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.6	42	54.8%23 W · 19 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes	76c	24.62$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.71	59	25.4%15 W · 44 L	-9.4wins	-0.16per pick	41cpaid	-53%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xffb1…f54ebacked Yes	72c	20$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.4	70	54.3%38 W · 32 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56c4…580cbacked Yes	75c	14.75$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.06	49	51%25 W · 24 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+14%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will the announcers say "VAR" during the USA vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event