TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd0c6…d465

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
69
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: NBA, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 52 out of 100; worst World Politics at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT3964.1%25 W · 14 L+0.2wins0.00per pick64cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 95 mph?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.2
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on July 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.6
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on July 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.6
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on July 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$11.66
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on July 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on July 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on July 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.6
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on July 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on July 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$6.6
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on July 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.58
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on July 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.4
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on July 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.8
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on July 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.6
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on July 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.8
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on July 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick67cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Daddy Yankee perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+46.9%+$27.88
Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will the World Cup Final national anthem last between 130 and 140 seconds?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.6
Will the announcers say "VAR" during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
Will the announcers say "Nutmeg" or "Meg" during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.85
Will the announcers say "Shot" 10+ times during the USA vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.2
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.29
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Will the announcers say "Golden Boot" during the Portugal vs Uzbekistan FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
All 9 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-25.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-34%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid+22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cameron Boozer be the 3rd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Reppo launch a token by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will KaBuM! IDL win CD 2026 Split 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eastern Europe Win the Dota EWC 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will M80 Win North America ACE Stage 3backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.